Ajax vs AZ – Match preview
Ajax-:-
AZJohan Cruijff ArenaRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
35%
43%
AjaxDraw 22%AZ
Bookmaker implied
51%
26%
AjaxDraw 23%AZ
1.7 – 1.9
Expected score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Ajax
49%1.85
fair 2.04-9%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
24%4.00
fair 4.16-4%
Last 1045%9/20
AZ
27%3.50
fair 3.71-6%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Ajax
65%1.39
fair 1.55-10%
Last 1055%6/11
AZ
36%2.63
fair 2.82-7%
Last 1045%5/11
Double chance
Ajax or draw
73%1.26
fair 1.37-8%
Last 1075%15/20
Ajax or AZ
76%1.21
fair 1.32-8%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or AZ
51%1.87
fair 1.96-5%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.3 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%Yes 1.40
Last 1060%12/20
Ajax clean sheet
24%
model chance
AZ clean sheet
21%
model chance
Ajax goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
AZ goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Ajax corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
AZ corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Ajax cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
AZ cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abdellah Ouazane Ajax | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -41% |
Dave Kwakman AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 40% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -47% |
Wesley Hoedt AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -36% |
Julian Brandt Ajax | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -53% |
Davy Klaassen Ajax | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 29% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -56% |
Davy Klaassen Ajax | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -23% |
Hessel de Wit AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 47% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -32% |
Mateo Chávez AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 41% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -33% |
Davy Klaassen Ajax | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60 | 2.60 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -37% |
Rion Ichihara AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -44% |
Elijah Dijkstra AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 32% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -47% |
Mees de Wit AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -51% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AjaxAZ
- 4
- League position
- 2
- WDDWW
- Last 5
- DLWDW
- 2.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 18
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Ajax wins
3
Draws
7
AZ wins
Last 14 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Ajax in the last 5 meetings
DLLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Ajax
- Anton GaaeiUnknown Injury
- Kasper DolbergCruciate Ligament Tear
AZ
- Stije ResinkCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonAjax
Top scorer
Julian Brandt
6 goals
Most assists
Oscar Gloukh
4 assists
Best rated
Julian Brandt
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André ter StegenGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Youri BaasDefender | 8 (7) | 654 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Jorthy MokioMidfielder | 9 (7) | 613 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Julian BrandtMidfielder | 9 (7) | 605 | 6 | 0 | – | 7.50 | – |
| Oscar GloukhMidfielder | 9 (8) | 591 | 1 | 4 | – | 7.49 | |
| Davy KlaassenMidfielder | 9 (7) | 540 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Caio HenriqueDefender | 7 (6) | 488 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Aaron BouwmanDefender | 6 (5) | 461 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.02 | |
| Lucas RosaDefender | 5 (5) | 433 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Steven BerghuisAttacker | 6 (6) | 406 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.50 | |
| Tolu ArokodareAttacker | 8 (4) | 362 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.37 | – |
| Anton GaaeiDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.22 | |
| Thilo KehrerDefender | 5 (4) | 353 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Sofyan AmrabatMidfielder | 6 (3) | 353 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Kasper DolbergAttacker | 6 (4) | 329 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.19 | – |
AZ
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal
5 goals
Most assists
Mateo Chávez
3 assists
Best rated
Peer Koopmeiners
7.65
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis SchoutenDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Jari De BusserGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Peer KoopmeinersMidfielder | 9 (9) | 805 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.65 | – |
| Wouter GoesDefender | 9 (9) | 784 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Elijah DijkstraDefender | 9 (9) | 748 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Mexx MeerdinkAttacker | 9 (9) | 742 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Ro-Zangelo DaalMidfielder | 9 (9) | 740 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.61 | ×2 |
| Mateo ChávezDefender | 9 (9) | 715 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.07 | |
| Dave KwakmanMidfielder | 8 (7) | 583 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.06 | – |
| C. StengsMidfielder | 9 (4) | 485 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Weslley PatatiMidfielder | 8 (5) | 346 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Kees SmitMidfielder | 5 (4) | 343 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Jordy ClasieMidfielder | 6 (4) | 319 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Ayoub OufkirAttacker | 9 (2) | 218 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Valdemar ByskovMidfielder | 4 (1) | 124 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.89 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.51 | 2.43 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.81 | 1.43 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.87 | 1.40 |
| Betano.dk | 2.80 | 2.05 |