Racing Santander vs Real Madrid – Match preview

Sunday, 01 November 2026 · 16:15

Racing Santander

-:-

Real Madrid

Campos de Sport de El SardineroRound 11

Match Preview

Updated 21 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

40%

39%

Racing SantanderDraw 21%Real Madrid

Bookmaker implied

11%

74%

Racing SantanderDraw 15%Real Madrid

2.0 – 1.9

Expected score

75%

Over 2.5 goals

74%

Both teams to score

Match Result

Racing Santander

17%7.92

fair 5.73disputed

Last 1025%5/20

Draw

17%6.77

fair 5.97disputed

Last 1010%2/20

Real Madrid

66%1.26

fair 1.52-17%

Last 1065%13/20

Draw no bet

Racing Santander

21%6.75

fair 4.77disputed

Last 1028%5/18

Real Madrid

79%1.07

fair 1.27-15%

Last 1072%13/18

Double chance

Racing Santander or draw

34%3.65

fair 2.92disputed

Last 1035%7/20

Racing Santander or Real Madrid

83%1.09

fair 1.20-9%

Last 1090%18/20

Draw or Real Madrid

83%1.06

fair 1.21-12%

Last 1075%15/20

Expected goals 1.6–2.0 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.6 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	97%	3%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	88%	12%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 2.5	70%	30%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	49%	51%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 4.5	30%	70%	–	50%10/20	–

Both teams to score

65%Yes 1.50

Last 1070%14/20

Racing Santander clean sheet

11%

model chance

Real Madrid clean sheet

24%

model chance

Racing Santander goals

O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%

Real Madrid goals

O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%

Corners

Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	81%	19%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 8.5	71%	29%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 9.5	59%	41%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	47%	53%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 11.5	35%	65%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 12.5	25%	75%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 13.5	17%	83%	–	50%10/20	–

Racing Santander corners

O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 49%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%

Real Madrid corners

O2.5 93%O3.5 83%O4.5 69%O5.5 52%O6.5 36%O7.5 23%

Cards

Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	85%	15%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 3.5	69%	31%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	51%	49%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 5.5	33%	67%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 6.5	20%	80%	–	20%4/20	–

Racing Santander cards

O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%

Real Madrid cards

O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 41%O3.5 20%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Goals · 1.36	1.36	56%	60%3/5	70%7/10	-24%
Yassir Zabiri Racing Santander	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.10	3.10	34%	60%3/5	50%5/10	+4%
Yassir Zabiri Racing Santander	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50	2.50	39%	60%3/5	50%5/10	-3%
Yan Diomande Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53	1.53	47%	80%4/5	50%5/10	-28%
Arda Güler Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.57	1.57	39%	60%3/5	50%5/10	-38%
Carlos Espí Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.40	1.40	6%	40%2/5	50%5/10	-92%
Carlos Espí Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Goals · 1.66	1.66	5%	40%2/5	50%5/10	-92%
Yan Diomande Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Assists · 3.00	3.00	26%	60%3/5	40%4/10	-22%
Brahim Díaz Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83	1.83	29%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-48%
Iñigo Vicente Racing Santander	Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50	4.50	21%	40%2/5	30%3/10	-6%
Iñigo Vicente Racing Santander	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87	2.87	32%	40%2/5	30%3/10	-7%
Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid	Over 0.5 Assists · 3.00	3.00	25%	20%1/5	30%3/10	-26%

Player prop screener

Key Players

La Liga, this season