Excelsior vs FC Twente – Match preview
Excelsior-:-
FC TwenteVan Donge & De Roo StadionRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
14%
67%
ExcelsiorDraw 19%FC Twente
Bookmaker implied
18%
61%
ExcelsiorDraw 21%FC Twente
0.9 – 2.1
Expected score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Excelsior
23%5.25
fair 4.29disputed
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
23%4.33
fair 4.42-2%
Last 1030%6/20
FC Twente
54%1.53
fair 1.85-17%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Excelsior
30%4.04
fair 3.32disputed
Last 1036%5/14
FC Twente
70%1.18
fair 1.43-17%
Last 1064%9/14
Double chance
Excelsior or draw
46%2.37
fair 2.18disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Excelsior or FC Twente
77%1.18
fair 1.29-9%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or FC Twente
77%1.13
fair 1.30-13%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.6 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%Yes 1.50
Last 1075%15/20
Excelsior clean sheet
16%
model chance
FC Twente clean sheet
24%
model chance
Excelsior goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
FC Twente goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Excelsior corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 60%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
FC Twente corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 3.2 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 4% | 96% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Excelsior cards
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 19%O3.5 7%
FC Twente cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kasey Bos Excelsior | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 49% | 80%4/5 | 80%4/5 | -32% |
Irakli Yegoian Excelsior | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 43% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -31% |
Casper Widell Excelsior | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 44% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -33% |
Jan Plug Excelsior | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 4.33 | 4.33 | 27% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | +17% |
Sondre Ørjasæter FC Twente | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 54% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -22% |
Daouda Weidmann FC Twente | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 47% | 100%5/5 | 50%5/10 | -30% |
Noah Naujoks Excelsior | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 40% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -40% |
Aske Adelgaard FC Twente | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -49% |
Thomas van den Belt FC Twente | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | 31% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -50% |
Younes Taha FC Twente | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 34% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -56% |
Kasey Bos Excelsior | Over 0.5 Goals · 7.00 | 7.00 | 12% | 40%2/5 | 40%2/5 | -18% |
Wout Weghorst FC Twente | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61 | 1.61 | 42% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -32% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ExcelsiorFC Twente
- 10
- League position
- 5
- LLDLD
- Last 5
- LDWWW
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 15
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Excelsior wins
1
Draws
2
FC Twente wins
Last 4 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
24 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Excelsior in the last 4 meetings
DWLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Excelsior
No reported absences
FC Twente
- Max BrunsUnknown Injury
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonExcelsior
Top scorer
Irakli Yegoian
3 goals
Most assists
Irakli Yegoian
5 assists
Best rated
Irakli Yegoian
7.44
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick MeissenDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Stijn van GasselGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Jan PlugDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Irakli YegoianMidfielder | 9 (9) | 795 | 3 | 5 | – | 7.44 | |
| Lennard HartjesMidfielder | 9 (9) | 789 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Casper WidellDefender | 9 (8) | 736 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| David GardenAttacker | 9 (9) | 624 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Simon JanssenDefender | 9 (8) | 623 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.68 | |
| Aymen SlitiAttacker | 9 (7) | 515 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Ágúst Orri ThorsteinssonAttacker | 7 (7) | 487 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Eric da Silva MoreiraDefender | 7 (6) | 444 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Daniel van VianenMidfielder | 5 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Ilano Silva TimasAttacker | 7 (2) | 224 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Kasey BosAttacker | 5 (1) | 169 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Nolan MartensDefender | 2 (1) | 118 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.01 | – |
FC Twente
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst
4 goals
Most assists
Wout Weghorst
2 assists
Best rated
Daouda Weidmann
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramiz ZerroukiMidfielder | 9 (9) | 797 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.20 | |
| Wout WeghorstAttacker | 9 (9) | 788 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.36 | |
| Bart van RooijDefender | 9 (9) | 784 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.28 | |
| Ruud NijstadDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Robin PröpperDefender | 9 (8) | 695 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Daouda WeidmannMidfielder | 8 (8) | 628 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.50 | – |
| Sondre ØrjasæterMidfielder | 8 (8) | 586 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.95 | |
| Younes TahaMidfielder | 8 (6) | 557 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.23 | |
| Lars UnnerstallGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Aske AdelgaardDefender | 6 (6) | 491 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Max BrunsDefender | 6 (5) | 455 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | |
| Marko PjacaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 453 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Daan RotsMidfielder | 8 (5) | 451 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.14 | |
| Joël DrommelGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Thomas van den BeltMidfielder | 9 (1) | 216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.59 | 2.35 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.40 | 2.87 |
| Betano.dk | 14.00 | 1.15 |