Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais – Match preview
-:-
Anoeta StadiumRound 4
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
29%
46%
Real SociedadDraw 25%Olympique Lyonnais
Bookmaker implied
48%
27%
Real SociedadDraw 25%Olympique Lyonnais
1.2 – 1.6
Expected score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
40%
22%
Real SociedadDraw 38%Olympique Lyonnais
Double Chance
49%
27%
Real SociedadDraw 24%Olympique Lyonnais
Half Time Result
57%
37%
Real SociedadDraw 6%Olympique Lyonnais
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
Over 0.5 Goals
48%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
62%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
78%
Match Result
Real Sociedad
49%1.96
fair 2.06-5%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
25%3.82
fair 4.05-6%
Last 1020%4/20
Olympique Lyonnais
27%3.57
fair 3.75-5%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad
65%1.45
fair 1.55-6%
Last 1056%9/16
Olympique Lyonnais
35%2.64
fair 2.83-7%
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Real Sociedad or draw
73%1.30
fair 1.36-5%
Last 1065%13/20
Real Sociedad or Olympique Lyonnais
75%1.27
fair 1.33-4%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais
51%1.85
fair 1.95-5%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%Yes 1.53
Last 1065%13/20
Real Sociedad clean sheet
22%
model chance
Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet
18%
model chance
Real Sociedad goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%
Olympique Lyonnais goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Real Sociedad corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Olympique Lyonnais corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Real Sociedad cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Olympique Lyonnais cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zachary Athekame Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 51% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -29% |
Jon Aramburu Real Sociedad | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -45% |
Mohamed Ouédraogo Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -56% |
Julien Duranville Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 47% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -14% |
Luka Sucic Real Sociedad | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 48% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -24% |
Gonçalo Guedes Real Sociedad | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 52% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -27% |
Beñat Turrientes Real Sociedad | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 36% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -41% |
Corentin Tolisso Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 37% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -43% |
Luka Sucic Real Sociedad | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 41% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -44% |
Gonçalo Guedes Real Sociedad | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 34% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -44% |
Pavel Sulc Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.37 | 2.37 | 21% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -50% |
Pavel Sulc Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 32% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -53% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Real SociedadOlympique Lyonnais
- 27
- League position
- 22
- WDL
- Last 5
- LWW
- 1.33
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 4.26
- xG for (L5)
- 4.99
- 5.08
- xG against (L5)
- 5.61
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Sociedad
- Álvaro OdriozolaCruciate Ligament Tear
Olympique Lyonnais
- Loïs OpendaBroken Fibula
- Mohamed OuédraogoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Nicolás TagliaficoMuscle Injury
- Pavel SulcMeniscus Injury
Key Players
Europa League, this seasonReal Sociedad
Top scorer
Sergio Gómez
3 goals
Most assists
Mikel Oyarzabal
3 assists
Best rated
Sergio Gómez
7.90
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio GómezDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 3 | 0 | 0.34 | 7.90 | – |
| Unai MarreroGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Jon MartínDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Mamadou SarrDefender | 3 (3) | 225 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Mikel OyarzabalAttacker | 3 (3) | 221 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 7.09 | – |
| Gonçalo GuedesMidfielder | 3 (2) | 213 | 0 | 1 | 0.54 | 7.12 | – |
| Jon GorrotxategiMidfielder | 3 (2) | 188 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.68 | |
| Igor ZubeldiaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Luka SucicAttacker | 3 (2) | 158 | 2 | 0 | 0.49 | 7.40 | – |
| Yangel HerreraMidfielder | 2 (2) | 130 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Beñat TurrientesMidfielder | 3 (1) | 126 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Orri ÓskarssonAttacker | 3 (1) | 123 | 1 | 0 | 0.91 | 6.70 | |
| Ander BarrenetxeaAttacker | 2 (1) | 94 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Carlos SolerMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.90 | – |
| Luken BeitiaDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.29 | – |
Olympique Lyonnais
Top scorer
Keito Nakamura
1 goals
Most assists
Keito Nakamura
2 assists
Best rated
Keito Nakamura
7.84
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben KluivertDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.55 | – |
| Keito NakamuraAttacker | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 7.84 | |
| Noah NarteyMidfielder | 3 (3) | 242 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Tyler MortonMidfielder | 3 (2) | 209 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.94 | – |
| Kaïl BoudacheAttacker | 3 (2) | 185 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.75 | – |
| Dominik GreifGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Clinton MataDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.12 | – |
| Felix BacherDefender | 3 (2) | 179 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Tanner TessmannMidfielder | 3 (2) | 147 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Corentin TolissoMidfielder | 3 (1) | 136 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.97 | – |
| Moussa NiakhatéDefender | 2 (1) | 91 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | |
| Zachary AthekameDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Rémy DescampsGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Rémi HimbertAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.49 | – |
| AbnerDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.87 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.88 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.66 | 1.48 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.47 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.96 | 1.88 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| Betano.dk | 1.21 | 1.03 |