Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille – Match preview

Thursday, 05 November 2026 · 21:00

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

-:-

Olympique Marseille

BayArenaRound 4

Predictions

Full Time Result

39%

24%

Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 37%Olympique Marseille

Double Chance

56%

23%

Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 21%Olympique Marseille

Half Time Result

57%

38%

Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 5%Olympique Marseille

Probability

Both Teams to Score

57%

Over 1.5 Goals

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Over 3.5 Goals

37%

Over 4.5 Goals

13%

Over 0.5 Goals

56%

Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)

59%

Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)

82%

Match Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

63%1.40

fair 1.58-11%

Last 1075%15/20

Draw

20%5.14

fair 5.08+1%

Last 105%1/20

Olympique Marseille

17%6.61

fair 5.86disputed

Last 1020%4/20

Draw no bet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

79%1.13

fair 1.27-11%

Last 1079%15/19

Olympique Marseille

21%5.32

fair 4.71disputed

Last 1021%4/19

Double chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw

83%1.10

fair 1.21-9%

Last 1080%16/20

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Olympique Marseille

80%1.16

fair 1.25-7%

Last 1095%19/20

Draw or Olympique Marseille

37%2.89

fair 2.72+6%

Last 1025%5/20

Expected goals 2.1–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	97%	3%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	85%	15%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 2.5	66%	34%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	44%	56%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 4.5	26%	74%	–	30%6/20	–

Both teams to score

61%Yes 1.66

Last 1045%9/20

Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet

22%

model chance

Olympique Marseille clean sheet

15%

model chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals

O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%

Olympique Marseille goals

O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%

Corners

Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	75%	25%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 8.5	64%	36%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	51%	49%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 10.5	38%	62%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 11.5	27%	73%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 12.5	18%	82%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 13.5	12%	88%	–	20%4/20	–

Bayer 04 Leverkusen corners

O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%

Olympique Marseille corners

O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%

Cards

Expected 4.2 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	79%	21%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5	60%	40%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	41%	59%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 5.5	24%	76%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 6.5	13%	87%	–	10%2/20	–

Bayer 04 Leverkusen cards

O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%

Olympique Marseille cards

O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Amine Harit Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	57%	60%3/5	70%7/10	-21%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.50	1.50	49%	60%3/5	70%7/10	-26%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Goals · 1.72	1.72	41%	60%3/5	70%7/10	-29%
Nathan Tella Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40	1.40	53%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-25%
Aleix García Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	42%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-33%
Afonso Moreira Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40	1.40	46%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-36%
Facundo Medina Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	40%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-42%
Christian Kofane Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66	1.66	22%	40%2/5	60%6/10	-64%
Keyliane Abdallah Olympique Marseille	Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10	2.10	32%	60%3/5	50%5/10	-34%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.72	1.72	36%	60%3/5	50%5/10	-39%
Robert Andrich Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	41%	80%4/5	50%5/10	-45%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 3.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	34%	40%2/5	50%5/10	-49%

Player prop screener

Key Players

Europa League, this season