Spartak Varna vs Arda – Match preview
-:-
Stadion SpartakRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
41%
28%
Spartak VarnaDraw 31%Arda
1.1 – 0.8
Expected score
31%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
27%
46%
Spartak VarnaDraw 27%Arda
First Half Result
23%
33%
Spartak VarnaDraw 44%Arda
Team to Score First
39%
53%
Spartak VarnaNo goal 8%Arda
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Spartak Varna Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Spartak Varna Over 1.5 Goals
28%
Arda Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Spartak Varna Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Match Result
Spartak Varna
38%–
model 2.65–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
27%–
model 3.71–
Last 1025%5/20
Arda
35%–
model 2.84–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Spartak Varna
52%–
model 1.93–
Last 1033%5/15
Arda
48%–
model 2.07–
Last 1067%10/15
Double chance
Spartak Varna or draw
65%–
model 1.54–
Last 1050%10/20
Spartak Varna or Arda
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Arda
62%–
model 1.61–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1050%10/20
Spartak Varna clean sheet
21%
model chance
Arda clean sheet
26%
model chance
Spartak Varna goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Arda goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Spartak Varna corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Arda corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Spartak Varna cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Arda cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Spartak VarnaArda
- 8
- League position
- 6
- LLWLD
- Last 5
- DLDLL
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 14
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Spartak Varna wins
1
Draws
1
Arda wins
Last 4 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
27 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Spartak Varna in the last 4 meetings
LWDW
Key Players
First League, this seasonSpartak Varna
Top scorer
Boubacar Hanne
2 goals
Most assists
Jota Lopes
4 assists
Best rated
Georg Stojanovski
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plamen IlievGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.04 | |
| Angel GranchovDefender | 12 (12) | 1036 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×5 |
| Boris IvanovDefender | 13 (10) | 1018 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.17 | |
| David ValverdeMidfielder | 13 (10) | 905 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.31 | ×3 |
| Joey TshitokuDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | ×2 |
| Boubacar HanneAttacker | 12 (9) | 807 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.43 | |
| Tsvetoslav MarinovMidfielder | 12 (10) | 785 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×4 |
| Jota LopesMidfielder | 11 (9) | 737 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.39 | |
| Sámuel MajorMidfielder | 11 (7) | 735 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×3 |
| Anton IvanovMidfielder | 12 (9) | 705 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.44 | |
| Tomás SilvaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 562 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Ahmed AhmedovAttacker | 8 (7) | 530 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Ricardo SousaMidfielder | 9 (4) | 405 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.40 | |
| Vasco OliveiraDefender | 5 (3) | 282 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.16 | |
| Dimo KrastevDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.96 | – |
Arda
Top scorer
Birsent Karagaren
4 goals
Most assists
Birsent Karagaren
2 assists
Best rated
Preslav Valeriev Bachev
6.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoli GospodinovGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.04 | |
| Lachezar KotevMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | ×3 |
| Vyacheslav VelevDefender | 12 (12) | 1071 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.19 | ×5 |
| Svetoslav KovachevMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1030 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.40 | ×2 |
| Viktor Borislavov LyubenovDefender | 12 (11) | 929 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | ×2 |
| Birsent KaragarenMidfielder | 12 (11) | 878 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.47 | ×2 |
| Stanislav IvanovMidfielder | 9 (9) | 702 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Preslav Valeriev BachevAttacker | 11 (9) | 684 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Viktor PopovDefender | 10 (7) | 666 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.21 | |
| Adama Ardile TraoréDefender | 9 (7) | 650 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | – |
| Dimitar VelkovskiDefender | 8 (7) | 591 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.24 | |
| Dominik YankovMidfielder | 10 (7) | 511 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.49 | ×2 |
| David IdowuMidfielder | 8 (3) | 397 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | |
| Martin PaskalevDefender | 5 (5) | 364 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×2 |
| Antonio VutovMidfielder | 7 (4) | 337 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×3 |
More on Spartak Varna vs Arda
- Spartak Varna stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Arda stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- First League (Bulgaria) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture