SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen – Match preview
SC Heerenveen-:-
NEC NijmegenAbe Lenstra StadionRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
40%
31%
SC HeerenveenDraw 29%NEC Nijmegen
Bookmaker implied
51%
26%
SC HeerenveenDraw 23%NEC Nijmegen
1.2 – 1.0
Expected score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Match Result
SC Heerenveen
51%1.83
fair 1.97-7%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
24%4.00
fair 4.24-6%
Last 1035%7/20
NEC Nijmegen
26%3.60
fair 3.89-7%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
SC Heerenveen
66%1.37
fair 1.51-9%
Last 1054%7/13
NEC Nijmegen
34%2.70
fair 2.97-9%
Last 1046%6/13
Double chance
SC Heerenveen or draw
74%1.26
fair 1.35-6%
Last 1070%14/20
SC Heerenveen or NEC Nijmegen
76%1.21
fair 1.31-8%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or NEC Nijmegen
49%1.89
fair 2.03-7%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.3 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%Yes 1.40
Last 1065%13/20
SC Heerenveen clean sheet
23%
model chance
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
18%
model chance
SC Heerenveen goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%
NEC Nijmegen goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
SC Heerenveen corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
NEC Nijmegen corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 3.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
SC Heerenveen cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
NEC Nijmegen cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maxence Rivera SC Heerenveen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 62% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -11% |
Jacob Trenskow SC Heerenveen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | 56% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -3% |
Noé Lebreton NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 43% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -21% |
Bryan Linssen NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 55% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -23% |
Ayodele Thomas NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -24% |
Noé Lebreton NEC Nijmegen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 49% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -26% |
Dylan Vente SC Heerenveen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 53% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Roberts Uldrikis SC Heerenveen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 46% | 100%5/5 | 50%5/10 | -34% |
Kaj Sierhuis NEC Nijmegen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 48% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -34% |
Luca Oyen SC Heerenveen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 41% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -42% |
Ringo Meerveld SC Heerenveen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 19% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -74% |
Levi Smans SC Heerenveen | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | 12% | 40%2/5 | 43%3/7 | -79% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SC HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
- 8
- League position
- 12
- WLWDL
- Last 5
- DDDLD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
SC Heerenveen wins
7
Draws
7
NEC Nijmegen wins
Last 18 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
22 Mar 2026
Last meeting
SC Heerenveen in the last 5 meetings
DWWLL
Injuries & Suspensions
SC Heerenveen
No reported absences
NEC Nijmegen
- Bram NuytinckAnkle Surgery
- Philippe SandlerUnknown Injury
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonSC Heerenveen
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow
4 goals
Most assists
Levi Smans
3 assists
Best rated
Jacob Trenskow
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilios ZagaritisDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Bernt KlaverboerGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Maas WillemsenDefender | 9 (9) | 806 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Jacob TrenskowMidfielder | 9 (9) | 778 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.34 | |
| Sam KerstenDefender | 9 (9) | 766 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | |
| Dylan VenteAttacker | 9 (9) | 755 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Oliver BraudeDefender | 8 (8) | 678 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Maxence RiveraMidfielder | 8 (7) | 539 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Nolhan CourtensMidfielder | 7 (6) | 532 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Marcus LindayMidfielder | 6 (6) | 530 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Ringo MeerveldMidfielder | 9 (6) | 501 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Dirk ProperMidfielder | 5 (5) | 409 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Levi SmansMidfielder | 7 (4) | 342 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Luca OyenAttacker | 8 (1) | 190 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.76 | |
| L. MachineAttacker | 4 (1) | 102 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
NEC Nijmegen
Top scorer
Tjaronn Chery
4 goals
Most assists
Tjaronn Chery
3 assists
Best rated
Tjaronn Chery
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. StormDefender | 8 (8) | 714 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Tjaronn CheryAttacker | 7 (7) | 622 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.54 | – |
| Dušan TadićAttacker | 7 (7) | 620 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Noé LebretonMidfielder | 9 (7) | 610 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Gonzalo CrettazGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 586 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Darko NejasmicMidfielder | 7 (7) | 561 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Bryan LinssenAttacker | 8 (6) | 547 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Clement BischoffMidfielder | 7 (6) | 478 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Jamiro MonteiroMidfielder | 8 (5) | 433 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Adam TahauiAttacker | 7 (4) | 371 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Deveron FonvilleDefender | 5 (5) | 365 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Gabriel BrásDefender | 4 (3) | 285 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Kaj SierhuisAttacker | 5 (2) | 257 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Bram NuytinckDefender | 5 (3) | 251 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Dennis GeigerMidfielder | 5 (3) | 248 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.42 | 2.85 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.87 | 1.40 |
| Betano.dk | 1.02 | 1.44 |