Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona – Match preview
Atlético Madrid-:-
FC BarcelonaRiyadh Air MetropolitanoRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
24%
55%
Atlético MadridDraw 21%FC Barcelona
Bookmaker implied
26%
51%
Atlético MadridDraw 23%FC Barcelona
1.3 – 2.0
Expected score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
35%
43%
Atlético MadridDraw 22%FC Barcelona
First Half Result
30%
32%
Atlético MadridDraw 38%FC Barcelona
Team to Score First
44%
53%
Atlético MadridNo goal 3%FC Barcelona
Probability
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
Atlético Madrid Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Atlético Madrid Over 1.5 Goals
44%
FC Barcelona Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Atlético Madrid Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Match Result
Atlético Madrid
28%3.80
model 3.53+8%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
23%4.23
model 4.38-4%
Last 105%1/20
FC Barcelona
49%1.80
model 2.05-12%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Atlético Madrid
37%2.90
model 2.73disputed
Last 1053%10/19
FC Barcelona
63%1.37
model 1.58-13%
Last 1047%9/19
Double chance
Atlético Madrid or draw
51%2.00
model 1.96+2%
Last 1055%11/20
Atlético Madrid or FC Barcelona
77%1.22
model 1.30-6%
Last 1095%19/20
Draw or FC Barcelona
72%1.26
model 1.40-10%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.8 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
69%Yes 1.36
Last 1065%13/20
Atlético Madrid clean sheet
13%
model chance
FC Barcelona clean sheet
21%
model chance
Atlético Madrid goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
FC Barcelona goals
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Atlético Madrid corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
FC Barcelona corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Atlético Madrid cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
FC Barcelona cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lamine Yamal FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Raphinha FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Dani Olmo FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Raphinha FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.95 | 1.95 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Gabriel Jesus FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Álex Baena Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Anthony Gordon FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Lamine Yamal FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Anthony Gordon FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Dani Olmo FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.33 | 4.33 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
João Cancelo FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Álex Baena Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.33 | 4.33 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jonathan David Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Lamine Yamal FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Fermín López FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
João Cancelo FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Julián Alvarez Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Gabriel Jesus FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Giuliano Simeone Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Fermín López FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Karim Adeyemi FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Giuliano Simeone Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jonathan David Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Julián Alvarez Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Atlético MadridFC Barcelona
- 2
- League position
- 1
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- WLWWW
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 18
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 2.34
- xG for (L5)
- 3.81
- 3.55
- xG against (L5)
- 2.49
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
12
Atlético Madrid wins
11
Draws
35
FC Barcelona wins
Last 58 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
14 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Atlético Madrid in the last 5 meetings
LWLLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Madrid
No reported absences
FC Barcelona
- Andreas ChristensenMuscle Injury
- Dani OlmoAdductor Tear
- Eric GarcíaHamstring Injury
- Roony BardghjiCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonAtlético Madrid
Top scorer
Álex Baena
5 goals
Most assists
Álex Baena
3 assists
Best rated
Alejandro Grimaldo
7.42
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan OblakGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 947 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Alejandro GrimaldoDefender | 10 (9) | 849 | 4 | 2 | 0.15 | 7.42 | – |
| Dávid HanckoDefender | 11 (9) | 843 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 7.17 | |
| Giuliano SimeoneMidfielder | 11 (8) | 772 | 3 | 2 | 0.36 | 7.08 | |
| Marcos LlorenteDefender | 11 (8) | 769 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.14 | |
| Kang-in LeeAttacker | 11 (9) | 698 | 2 | 1 | 0.22 | 7.18 | ×2 |
| Álex BaenaMidfielder | 11 (7) | 692 | 5 | 3 | 0.13 | 7.37 | ×3 |
| Marc PubillDefender | 9 (8) | 674 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Ademola LookmanAttacker | 11 (9) | 611 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.49 | ×2 |
| Morten HjulmandMidfielder | 10 (7) | 602 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Pablo BarriosMidfielder | 8 (7) | 527 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 7.08 | – |
| KokeMidfielder | 8 (4) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Cristian RomeroDefender | 6 (5) | 435 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Robin Le NormandDefender | 7 (4) | 378 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Julián AlvarezAttacker | 7 (2) | 328 | 1 | 1 | 0.94 | 7.11 | – |
FC Barcelona
Top scorer
Raphinha
15 goals
Most assists
Lamine Yamal
7 assists
Best rated
Lamine Yamal
8.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine YamalAttacker | 11 (11) | 905 | 10 | 7 | 1.22 | 8.54 | ×2 |
| Joan GarcíaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| PedriMidfielder | 11 (9) | 755 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.14 | |
| RaphinhaAttacker | 10 (9) | 723 | 15 | 3 | 1.63 | 8.25 | – |
| Fermín LópezMidfielder | 10 (8) | 702 | 5 | 5 | 0.13 | 7.57 | ×3 |
| RodriMidfielder | 10 (8) | 697 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.41 | |
| Pau CubarsíDefender | 8 (8) | 692 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.06 | |
| Gerard MartínDefender | 10 (8) | 671 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.91 | |
| Xavi EspartDefender | 8 (8) | 650 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.13 | |
| Eric GarcíaDefender | 8 (7) | 603 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Anthony GordonAttacker | 10 (7) | 597 | 2 | 4 | 0.27 | 7.15 | |
| Karim AdeyemiAttacker | 11 (4) | 426 | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Andreas ChristensenDefender | 6 (4) | 401 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | – |
| João CanceloDefender | 8 (4) | 358 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Marc BernalMidfielder | 9 (3) | 356 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.01 | 1.84 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.60 | 2.38 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.91 | 1.41 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.80 | 1.97 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.04 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| Betano.dk | 13.50 | 1.03 |
More on Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona
- Atlético Madrid stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FC Barcelona stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture