Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax – Match preview
Sparta Rotterdam-:-
AjaxSparta-Stadion Het KasteelRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
2%
94%
Sparta RotterdamDraw 4%Ajax
Bookmaker implied
19%
61%
Sparta RotterdamDraw 20%Ajax
0.7 – 4.7
Expected score
90%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Sparta Rotterdam
22%5.50
fair 4.64disputed
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
21%4.92
fair 4.69+5%
Last 1035%7/20
Ajax
57%1.49
fair 1.75-15%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Sparta Rotterdam
27%4.38
fair 3.65disputed
Last 1031%4/13
Ajax
73%1.19
fair 1.38-14%
Last 1069%9/13
Double chance
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
43%2.60
fair 2.33disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Sparta Rotterdam or Ajax
79%1.17
fair 1.27-8%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Ajax
78%1.14
fair 1.27-11%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | 1.11 / 6.79 | 85%17/20 | Under +11% |
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | 1.35 / 3.15 | 50%10/20 | Under +11% |
| Over/under 3.5main | 44% | 56% | 1.92 / 1.92 | 40%8/20 | Under +8% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | 3.03 / 1.38 | 25%5/20 | Under +3% |
Both teams to score
62%Yes 1.44
Last 1055%11/20
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet
16%
model chance
Ajax clean sheet
28%
model chance
Sparta Rotterdam goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Ajax goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 28%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Sparta Rotterdam corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Ajax corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 45%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 3.4 match cards · Referee Danny Desmond Makkelie (3.5 cards a match, ×0.84)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Sparta Rotterdam cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Ajax cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Sparta RotterdamAjax
- 13
- League position
- 4
- WDLLD
- Last 5
- WDDWW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 18
- 15
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Sparta Rotterdam wins
5
Draws
21
Ajax wins
Last 28 meetings
3.8
Goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
14 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Sparta Rotterdam in the last 5 meetings
LDDLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Sparta Rotterdam
- Max de LigtUnknown Injury
- Shunsuke MitoUnknown Injury
Ajax
- Anton GaaeiUnknown Injury
- Caio HenriqueThigh Problems
- Daley BlindBack Injury
- Kasper DolbergCruciate Ligament Tear
- Oliver EdvardsenUnknown Injury
- Steven BerghuisUnknown Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Sparta Rotterdam
5-4-1- 1Michael BrouwerGoalkeeper
- 2Lushendry MartesDefender
- 3Marvin YoungDefender
- 6Nick VerschurenDefender
- 4Bruno Martins IndiDefender
- 5Bas KuipersDefender
- 7Robin van CruijsenMidfielder
- 8Jens ToornstraMidfielder
- 10Cedric HatenboerMidfielder
- 11Isaac BabadiMidfielder
- 9Milan ZonneveldAttacker
Ajax
4-2-3-1- 1Marc ter StegenGoalkeeper
- 2Lucas RosaDefender
- 30Aaron BouwmanDefender
- 36Dies JanseDefender
- 5Owen WijndalDefender
- 24Jorthy MokioMidfielder
- 4Sofyan AmrabatMidfielder
- 18Davy KlaassenMidfielder
- 8Julian BrandtAttacker
- 10Oscar GloukhMidfielder
- 38Marcos LeonardoAttacker
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonSparta Rotterdam
Top scorer
Milan Zonneveld
6 goals
Most assists
Bas Kuipers
3 assists
Best rated
Milan Zonneveld
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bas KuipersDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.72 | |
| Marvin YoungDefender | 9 (9) | 799 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Lushendry Edward MartesDefender | 9 (9) | 792 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.83 | ×3 |
| Bruno Martins IndiDefender | 8 (8) | 641 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Milan ZonneveldAttacker | 9 (6) | 584 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.26 | |
| Julian BaasMidfielder | 6 (6) | 464 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Michael BrouwerGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Cedric HatenboerMidfielder | 5 (5) | 432 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Casper TerhoAttacker | 8 (5) | 423 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Shunsuke MitoMidfielder | 5 (5) | 423 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Nick VerschurenDefender | 7 (4) | 393 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Filip BednarekGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Mitchell van BergenAttacker | 6 (3) | 319 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| Jens ToornstraMidfielder | 5 (4) | 306 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Isaac BabadiMidfielder | 5 (3) | 291 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.00 |
Ajax
Top scorer
Julian Brandt
6 goals
Most assists
Oscar Gloukh
4 assists
Best rated
Julian Brandt
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André ter StegenGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Youri BaasDefender | 8 (7) | 654 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Jorthy MokioMidfielder | 9 (7) | 613 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Julian BrandtMidfielder | 9 (7) | 605 | 6 | 0 | – | 7.50 | – |
| Oscar GloukhMidfielder | 9 (8) | 591 | 1 | 4 | – | 7.49 | |
| Davy KlaassenMidfielder | 9 (7) | 540 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Caio HenriqueDefender | 7 (6) | 488 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Aaron BouwmanDefender | 6 (5) | 461 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.02 | |
| Lucas RosaDefender | 5 (5) | 433 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Steven BerghuisAttacker | 6 (6) | 406 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.50 | |
| Tolu ArokodareAttacker | 8 (4) | 362 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.37 | – |
| Anton GaaeiDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.22 | |
| Thilo KehrerDefender | 5 (4) | 353 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Sofyan AmrabatMidfielder | 6 (3) | 353 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Kasper DolbergAttacker | 6 (4) | 329 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.19 | – |
Referee
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Referee · Curaçao
- Cards per game
- 3.31
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.11
- Red cards per game
- 0.20
- Fouls per game
- 22.6
- Penalties per game
- 0.38
- Home wins
- 45%
Averages across 65 completed matches officiated by Danny Desmond Makkelie in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.07 | 6.62 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.77 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 6.50 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 2.54 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 2.04 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.78 | 2.00 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.09 | 1.79 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.20 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.63 | 2.27 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.28 | 1.12 |
| bet365 | 3.10 | 1.36 |
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 17.00 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 1.33 |
| Betinia | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Betsonic | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| BetVictor | 1.51 | 2.03 |
| Campobet | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 6.79 | 1.11 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Home | Draw/Away | Away/Draw | Home/Home | Home/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Draw | Away/Away | Draw/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 36.00 | 4.75 | 15.50 | 8.80 | 18.00 | 8.20 | 16.00 | 2.09 | 12.70 |
| Marathonbet | 36.00 | 4.75 | 15.75 | 8.80 | 18.00 | 8.20 | 16.25 | 2.09 | 12.75 |