FC Twente vs Ajax – Match preview

Sunday, 08 November 2026 · 14:30

FC Twente

-:-

Ajax

De Grolsch VesteRound 12

Match Preview

Updated 01 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

18%

59%

FC TwenteDraw 23%Ajax

Bookmaker implied

37%

39%

FC TwenteDraw 24%Ajax

0.9 – 1.8

Expected score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

36%

40%

FC TwenteDraw 24%Ajax

First Half Result

37%

27%

FC TwenteDraw 36%Ajax

Team to Score First

53%

43%

FC TwenteNo goal 4%Ajax

Probability

Both Teams to Score

67%

Over 1.5 Goals

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

66%

Over 3.5 Goals

43%

FC Twente Over 3.5 Goals

FC Twente Over 1.5 Goals

44%

Ajax Over 0.5 Goals

76%

FC Twente Over 0.5 Goals

73%

Match Result

FC Twente

39%2.50

model 2.58-3%

Last 1045%9/20

Draw

24%3.90

model 4.16-6%

Last 1020%4/20

Ajax

37%2.35

model 2.68-12%

Last 1035%7/20

Draw no bet

FC Twente

51%1.86

model 1.96-5%

Last 1056%9/16

Ajax

49%1.75

model 2.04-14%

Last 1044%7/16

Double chance

FC Twente or draw

63%1.52

model 1.59-5%

Last 1065%13/20

FC Twente or Ajax

76%1.21

model 1.32-8%

Last 1080%16/20

Draw or Ajax

61%1.47

model 1.63-10%

Last 1055%11/20

Expected goals 1.8–1.5 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	96%	4%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	84%	16%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 2.5	64%	36%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	42%	58%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 4.5	24%	76%	–	30%6/20	–

Both teams to score

67%Yes 1.36

Last 1070%14/20

FC Twente clean sheet

19%

model chance

Ajax clean sheet

20%

model chance

FC Twente goals

O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%

Ajax goals

O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%

Corners

Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	78%	22%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 8.5	67%	33%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 9.5	55%	45%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	42%	58%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 11.5	31%	69%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 12.5	21%	79%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 13.5	14%	86%	–	20%4/20	–

FC Twente corners

O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 64%O5.5 46%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%

Ajax corners

O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%

Cards

Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	75%	25%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	55%	45%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 4.5	36%	64%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 5.5	21%	79%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 6.5	10%	90%	–	10%2/20	–

FC Twente cards

O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%

Ajax cards

O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Daouda Weidmann FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30	1.30	–	100%5/5	100%10/10	–
Jorthy Mokio Ajax	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	–	80%4/5	90%9/10	–
Steven Berghuis Ajax	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	–	60%3/5	80%8/10	–
Steven Berghuis Ajax	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.80	1.80	–	80%4/5	80%8/10	–
Robin Pröpper FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80	1.80	–	60%3/5	80%8/10	–
Ramiz Zerrouki FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Daouda Weidmann FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62	2.62	–	100%5/5	70%7/10	–
Sondre Ørjasæter FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66	1.66	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Davy Klaassen Ajax	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Julian Brandt Ajax	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Wout Weghorst FC Twente	Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.20	2.20	–	20%1/5	60%6/10	–
Wout Weghorst FC Twente	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95	1.95	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Wout Weghorst FC Twente	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.50	1.50	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Sondre Ørjasæter FC Twente	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Simon Adingra Ajax	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30	1.30	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Ruud Nijstad FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Abdellah Ouazane Ajax	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66	1.66	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Max Bruns FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Julian Brandt Ajax	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83	1.83	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Younes Taha FC Twente	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95	1.95	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Wout Weghorst FC Twente	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.37	2.37	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Younes Taha FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33	1.33	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Robin Pröpper FC Twente	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75	3.75	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Youri Baas Ajax	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–

Player prop screener

Key Players

Eredivisie, this season

FC Twente

Top scorer

Wout Weghorst

4 goals

Most assists

Younes Taha

3 assists

Best rated

Daouda Weidmann

7.42

FC Twente squad statistics in the Eredivisie this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Ramiz ZerroukiMidfielder	10 (10)	887	0	1	0.28	7.16
Wout WeghorstAttacker	10 (10)	861	4	2	0.21	7.30
Bart van RooijDefender	10 (10)	857	0	1	–	7.24
Ruud NijstadDefender	9 (9)	810	1	0	0.54	6.93	–
Robin PröpperDefender	10 (9)	785	2	0	0.25	6.99
Daouda WeidmannMidfielder	9 (9)	716	3	1	0.09	7.42	×2
Sondre ØrjasæterMidfielder	9 (9)	671	2	2	0.26	7.02
Younes TahaMidfielder	9 (7)	642	2	3	0.33	7.28
Aske AdelgaardDefender	7 (7)	581	0	1	–	7.01	–
Lars UnnerstallGoalkeeper	6 (6)	540	0	0	–	6.89	–
Daan RotsMidfielder	9 (6)	540	1	1	0.25	7.07
Marko PjacaMidfielder	10 (6)	461	2	0	–	6.83	–
Max BrunsDefender	6 (5)	455	0	1	–	7.00
Joël DrommelGoalkeeper	4 (4)	360	0	2	–	7.18	–
Thomas van den BeltMidfielder	10 (1)	224	0	0	–	6.71	–

Ajax

Top scorer

Julian Brandt

6 goals

Most assists

Oscar Gloukh

4 assists

Best rated

Julian Brandt

7.46

Ajax squad statistics in the Eredivisie this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Marc-André ter StegenGoalkeeper	10 (10)	900	0	0	–	7.07	–
Youri BaasDefender	10 (9)	823	1	0	0.22	7.16	×2
Jorthy MokioMidfielder	11 (9)	748	3	1	0.15	6.89	×2
Julian BrandtMidfielder	11 (9)	731	6	2	0.17	7.46
Oscar GloukhMidfielder	11 (8)	672	1	4	0.27	7.37
Davy KlaassenMidfielder	11 (8)	645	3	1	–	6.93	×2
Lucas RosaDefender	7 (7)	613	0	1	–	7.12	×3
Aaron BouwmanDefender	7 (6)	551	1	0	0.08	7.03
Sofyan AmrabatMidfielder	8 (5)	533	0	0	–	6.99	–
Tolu ArokodareAttacker	10 (6)	526	6	1	0.64	7.38	–
Caio HenriqueDefender	7 (6)	488	0	1	–	6.71
Thilo KehrerDefender	6 (5)	443	1	1	–	7.13	–
Abdellah OuazaneMidfielder	11 (4)	438	2	1	0.36	6.87	×4
Steven BerghuisAttacker	7 (6)	422	1	3	–	7.40
Owen WijndalDefender	6 (4)	405	0	1	–	6.75	–

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	1	2	Home	Away
bet365	1.90	1.90	—	—
Marathonbet	—	—	1.74	2.00
MelBet	—	—	1.77	2.04
Pinnacle	—	—	1.99	1.83

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
bet365	1.36	3.10
Betano.dk	1.02	14.50

FC Twente vs Ajax – Match preview

Match Preview

Predictions

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

FC Twente goals

Ajax goals

Corners

FC Twente corners

Ajax corners

Cards

FC Twente cards

Ajax cards

Player Props

Form Guide

Head to Head

Injuries & Suspensions

FC Twente

Ajax

Key Players

FC Twente

Ajax

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

More on FC Twente vs Ajax