FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam – Match preview
-:-
EuroborgRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
56%
27%
FC GroningenDraw 17%Sparta Rotterdam
Bookmaker implied
60%
19%
FC GroningenDraw 21%Sparta Rotterdam
3.1 – 2.2
Expected score
89%
Over 2.5 goals
84%
Both teams to score
Match Result
FC Groningen
57%1.55
fair 1.74-11%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
22%4.20
fair 4.47-6%
Last 1020%4/20
Sparta Rotterdam
20%5.00
fair 4.93+1%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
FC Groningen
74%1.18
fair 1.35-13%
Last 1063%10/16
Sparta Rotterdam
26%3.81
fair 3.830%
Last 1038%6/16
Double chance
FC Groningen or draw
80%1.13
fair 1.25-10%
Last 1070%14/20
FC Groningen or Sparta Rotterdam
78%1.18
fair 1.29-8%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam
43%2.28
fair 2.35-3%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 2.0–1.4 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%Yes 1.50
Last 1055%11/20
FC Groningen clean sheet
22%
model chance
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet
16%
model chance
FC Groningen goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%
Sparta Rotterdam goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
FC Groningen corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Sparta Rotterdam corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
FC Groningen cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
Sparta Rotterdam cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tika de Jonge FC Groningen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 51% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -29% |
Marco Rente FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 51% | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | -34% |
Mitchell van Bergen Sparta Rotterdam | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -31% |
Shunsuke Mito Sparta Rotterdam | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | 44% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -30% |
Shunsuke Mito Sparta Rotterdam | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -33% |
Tika de Jonge FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | 41% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -33% |
Thom van Bergen FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | 42% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -36% |
Nils Eggens FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.30 | 1.30 | 44% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -43% |
Mitchell van Bergen Sparta Rotterdam | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | 46% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -9% |
Marco Rente FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -13% |
Milan Zonneveld Sparta Rotterdam | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.87 | 2.87 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -19% |
Milan Zonneveld Sparta Rotterdam | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -22% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam
- 7
- League position
- 13
- LWWDD
- Last 5
- WDLLD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 13
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 15
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
FC Groningen wins
1
Draws
6
Sparta Rotterdam wins
Last 9 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
44%
Over 2.5 goals
31 Jan 2026
Last meeting
FC Groningen in the last 5 meetings
LLLLW
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonFC Groningen
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen
6 goals
Most assists
David van der Werff
3 assists
Best rated
Thom van Bergen
7.43
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijmen BlokzijlDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Etienne VaessenGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Thom van BergenMidfielder | 9 (9) | 805 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.43 | |
| Tika de JongeMidfielder | 9 (9) | 795 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Jorg SchreudersDefender | 9 (9) | 766 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Pelle ClementMidfielder | 9 (9) | 758 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.69 | – |
| David van der WerffMidfielder | 9 (9) | 736 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.30 | ×2 |
| Brynjólfur WillumssonAttacker | 9 (9) | 682 | 6 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Tygo LandMidfielder | 9 (6) | 556 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.97 | |
| Wouter PrinsDefender | 7 (6) | 489 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | – |
| Márk CsingerDefender | 8 (5) | 484 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Jacob OndrejkaAttacker | 8 (3) | 307 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | |
| Marco RenteDefender | 6 (4) | 297 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Hans HateboerDefender | 3 (2) | 186 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Elvis van der LaanDefender | 4 (1) | 172 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
Sparta Rotterdam
Top scorer
Milan Zonneveld
6 goals
Most assists
Bas Kuipers
3 assists
Best rated
Milan Zonneveld
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bas KuipersDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.72 | |
| Marvin YoungDefender | 9 (9) | 799 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Lushendry Edward MartesDefender | 9 (9) | 792 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.83 | ×3 |
| Bruno Martins IndiDefender | 8 (8) | 641 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Milan ZonneveldAttacker | 9 (6) | 584 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.26 | |
| Julian BaasMidfielder | 6 (6) | 464 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Michael BrouwerGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Cedric HatenboerMidfielder | 5 (5) | 432 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Shunsuke MitoMidfielder | 5 (5) | 423 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Casper TerhoAttacker | 8 (5) | 423 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Nick VerschurenDefender | 7 (4) | 393 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Filip BednarekGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Mitchell van BergenAttacker | 6 (3) | 319 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| Jens ToornstraMidfielder | 5 (4) | 306 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Isaac BabadiMidfielder | 5 (3) | 291 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.00 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.81 | 1.92 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.54 | 2.47 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.40 | 2.87 |
| Betano.dk | 2.05 | 1.33 |