Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras – Match preview
Vasco da Gama-:-
PalmeirasEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
26%
49%
Vasco da GamaDraw 25%Palmeiras
Bookmaker implied
21%
54%
Vasco da GamaDraw 25%Palmeiras
1.1 – 1.6
Expected score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
40%
33%
Vasco da GamaDraw 27%Palmeiras
First Half Result
31%
26%
Vasco da GamaDraw 43%Palmeiras
Team to Score First
45%
48%
Vasco da GamaNo goal 7%Palmeiras
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Vasco da Gama Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Vasco da Gama Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Palmeiras Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Vasco da Gama Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Match Result
Vasco da Gama
26%4.50
model 3.91disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
27%3.70
model 3.76-1%
Last 1015%3/20
Palmeiras
48%1.75
model 2.09-16%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Vasco da Gama
35%3.28
model 2.87disputed
Last 1047%8/17
Palmeiras
65%1.28
model 1.54-17%
Last 1053%9/17
Double chance
Vasco da Gama or draw
52%2.03
model 1.92disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Vasco da Gama or Palmeiras
73%1.26
model 1.36-8%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Palmeiras
74%1.19
model 1.34-11%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.2 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
48%Yes 2.10
Last 1040%8/20
Vasco da Gama clean sheet
26%
model chance
Palmeiras clean sheet
31%
model chance
Vasco da Gama goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Palmeiras goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Vasco da Gama corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Palmeiras corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Vasco da Gama cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Palmeiras cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Vasco da GamaPalmeiras
- 3
- League position
- 4
- WWWDD
- Last 5
- DWLWW
- 2.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
7
Vasco da Gama wins
8
Draws
19
Palmeiras wins
Last 34 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
47%
Over 2.5 goals
23 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Vasco da Gama in the last 5 meetings
LWLLL
Key Players
Copa do Brasil, this seasonVasco da Gama
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez
2 goals
Most assists
Andrés Gómez
2 assists
Best rated
Thiago Mendes
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo JardimGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Robert RenanDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Andrés GómezAttacker | 6 (5) | 443 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Thiago MendesMidfielder | 5 (5) | 429 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.30 | |
| Carlos CuestaDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| José Luis RodríguezDefender | 6 (3) | 311 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.22 | |
| Paulo HenriqueDefender | 4 (3) | 287 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| CuiabanoDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | |
| Lucas PitonDefender | 3 (3) | 265 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Tchê TchêMidfielder | 5 (3) | 258 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Cauan BarrosMidfielder | 5 (3) | 228 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Claudio SpinelliAttacker | 5 (3) | 227 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| AdsonAttacker | 6 (2) | 220 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Ramon Rique Santos de Souza BarrosMidfielder | 4 (3) | 218 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Johan RojasMidfielder | 3 (2) | 204 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.25 | – |
Palmeiras
Top scorer
José Manuel López
4 goals
Most assists
Felipe Anderson
3 assists
Best rated
Felipe Anderson
7.80
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MuriloDefender | 6 (5) | 494 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| Carlos MiguelGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| MauricioMidfielder | 5 (5) | 386 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Marlon FreitasMidfielder | 5 (5) | 379 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Andreas PereiraMidfielder | 5 (3) | 329 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.24 | |
| Lucas EvangelistaMidfielder | 6 (4) | 324 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Felipe AndersonMidfielder | 6 (4) | 297 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.80 | |
| Agustín GiayDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.39 | |
| Arthur GabrielDefender | 4 (3) | 262 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | – |
| José Manuel LópezAttacker | 5 (3) | 261 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.55 | – |
| Jhon AriasMidfielder | 5 (2) | 239 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.31 | – |
| Alexander BarbozaDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| KhellvenDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Vitor RoqueAttacker | 5 (3) | 213 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Emiliano MartínezMidfielder | 5 (2) | 194 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | 3.22 | 1.35 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
More on Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras
- Vasco da Gama stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Palmeiras stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Copa do Brasil (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture