Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth – Match preview
Sparta Praha-:-
AFC BournemouthTC StrahovRound 4
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
14%
62%
Sparta PrahaDraw 24%AFC Bournemouth
Bookmaker implied
18%
60%
Sparta PrahaDraw 22%AFC Bournemouth
0.6 – 1.6
Expected score
38%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
49%
17%
Sparta PrahaDraw 34%AFC Bournemouth
Double Chance
52%
28%
Sparta PrahaDraw 20%AFC Bournemouth
Half Time Result
67%
27%
Sparta PrahaDraw 6%AFC Bournemouth
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
Over 0.5 Goals
52%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
59%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
76%
Match Result
Sparta Praha
24%5.24
fair 4.16disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
24%4.35
fair 4.25+2%
Last 1020%4/20
AFC Bournemouth
52%1.57
fair 1.91-18%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Sparta Praha
31%4.04
fair 3.18disputed
Last 1044%7/16
AFC Bournemouth
69%1.21
fair 1.46-17%
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw
48%2.38
fair 2.10disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Sparta Praha or AFC Bournemouth
76%1.21
fair 1.31-7%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
76%1.15
fair 1.32-13%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%Yes 1.66
Last 1035%7/20
Sparta Praha clean sheet
22%
model chance
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet
27%
model chance
Sparta Praha goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
AFC Bournemouth goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Sparta Praha corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
AFC Bournemouth corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Sparta Praha cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 41%O3.5 20%
AFC Bournemouth cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Mercado Sparta Praha | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 51% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -16% |
John Mercado Sparta Praha | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 51% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -32% |
Adrien Truffert AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 40% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -36% |
Matej Rynes Sparta Praha | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 39% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -45% |
Ben Gannon-Doak AFC Bournemouth | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -49% |
Justin Kluivert AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 27% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -62% |
Eli Kroupi AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.50 | 1.50 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -70% |
Eli Kroupi AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.72 | 1.72 | 16% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -73% |
Justin Kluivert AFC Bournemouth | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 10% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -83% |
John Mercado Sparta Praha | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.33 | 4.33 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -5% |
John Mercado Sparta Praha | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | 29% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -14% |
Lewis Cook AFC Bournemouth | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Sparta PrahaAFC Bournemouth
- 29
- League position
- 11
- LDW
- Last 5
- WWW
- 1.33
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- 4.51
- xG for (L5)
- 7.25
- 4.49
- xG against (L5)
- 1.56
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Injuries & Suspensions
Sparta Praha
- Adam KarabecAnkle Injury
- Emmanuel UchennaThigh Problems
- Magnus Kofod AndersenCruciate Ligament Injury
- Matej RynesAnkle Injury
- Ondrej PenxaCruciate Ligament Injury
AFC Bournemouth
- Alex ScottHamstring Injury
- Daniel JebbisonNo Eligibility
- Eli KroupiFoot Injury
- Fraser ForsterNo Eligibility
- Juanlu SánchezNo Eligibility
- Julián AraujoHamstring Injury
- Max AaronsNo Eligibility
- Veljko MilosavljevicKnee Injury
Key Players
Europa League, this seasonSparta Praha
Top scorer
Tobias Guddal
2 goals
Most assists
Josimar Alcócer
1 assists
Best rated
Josimar Alcócer
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias GuddalDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.35 | – |
| Jakub SurovcikGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Martin SuchomelDefender | 3 (3) | 241 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Josimar AlcócerAttacker | 3 (2) | 224 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.45 | – |
| Roman MacekMidfielder | 3 (2) | 186 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Jonatan Braut BrunesAttacker | 3 (2) | 181 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.02 | – |
| Matej JurasekMidfielder | 3 (2) | 149 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.76 | – |
| Ki-Jana HoeverDefender | 2 (1) | 108 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Andrew IrvingMidfielder | 2 (1) | 106 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Sivert MannsverkMidfielder | 2 (1) | 106 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Jaroslav ZelenýDefender | 2 (1) | 100 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| John MercadoAttacker | 2 (1) | 98 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.36 | – |
| Santiago EnemeMidfielder | 2 (1) | 95 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.60 | – |
| Loïc Mbe SohDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Viktor VitályosDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
AFC Bournemouth
Top scorer
Justin Kluivert
2 goals
Most assists
Adrien Truffert
1 assists
Best rated
António Silva
7.57
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| António SilvaDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.57 | – |
| Marcus TavernierMidfielder | 3 (3) | 222 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 7.04 | – |
| James HillDefender | 3 (2) | 208 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.21 | – |
| Bafodé DiakitéDefender | 3 (2) | 207 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×3 |
| EvanilsonAttacker | 3 (3) | 207 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.30 | |
| Tyler AdamsMidfielder | 3 (3) | 193 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Ben Gannon-DoakMidfielder | 3 (2) | 193 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.82 | – |
| Adrien TruffertDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.92 | |
| Djordje PetrovicGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Justin KluivertAttacker | 3 (2) | 165 | 2 | 0 | 1.21 | 6.87 | |
| Ryan ChristieMidfielder | 3 (1) | 138 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.00 | – |
| Álvaro RodríguezAttacker | 3 (1) | 133 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Adam SmithDefender | 2 (2) | 125 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| RayanAttacker | 3 (1) | 119 | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 7.33 | – |
| Lewis CookMidfielder | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.87 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.99 | 1.82 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.59 | 1.50 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.99 | 1.85 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| Betano.dk | 12.50 | 1.03 |