Vitesse vs De Graafschap – Match preview
Vitesse-:-
De GraafschapGelreDomeRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
37%
37%
VitesseDraw 26%De Graafschap
1.4 – 1.3
Expected score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
45%
33%
VitesseDraw 22%De Graafschap
First Half Result
36%
28%
VitesseDraw 36%De Graafschap
Team to Score First
54%
43%
VitesseNo goal 3%De Graafschap
Probability
Both Teams to Score
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
Vitesse Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Vitesse Over 1.5 Goals
51%
De Graafschap Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Vitesse Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Match Result
Vitesse
47%–
model 2.15–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
27%–
model 3.73–
Last 1015%3/20
De Graafschap
27%–
model 3.75–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Vitesse
64%–
model 1.57–
Last 1053%9/17
De Graafschap
36%–
model 2.74–
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Vitesse or draw
73%–
model 1.36–
Last 1060%12/20
Vitesse or De Graafschap
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or De Graafschap
54%–
model 1.87–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%
Last 1055%11/20
Vitesse clean sheet
27%
model chance
De Graafschap clean sheet
23%
model chance
Vitesse goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 19%
De Graafschap goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 10.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Vitesse corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 83%O4.5 69%O5.5 52%O6.5 36%O7.5 23%
De Graafschap corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Vitesse cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
De Graafschap cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026VitesseDe Graafschap
- 9
- League position
- 14
- LWLDL
- Last 5
- WDLWD
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 1.37
- xG for (L5)
- 2.75
- 2.69
- xG against (L5)
- 3.79
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
9
Vitesse wins
4
Draws
4
De Graafschap wins
Last 17 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
47%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Vitesse in the last 5 meetings
WLWLW
Key Players
Eerste Divisie, this seasonVitesse
Top scorer
Naoufal Bannis
10 goals
Most assists
Naoufal Bannis
3 assists
Best rated
Naoufal Bannis
7.49
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naoufal BannisAttacker | 12 (12) | 1024 | 10 | 3 | 0.51 | 7.49 | ×2 |
| Ayman SelloufMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1009 | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Valon ZumberiDefender | 11 (11) | 957 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.73 | |
| Marco SchikoraMidfielder | 11 (11) | 930 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.83 | |
| Connor van den BergGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 829 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Filipe de Carvalho FerreiraMidfielder | 12 (11) | 743 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Omar AchouitarDefender | 9 (8) | 692 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Chiel Olde KeizerDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Nathan MarkeloDefender | 7 (7) | 585 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | |
| Mathijs MarschalkMidfielder | 9 (7) | 546 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Solomon BonnahDefender | 7 (5) | 492 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Ricardo-Felipe SchwarzMidfielder | 6 (6) | 448 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Marcus SteffenDefender | 9 (5) | 442 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Pontus DahboMidfielder | 8 (5) | 403 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Xiamaro ThenuDefender | 6 (5) | 398 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
De Graafschap
Top scorer
Julian Kania
5 goals
Most assists
Fedde de Jong
3 assists
Best rated
Mark Diemers
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ties WieggersGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| D. WarmerdamMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1134 | 4 | 0 | 0.55 | 6.99 | ×3 |
| Rowan BesselinkDefender | 12 (12) | 1035 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Fedde de JongMidfielder | 11 (10) | 891 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Nolan MartensDefender | 9 (9) | 771 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Kaya SymonsDefender | 10 (10) | 744 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Thomas KokDefender | 9 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | ×3 |
| Toivo MeroAttacker | 10 (7) | 678 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 6.74 | – |
| Julian KaniaAttacker | 11 (8) | 666 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Bjorn van ZijlAttacker | 13 (8) | 640 | 3 | 0 | 1.01 | 6.61 | – |
| Gijs BolkDefender | 8 (6) | 587 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×3 |
| Mark DiemersMidfielder | 6 (5) | 446 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.53 | – |
| Jason MeerstadtMidfielder | 6 (6) | 433 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Jannes WieckhoffDefender | 11 (4) | 370 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×2 |
| Gabriele FinocchiaroMidfielder | 7 (3) | 345 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.67 | – |
More on Vitesse vs De Graafschap
- Vitesse stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- De Graafschap stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture