Málaga vs Racing Santander – Match preview
Málaga-:-
Racing SantanderEstadio La RosaledaRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
58%
21%
MálagaDraw 21%Racing Santander
Bookmaker implied
39%
34%
MálagaDraw 27%Racing Santander
2.1 – 1.2
Expected score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
47%
27%
MálagaDraw 26%Racing Santander
First Half Result
35%
24%
MálagaDraw 41%Racing Santander
Team to Score First
56%
37%
MálagaNo goal 7%Racing Santander
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Málaga Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Málaga Over 1.5 Goals
47%
Racing Santander Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Málaga Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Match Result
Málaga
40%2.42
model 2.48-2%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
27%3.51
model 3.75-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Racing Santander
33%2.84
model 3.04-6%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Málaga
55%1.73
model 1.82-5%
Last 1043%6/14
Racing Santander
45%2.03
model 2.23-9%
Last 1057%8/14
Double chance
Málaga or draw
67%1.43
model 1.49-4%
Last 1060%12/20
Málaga or Racing Santander
73%1.31
model 1.36-4%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Racing Santander
60%1.57
model 1.68-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%Yes 1.53
Last 1060%12/20
Málaga clean sheet
21%
model chance
Racing Santander clean sheet
21%
model chance
Málaga goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Racing Santander goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Málaga corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 45%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Racing Santander corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Málaga cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Racing Santander cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yassir Zabiri Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Yassir Zabiri Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Adrián Niño Málaga | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.40 | 2.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Adrián Niño Málaga | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jeanuël Belocian Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 8.00 | 8.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jorge Salinas Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Iñigo Vicente Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Andrés Martín Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Andrés Martín Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Iñigo Vicente Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jorge Salinas Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Iker Luque Racing Santander | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 20%1/5 | 25%2/8 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026MálagaRacing Santander
- 20
- League position
- 14
- DLDLL
- Last 5
- WLDLL
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 17
- 1.01
- xG for (L5)
- 2.62
- 2.46
- xG against (L5)
- 0.67
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
0
Málaga wins
2
Draws
2
Racing Santander wins
Last 4 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
24 May 2026
Last meeting
Málaga in the last 4 meetings
DLLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Málaga
- Aarón OchoaMeniscus Tear
- Diego MurilloInner Knee Ligament Tear
- Joaquín MuñozCalf Injury
- Julen LobeteCruciate Ligament Tear
Racing Santander
No reported absences
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonMálaga
Top scorer
Adrián Niño
4 goals
Most assists
Pablo Martínez
2 assists
Best rated
Pablo Martínez
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso HerreroGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Ángel RecioDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Rafita GarridoDefender | 10 (9) | 831 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.83 | |
| David LarrubiaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 822 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×3 |
| ChupeAttacker | 10 (8) | 756 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Carlos DotorMidfielder | 9 (8) | 646 | 1 | 0 | 0.44 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Dani LorenzoMidfielder | 9 (7) | 616 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Einar GalileaDefender | 7 (7) | 560 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Carlos PugaDefender | 9 (6) | 490 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Izan MerinoMidfielder | 8 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Pablo MartínezMidfielder | 7 (5) | 478 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.19 | |
| Joaquín MuñozMidfielder | 9 (6) | 473 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| José SalinasDefender | 8 (5) | 429 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.56 | |
| Adrián NiñoAttacker | 6 (2) | 283 | 4 | 0 | 0.15 | 7.05 | – |
| Rafa RodríguezMidfielder | 6 (3) | 244 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
Racing Santander
Top scorer
Yassir Zabiri
8 goals
Most assists
Iñigo Vicente
3 assists
Best rated
Yassir Zabiri
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julen AgirrezabalaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Iñigo VicenteMidfielder | 10 (9) | 811 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Álvaro MantillaDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | 6.46 | ×3 |
| Jorge SalinasDefender | 10 (9) | 807 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 6.80 | ×5 |
| Sergio CanalesMidfielder | 10 (9) | 733 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 6.77 | |
| Iván MartínMidfielder | 8 (7) | 661 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Yassir ZabiriAttacker | 10 (7) | 653 | 8 | 0 | 0.96 | 7.21 | ×4 |
| Pablo RamónDefender | 8 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Matteo PratiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 503 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Jeanuël BelocianDefender | 6 (5) | 485 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.60 | |
| Manu HernandoDefender | 5 (4) | 397 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Andrés MartínMidfielder | 6 (4) | 379 | 1 | 0 | 0.42 | 6.95 | – |
| Pablo GarcíaAttacker | 6 (3) | 277 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.61 | – |
| Gustavo PuertaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 268 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Asier VillalibreAttacker | 8 (3) | 257 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.77 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.81 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.77 | 2.08 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.76 | 2.06 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.76 | 2.09 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.85 | 2.05 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| Betano.dk | 13.00 | 1.03 |
More on Málaga vs Racing Santander
- Málaga stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Racing Santander stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture