Lech Poznań vs Zagłębie Lubin – Match preview
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Enea stadionRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
87%
4%
Lech PoznańDraw 9%Zagłębie Lubin
3.1 – 0.6
Expected score
72%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
55%
23%
Lech PoznańDraw 22%Zagłębie Lubin
First Half Result
43%
19%
Lech PoznańDraw 38%Zagłębie Lubin
Team to Score First
62%
34%
Lech PoznańNo goal 4%Zagłębie Lubin
Probability
Both Teams to Score
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
Lech Poznań Over 3.5 Goals
16%
Lech Poznań Over 1.5 Goals
60%
Zagłębie Lubin Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Lech Poznań Over 0.5 Goals
85%
Match Result
Lech Poznań
53%–
model 1.88–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
24%–
model 4.21–
Last 1025%5/20
Zagłębie Lubin
23%–
model 4.33–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Lech Poznań
70%–
model 1.43–
Last 1053%8/15
Zagłębie Lubin
30%–
model 3.30–
Last 1047%7/15
Double chance
Lech Poznań or draw
77%–
model 1.30–
Last 1065%13/20
Lech Poznań or Zagłębie Lubin
76%–
model 1.31–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Zagłębie Lubin
47%–
model 2.14–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 2.0–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1065%13/20
Lech Poznań clean sheet
25%
model chance
Zagłębie Lubin clean sheet
17%
model chance
Lech Poznań goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Zagłębie Lubin goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Lech Poznań corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Zagłębie Lubin corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Lech Poznań cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
Zagłębie Lubin cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Lech PoznańZagłębie Lubin
- 1
- League position
- 8
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- DWLLW
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 20
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 3.15
- xG for (L5)
- 0.82
- 3.03
- xG against (L5)
- 1.58
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
7
Lech Poznań wins
3
Draws
3
Zagłębie Lubin wins
Last 13 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
69%
Both teams scored
54%
Over 2.5 goals
15 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Lech Poznań in the last 5 meetings
WLWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Lech Poznań
- Alex DouglasAnkle Injury
- Ali GholizadehCruciate Ligament Tear
- Allahyar SayyadmaneshGroin Injury
Zagłębie Lubin
No reported absences
Key Players
Ekstraklasa, this seasonLech Poznań
Top scorer
Pablo Rodríguez
6 goals
Most assists
Pablo Rodríguez
7 assists
Best rated
Pablo Rodríguez
7.71
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz LisGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Michal GurgulDefender | 12 (11) | 1035 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Joel PereiraDefender | 12 (11) | 1007 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.29 | ×2 |
| Pablo RodríguezMidfielder | 12 (10) | 903 | 6 | 7 | 0.12 | 7.71 | |
| Radoslaw MurawskiMidfielder | 12 (10) | 883 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Mateusz SkrzypczakDefender | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.79 | |
| Wojciech MonkaDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Patrik WålemarkMidfielder | 12 (10) | 809 | 6 | 3 | 0.76 | 7.18 | ×3 |
| Antoni KozubalMidfielder | 8 (7) | 607 | 2 | 0 | 0.65 | 6.92 | – |
| Yannick AgneroAttacker | 12 (5) | 549 | 4 | 0 | 0.48 | 6.66 | – |
| Luis PalmaMidfielder | 11 (5) | 491 | 2 | 2 | 0.75 | 6.89 | |
| Mikael IshakAttacker | 9 (6) | 468 | 3 | 3 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Terry YegbeDefender | 6 (5) | 462 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Allahyar SayyadmaneshMidfielder | 8 (6) | 454 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.14 | |
| Filip JagielloMidfielder | 10 (5) | 386 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 |
Zagłębie Lubin
Top scorer
Marcel Regula
3 goals
Most assists
Michal Nalepa
2 assists
Best rated
Jasmin Buric
7.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleks LawniczakDefender | 12 (12) | 1077 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Filip KocabaMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1075 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Marcel RegulaAttacker | 12 (12) | 1057 | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Zlatan AlomerovicGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 995 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Michal NalepaDefender | 10 (10) | 905 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Roman YakubaDefender | 9 (8) | 769 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Damian DabrowskiMidfielder | 10 (8) | 759 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Josip CorlukaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 646 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.91 | |
| Mateusz GrzybekMidfielder | 9 (8) | 576 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
| Damian MichalskiDefender | 12 (5) | 558 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.88 | |
| Sebastian KerkMidfielder | 11 (7) | 550 | 2 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.92 | – |
| Filip SzymczakAttacker | 11 (7) | 533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| David ColinaDefender | 9 (6) | 489 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| Jakub SypekMidfielder | 10 (2) | 390 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.61 | |
| Jakub KolanMidfielder | 8 (3) | 323 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 2.10 |
| MelBet | 2.07 | 1.61 |
More on Lech Poznań vs Zagłębie Lubin
- Lech Poznań stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Zagłębie Lubin stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ekstraklasa (Poland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture