Sturm Graz vs Celje – Match preview
-:-
Merkur ArenaRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
31%
29%
Sturm GrazDraw 40%Celje
Double Chance
43%
32%
Sturm GrazDraw 25%Celje
Half Time Result
48%
46%
Sturm GrazDraw 6%Celje
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
Over 0.5 Goals
43%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
66%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
74%
Match Result
Sturm Graz
58%1.57
fair 1.72-8%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw
23%4.39
fair 4.44-1%
Last 1025%5/20
Celje
19%5.20
fair 5.200%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz
75%1.21
fair 1.33-9%
Last 1073%11/15
Celje
25%4.02
fair 4.030%
Last 1027%4/15
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw
81%1.16
fair 1.24-6%
Last 1080%16/20
Sturm Graz or Celje
78%1.21
fair 1.29-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Celje
42%2.38
fair 2.40-1%
Last 1045%9/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.61
Last 1045%9/20
Sturm Graz clean sheet
29%
model chance
Celje clean sheet
19%
model chance
Sturm Graz goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Celje goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Sturm Graz corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Celje corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 63%O4.5 43%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Sturm Graz cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Celje cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Verbic Celje | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Paul Koller Sturm Graz | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Blaz Kramer Celje | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Benjamin Verbic Celje | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Albert Vallci Sturm Graz | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Otar Kiteishvili Sturm Graz | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Veton Tusha Celje | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jürgen Heil Sturm Graz | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Blaz Kramer Celje | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Blaz Kramer Celje | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Milot Avdyli Celje | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Armandas Kucys Celje | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%4/8 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Sturm GrazCelje
- 34
- League position
- 62
- WLD
- Last 5
- DLL
- 1.33
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.33
- 1
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 2.31
- xG for (L5)
- 3.02
- 6.10
- xG against (L5)
- 4.51
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Sturm Graz
- Daniil KhudyakovLower Leg Fracture
- Emran SogloHamstring Injury
- Filip RózgaMuscle Injury
- Gizo MamageishviliFoot Injury
- Jürgen HeilMuscular problems
- Leon GrgicCruciate Ligament Tear
- Nelson WeiperInflammation Of Pubic Bone
- Niklas GeyrhoferNo Eligibility
- Otar KiteishviliCalf Injury
- Seedy JattaShoulder Injury
- Szymon WlodarczykNo Eligibility
Celje
- Damjan VuklisevicNo Eligibility
- Ivan ĆalušićNo Eligibility
- Jost PisekNo Eligibility
- Rudi Pozeg VancasNo Eligibility
- Simon SlugaNo Eligibility
Key Players
Europa League, this seasonSturm Graz
Top scorer
Oumar Diakité
1 goals
Most assists
Luca Weinhandl
1 assists
Best rated
Luca Weinhandl
7.14
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua QuarshieDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Valmir MatoshiMidfielder | 3 (3) | 260 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.79 | – |
| Luís BalboDefender | 3 (3) | 254 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.64 | |
| Jacob Peter HödlMidfielder | 3 (3) | 252 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 6.34 | – |
| Arjan MalicDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Jon Gorenc StankovicMidfielder | 3 (2) | 189 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.68 | |
| Paul KollerDefender | 3 (2) | 187 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.98 | – |
| Jürgen HeilDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Daniil KhudyakovGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Luca WeinhandlMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.14 | |
| Simon SeidlAttacker | 3 (2) | 174 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.83 | – |
| Belmin BeganovicAttacker | 3 (2) | 167 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.54 | |
| Oumar DiakitéAttacker | 3 (1) | 103 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.73 | |
| Ammar HelacGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Petar PetrovićDefender | 1 (1) | 75 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
Celje
Top scorer
Blaz Kramer
1 goals
Most assists
Svit Seslar
1 assists
Best rated
Svit Seslar
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zan Luk LebanGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Mark ZabukovnikMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Svit SeslarMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 7.18 | – |
| Artemijus TutyškinasDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Milot AvdyliDefender | 3 (3) | 253 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 7.04 | – |
| Lukasz BejgerDefender | 3 (3) | 242 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Blaz KramerAttacker | 3 (2) | 209 | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.79 | – |
| Benjamin VerbicMidfielder | 3 (2) | 178 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.51 | |
| Pijus SirvysDefender | 2 (2) | 171 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Yaya DukulyMidfielder | 3 (2) | 153 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Mario KvesicMidfielder | 2 (1) | 133 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Luka TičićMidfielder | 2 (2) | 126 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Zan ZuzekDefender | 2 (1) | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.59 | – |
| Armandas KucysAttacker | 3 (1) | 98 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.81 | – |
| Veton TushaAttacker | 2 (1) | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 6.50 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.84 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.98 | 1.86 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.00 | 1.84 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| Betano.dk | 7.40 | 1.09 |