FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen – Match preview
FC Utrecht-:-
NEC NijmegenStadion GalgenwaardRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
21%
60%
FC UtrechtDraw 19%NEC Nijmegen
Bookmaker implied
41%
34%
FC UtrechtDraw 25%NEC Nijmegen
1.4 – 2.4
Expected score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
45%
31%
FC UtrechtDraw 24%NEC Nijmegen
First Half Result
38%
25%
FC UtrechtDraw 37%NEC Nijmegen
Team to Score First
54%
41%
FC UtrechtNo goal 5%NEC Nijmegen
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
FC Utrecht Over 3.5 Goals
9%
FC Utrecht Over 1.5 Goals
47%
NEC Nijmegen Over 0.5 Goals
67%
FC Utrecht Over 0.5 Goals
77%
Match Result
FC Utrecht
41%2.38
model 2.41-1%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
24%3.91
model 4.11-5%
Last 1045%9/20
NEC Nijmegen
34%2.69
model 2.92-8%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
FC Utrecht
55%1.77
model 1.83-3%
Last 1064%7/11
NEC Nijmegen
45%2.00
model 2.21-9%
Last 1036%4/11
Double chance
FC Utrecht or draw
66%1.48
model 1.52-3%
Last 1080%16/20
FC Utrecht or NEC Nijmegen
76%1.26
model 1.32-5%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or NEC Nijmegen
59%1.59
model 1.71-7%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
66%Yes 1.44
Last 1075%15/20
FC Utrecht clean sheet
18%
model chance
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
18%
model chance
FC Utrecht goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 24%
NEC Nijmegen goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
FC Utrecht corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 29%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
NEC Nijmegen corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
FC Utrecht cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
NEC Nijmegen cards
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%O3.5 8%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ángel Alarcón FC Utrecht | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Matisse Didden FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Artem Stepanov FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ahmetcan Kaplan NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Artem Stepanov FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.40 | 2.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Artem Stepanov FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Ángel Alarcón FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Noé Lebreton NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Darko Nejasmic NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Dani de Wit FC Utrecht | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
P. Schuurs NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Dani de Wit FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Tjaronn Chery NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Tjaronn Chery NEC Nijmegen | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Tjaronn Chery NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.20 | 3.20 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ayodele Thomas NEC Nijmegen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Adrian Blake FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Bryan Linssen NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Yoann Cathline FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Noé Lebreton NEC Nijmegen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Bryan Linssen NEC Nijmegen | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Siebe Horemans FC Utrecht | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Kaj Sierhuis NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ayodele Thomas NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026FC UtrechtNEC Nijmegen
- 11
- League position
- 12
- DWWLW
- Last 5
- LDDDD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 1.66
- xG for (L5)
- 3.99
- 0.89
- xG against (L5)
- 2.33
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
7
FC Utrecht wins
0
Draws
2
NEC Nijmegen wins
Last 9 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
56%
Over 2.5 goals
11 Feb 2026
Last meeting
FC Utrecht in the last 5 meetings
WWLWW
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Utrecht
- Miliano JonathansCruciate Ligament Tear
- Noah OhioKnee Surgery
NEC Nijmegen
- Bram NuytinckAnkle Surgery
- Philippe SandlerUnknown Injury
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonFC Utrecht
Top scorer
Artem Stepanov
5 goals
Most assists
Arthur Zagré
2 assists
Best rated
Sergio Padt
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani de WitMidfielder | 10 (10) | 865 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Arthur ZagréDefender | 10 (10) | 833 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Siebe HoremansDefender | 10 (10) | 808 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Niklas VesterlundMidfielder | 9 (9) | 717 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.55 | – |
| Ángel AlarcónMidfielder | 10 (9) | 664 | 3 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.70 | – |
| Matisse DiddenDefender | 8 (7) | 653 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.77 | – |
| Yoann CathlineAttacker | 10 (8) | 639 | 2 | 2 | 0.52 | 7.01 | |
| Vasilios BarkasGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Nikolas PanagiotouDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | ×2 |
| Davy van den BergMidfielder | 10 (5) | 476 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Artem StepanovAttacker | 7 (6) | 452 | 5 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Joris van OvereemMidfielder | 6 (4) | 428 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Adrian BlakeAttacker | 10 (2) | 304 | 2 | 1 | 0.21 | 6.83 | – |
| Guus OfferhausDefender | 5 (3) | 274 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×2 |
| Oualid AgougilMidfielder | 3 (3) | 232 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.19 |
NEC Nijmegen
Top scorer
Tjaronn Chery
4 goals
Most assists
Tjaronn Chery
3 assists
Best rated
Tjaronn Chery
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. StormDefender | 10 (9) | 838 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Tjaronn CheryAttacker | 9 (9) | 802 | 4 | 3 | 0.30 | 7.54 | – |
| Noé LebretonMidfielder | 11 (9) | 790 | 2 | 0 | 0.61 | 7.04 | ×2 |
| Gonzalo CrettazGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 766 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Darko NejasmicMidfielder | 9 (9) | 741 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.13 | – |
| Bryan LinssenAttacker | 10 (8) | 727 | 1 | 0 | 1.01 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Clement BischoffMidfielder | 9 (8) | 641 | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | 6.75 | |
| Dušan TadićAttacker | 7 (7) | 620 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Jamiro MonteiroMidfielder | 10 (7) | 609 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.86 | |
| Deveron FonvilleDefender | 6 (6) | 421 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Adam TahauiAttacker | 9 (4) | 402 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Kaj SierhuisAttacker | 7 (2) | 308 | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.84 | – |
| P. SchuursDefender | 8 (4) | 306 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.91 | – |
| Gabriel BrásDefender | 5 (3) | 296 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Ahmetcan KaplanDefender | 4 (3) | 254 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | 7.02 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.77 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.81 | 2.05 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 1.02 |
More on FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen
- FC Utrecht stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- NEC Nijmegen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eredivisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture