Burgos vs Castellón – Match preview
Burgos-:-
CastellónEstadio Municipal de El PlantíoRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
14%
59%
BurgosDraw 27%Castellón
0.6 – 1.4
Expected score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Burgos
42%–
fair 2.41–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
30%–
fair 3.37–
Last 1030%6/20
Castellón
29%–
fair 3.47–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Burgos
59%–
fair 1.69–
Last 1057%8/14
Castellón
41%–
fair 2.44–
Last 1043%6/14
Double chance
Burgos or draw
71%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1070%14/20
Burgos or Castellón
70%–
fair 1.42–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Castellón
58%–
fair 1.71–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
49%
Last 1045%9/20
Burgos clean sheet
30%
model chance
Castellón clean sheet
30%
model chance
Burgos goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Castellón goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Burgos corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Castellón corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 79%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 5.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Burgos cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 78%O2.5 54%O3.5 32%
Castellón cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026BurgosCastellón
- 8
- League position
- 2
- WLLWW
- Last 5
- WLDWW
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
0
Burgos wins
1
Draws
3
Castellón wins
Last 4 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Burgos in the last 4 meetings
LDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Burgos
No reported absences
Castellón
- Fabrizio BrignaniCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
La Liga 2, this seasonBurgos
Top scorer
David González
3 goals
Most assists
Javi Llabrés
3 assists
Best rated
Ander Cantero
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ander CanteroGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 898 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| David GonzálezMidfielder | 10 (10) | 842 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Grego SierraDefender | 9 (9) | 799 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×4 |
| Alberto DadieDefender | 10 (8) | 782 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×4 |
| Javi LlabrésMidfielder | 10 (10) | 725 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Curro SánchezMidfielder | 10 (8) | 636 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| José GrageraMidfielder | 10 (7) | 626 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Álex ForésAttacker | 10 (6) | 551 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Unai VencedorMidfielder | 7 (6) | 534 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Ignasi VilarrasaDefender | 8 (6) | 514 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Oier LuengoDefender | 6 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Jon KarrikaburuAttacker | 8 (5) | 403 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.81 | |
| Pablo GaldamesMidfielder | 9 (4) | 383 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Brais MartínezDefender | 7 (4) | 379 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Sergio GonzálezDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 |
Castellón
Top scorer
Ousmane Camara
4 goals
Most assists
Pablo Santiago
2 assists
Best rated
Israel Suero
7.52
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain MatthysGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Alberto JiménezDefender | 10 (10) | 859 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.23 | ×3 |
| Agustín SienraDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.21 | |
| Diego BarriMidfielder | 10 (10) | 801 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.11 | |
| Jérémy MellotDefender | 9 (8) | 756 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | |
| Álvaro MartínMidfielder | 9 (7) | 658 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | |
| Ousmane CamaraAttacker | 7 (7) | 609 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Pablo SantiagoMidfielder | 9 (7) | 567 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Israel SueroAttacker | 8 (6) | 542 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.52 | – |
| Juanjo NietoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 509 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Iñigo CórdobaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 502 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Adam JakobsenAttacker | 7 (6) | 484 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Fran CastilloMidfielder | 6 (3) | 309 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.28 | |
| Raúl SánchezAttacker | 7 (3) | 272 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | |
| Lucas AlcázarDefender | 6 (3) | 267 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |