Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction, Odds & Stats (7 Nov)

Match Preview

Updated 25 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

12%

53%

Atlético MineiroDraw 35%Grêmio

0.3 – 1.0

Expected score

16%

Over 2.5 goals

19%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

54%

22%

Atlético MineiroDraw 24%Grêmio

First Half Result

41%

19%

Atlético MineiroDraw 40%Grêmio

Team to Score First

62%

32%

Atlético MineiroNo goal 6%Grêmio

Probability

Both Teams to Score

54%

Over 1.5 Goals

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

Over 3.5 Goals

32%

Atlético Mineiro Over 3.5 Goals

11%

Atlético Mineiro Over 1.5 Goals

52%

Grêmio Over 0.5 Goals

60%

Atlético Mineiro Over 0.5 Goals

82%

Match Result

Atlético Mineiro

43%–

model 2.32–

Last 1045%9/20

Draw

28%–

model 3.62–

Last 1025%5/20

Grêmio

29%–

model 3.41–

Last 1030%6/20

Draw no bet

Atlético Mineiro

60%–

model 1.68–

Last 1060%9/15

Grêmio

40%–

model 2.47–

Last 1040%6/15

Double chance

Atlético Mineiro or draw

71%–

model 1.41–

Last 1070%14/20

Atlético Mineiro or Grêmio

72%–

model 1.38–

Last 1075%15/20

Draw or Grêmio

57%–

model 1.76–

Last 1055%11/20

Expected goals 1.5–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	94%	6%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	76%	24%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 2.5main	51%	49%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 3.5	29%	71%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 4.5	14%	86%	–	20%4/20	–

Both teams to score

56%

Last 1055%11/20

Atlético Mineiro clean sheet

26%

model chance

Grêmio clean sheet

25%

model chance

Atlético Mineiro goals

O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%

Grêmio goals

O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%

Corners

Expected 11.3 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	87%	13%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 8.5	79%	21%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 9.5	69%	31%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 10.5	57%	43%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 11.5main	45%	55%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 12.5	34%	66%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 13.5	24%	76%	–	45%9/20	–

Atlético Mineiro corners

O2.5 93%O3.5 83%O4.5 68%O5.5 51%O6.5 36%O7.5 22%

Grêmio corners

O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%

Cards

Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	84%	16%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 3.5	68%	32%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	49%	51%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 5.5	32%	68%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 6.5	19%	81%	–	40%8/20	–

Atlético Mineiro cards

O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%

Grêmio cards

O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%

Form Guide

Updated 25 Oct 2026

Atlético MineiroGrêmio

7
League position: 2; WDWDL
Last 5: WDWDW; 1.60
Points per game (L5): 2.20; 5
Goals scored (L5): 8; 4
Goals conceded (L5): 2; —
xG for (L5): —; —
xG against (L5): —; 2
Clean sheets (L5): 3

Head to Head

5

Atlético Mineiro wins

0

Draws

5

Grêmio wins

Last 10 meetings

3.5

Goals per game

70%

Both teams scored

90%

Over 2.5 goals

16 Aug 2026

Last meeting

Atlético Mineiro in the last 5 meetings

WLLLW

Injuries & Suspensions