PSV vs Willem II – Match preview
PSV-:-
Willem IIPhilips StadionRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
97%
1%
PSVDraw 2%Willem II
Bookmaker implied
91%
3%
PSVDraw 6%Willem II
5.8 – 0.6
Expected score
95%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
Match Result
PSV
76%1.06
fair 1.32-20%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
13%13.00
fair 7.86disputed
Last 1010%2/20
Willem II
12%23.00
fair 8.61disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
PSV
87%0.98
fair 1.15-15%
Last 1050%9/18
Willem II
13%21.23
fair 7.52disputed
Last 1050%9/18
Double chance
PSV or draw
88%0.98
fair 1.13-13%
Last 1055%11/20
PSV or Willem II
87%1.01
fair 1.15-12%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Willem II
24%8.31
fair 4.11disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.95
Last 1055%11/20
PSV clean sheet
22%
model chance
Willem II clean sheet
21%
model chance
PSV goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Willem II goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
PSV corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Willem II corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
PSV cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Willem II cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eser Gürbüz Willem II | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 18% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -71% |
Calvin Twigt Willem II | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 6.50 | 6.50 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | +111% |
Calvin Twigt Willem II | Over 1.5 Shots · 10.00 | 10.00 | 25% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | +148% |
Tonny Vilhena Willem II | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 4.33 | 4.33 | 28% | 40%2/5 | 44%4/9 | +22% |
Calvin Twigt Willem II | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 8.50 | 8.50 | 17% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | +41% |
Sergiño Dest PSV | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -44% |
Nathan Tjoe-A-On Willem II | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 32% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -44% |
Kodai Sano PSV | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 29% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -61% |
Amir Bouhamdi PSV | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 13% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -82% |
Chido Obi Willem II | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 20%1/5 | 33%2/6 | – |
Jari Schuurman Willem II | Over 2.5 Shots · 13.00 | 13.00 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +26% |
Thomas Verheydt Willem II | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 9.00 | 9.00 | 13% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +18% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026PSVWillem II
- 3
- League position
- 18
- LWLWW
- Last 5
- LLLLD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.20
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 13
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
PSV wins
1
Draws
1
Willem II wins
Last 6 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Feb 2025
Last meeting
PSV in the last 5 meetings
DWWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
PSV
- Adamo NagaloUnknown Injury
- Alassane PléaSurgery
- Jerdy SchoutenCruciate Ligament Tear
Willem II
- Justin HoogmaKnee Injury
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonPSV
Top scorer
Guus Til
5 goals
Most assists
Esmir Bajraktarevic
3 assists
Best rated
Joey Veerman
7.55
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej KovarGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Armando ObispoDefender | 9 (9) | 772 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Mauro JúniorDefender | 9 (9) | 750 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Sergiño DestDefender | 8 (8) | 719 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.43 | – |
| Guus TilMidfielder | 9 (9) | 708 | 5 | 1 | – | 7.29 | – |
| Kodai SanoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 657 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.09 | |
| Ruben van BommelMidfielder | 8 (7) | 533 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Ryan FlamingoDefender | 8 (5) | 521 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Ivan PerišićAttacker | 8 (6) | 511 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.38 | ×2 |
| Ricardo PepiAttacker | 7 (6) | 435 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Sven MijnansMidfielder | 8 (4) | 417 | 5 | 1 | – | 7.09 | |
| Paul WannerMidfielder | 7 (4) | 401 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Lutsharel GeertruidaDefender | 5 (4) | 348 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Noah FernandezMidfielder | 6 (5) | 347 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Amir BouhamdiAttacker | 6 (1) | 197 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.09 | – |
Willem II
Top scorer
Devin Haen
3 goals
Most assists
Uriël van Aalst
2 assists
Best rated
Calvin Twigt
6.90
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin HaenAttacker | 9 (9) | 810 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Finn StamDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Uriël van AalstMidfielder | 9 (9) | 798 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.89 | |
| Nathan Tjoe-A-OnDefender | 9 (9) | 755 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Jaden SloryMidfielder | 9 (9) | 745 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Hidde ter AvestDefender | 8 (7) | 622 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Maxime DelangheGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Calvin TwigtMidfielder | 6 (6) | 534 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Maxim DekkerDefender | 6 (5) | 486 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
| Tonny VilhenaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 380 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Eser GürbüzMidfielder | 8 (5) | 350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Kasper BoogaardMidfielder | 5 (4) | 349 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | |
| Per van LoonMidfielder | 6 (4) | 322 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Alessandro CiranniDefender | 6 (2) | 237 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Justin HoogmaDefender | 3 (3) | 226 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.17 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.78 | 1.95 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.19 | 1.67 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.14 | 5.50 |
| Betano.dk | 1.42 | 1.21 |