FC Midtjylland vs Ajax – Match preview
FC Midtjylland-:-
AjaxMCH ArenaRound 3
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
32%
47%
FC MidtjyllandDraw 21%Ajax
Bookmaker implied
34%
40%
FC MidtjyllandDraw 26%Ajax
1.8 – 2.1
Expected score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
31%
33%
FC MidtjyllandDraw 36%Ajax
Double Chance
31%
46%
FC MidtjyllandDraw 23%Ajax
Half Time Result
44%
52%
FC MidtjyllandDraw 4%Ajax
Probability
Both Teams to Score
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
39%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
78%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
69%
Match Result
FC Midtjylland
36%2.75
fair 2.81-2%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
26%3.74
fair 3.85-3%
Last 1040%8/20
Ajax
38%2.38
fair 2.60-8%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
FC Midtjylland
48%2.01
fair 2.08-3%
Last 1050%6/12
Ajax
52%1.74
fair 1.92-10%
Last 1050%6/12
Double chance
FC Midtjylland or draw
62%1.58
fair 1.63-3%
Last 1070%14/20
FC Midtjylland or Ajax
74%1.28
fair 1.35-5%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Ajax
64%1.45
fair 1.55-7%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%Yes 1.50
Last 1070%14/20
FC Midtjylland clean sheet
21%
model chance
Ajax clean sheet
26%
model chance
FC Midtjylland goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Ajax goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
FC Midtjylland corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Ajax corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 91% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
FC Midtjylland cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Ajax cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026FC MidtjyllandAjax
- 14
- League position
- 2
- LDWWW
- Last 5
- WLWWD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 14
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 9.74
- xG for (L5)
- 11.72
- 5.47
- xG against (L5)
- 7.52
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
FC Midtjylland wins
0
Draws
2
Ajax wins
Last 2 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Nov 2020
Last meeting
FC Midtjylland in the last 2 meetings
LL
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Midtjylland
- Elías ÓlafssonKidney Problems
- Júnior BrumadoKnee Injury
- M. JensenFoot Injury
- Martin ErlićFoot Injury
- Mikel GogorzaGroin Injury
Ajax
- Anton GaaeiUnknown Injury
- Caio HenriqueThigh Problems
- Daley BlindBack Injury
- Kasper DolbergCruciate Ligament Tear
- Oliver EdvardsenUnknown Injury
- Steven BerghuisUnknown Injury
Key Players
Europa Conference League, this seasonFC Midtjylland
Top scorer
Gue-sung Cho
3 goals
Most assists
Rasmus Kristensen
2 assists
Best rated
M. Jensen
7.89
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Bech SørensenDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.91 | |
| Rasmus KristensenDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 7.12 | – |
| Denil CastilloMidfielder | 5 (5) | 362 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Philip BillingMidfielder | 5 (4) | 362 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Pedro BravoMidfielder | 5 (5) | 361 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Elías ÓlafssonGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Sofus JohannesenMidfielder | 6 (3) | 348 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Gue-sung ChoAttacker | 6 (3) | 300 | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 7.23 | – |
| Kjell WätjenMidfielder | 5 (2) | 245 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.68 | – |
| Darío OsorioMidfielder | 4 (2) | 239 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.26 | |
| Valdemar ByskovMidfielder | 4 (3) | 234 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.31 | – |
| FranculinoAttacker | 4 (3) | 226 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.32 | – |
| Stanley IheanachoAttacker | 6 (1) | 224 | 2 | 1 | 0.39 | 6.85 | – |
| EtimAttacker | 5 (1) | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.41 | – |
| M. JensenDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.89 | – |
Ajax
Top scorer
Davy Klaassen
5 goals
Most assists
Steven Berghuis
3 assists
Best rated
Mika Godts
8.13
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron BouwmanDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| Davy KlaassenMidfielder | 7 (7) | 474 | 5 | 0 | 0.18 | 7.29 | – |
| Youri RegeerMidfielder | 6 (6) | 429 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.17 | |
| Julian BrandtMidfielder | 6 (5) | 411 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 7.19 | – |
| Youri BaasDefender | 5 (4) | 404 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Owen WijndalDefender | 6 (5) | 392 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.91 | – |
| Jorthy MokioMidfielder | 8 (2) | 392 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Lucas RosaDefender | 6 (4) | 386 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 7.13 | |
| Oscar GloukhMidfielder | 7 (5) | 380 | 4 | 0 | 0.37 | 7.25 | – |
| Marc-André ter StegenGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Maarten PaesGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Steven BerghuisAttacker | 5 (5) | 353 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.92 | – |
| Daley BlindDefender | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Marcos LeonardoAttacker | 7 (3) | 291 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.47 | |
| Abdellah OuazaneMidfielder | 7 (2) | 279 | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | 7.04 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.79 | 2.00 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.76 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.07 | 1.69 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.11 | 1.72 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.07 | 1.78 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| Betano.dk | 2.42 | 1.57 |