Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo – Match preview
Rayo Vallecano-:-
Celta de VigoEstadio de VallecasRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
20%
17%
Rayo VallecanoDraw 63%Celta de Vigo
Bookmaker implied
42%
30%
Rayo VallecanoDraw 28%Celta de Vigo
0.3 – 0.3
Expected score
2%
Over 2.5 goals
6%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
40%2.32
fair 2.48-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%3.46
fair 3.61-4%
Last 1035%7/20
Celta de Vigo
32%3.03
fair 3.14-3%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Rayo Vallecano
56%1.65
fair 1.79-8%
Last 1046%6/13
Celta de Vigo
44%2.15
fair 2.27-5%
Last 1054%7/13
Double chance
Rayo Vallecano or draw
68%1.39
fair 1.47-5%
Last 1065%13/20
Rayo Vallecano or Celta de Vigo
72%1.31
fair 1.38-5%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Celta de Vigo
60%1.62
fair 1.68-3%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.80
Last 1070%14/20
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet
24%
model chance
Celta de Vigo clean sheet
28%
model chance
Rayo Vallecano goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Celta de Vigo goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Rayo Vallecano corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Celta de Vigo corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Rayo Vallecano cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Celta de Vigo cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.00 | 3.00 | 31% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -8% |
Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.37 | 2.37 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -10% |
Iago Aspas Celta de Vigo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -52% |
Ferran Jutglà Celta de Vigo | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.20 | 3.20 | 25% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -19% |
Ferran Jutglà Celta de Vigo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | 32% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -21% |
Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | 12% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | -23% |
Adrià Pedrosa Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.75 | 4.75 | 13% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | -38% |
Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | -50% |
Iago Aspas Celta de Vigo | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60 | 3.60 | 14% | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | -51% |
Isi Palazón Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62 | 2.62 | 18% | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | -52% |
Randy Nteka Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -67% |
Randy Nteka Rayo Vallecano | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.20 | 3.20 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -69% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Rayo VallecanoCelta de Vigo
- 13
- League position
- 8
- DDWLW
- Last 5
- WDWDD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Rayo Vallecano wins
5
Draws
3
Celta de Vigo wins
Last 10 meetings
1.6
Goals per game
30%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Rayo Vallecano in the last 5 meetings
LDWWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Rayo Vallecano
- Augusto BatallaLower Leg Fracture
- Luiz FelipeCruciate Ligament Tear
Celta de Vigo
- Borja IglesiasHamstring Injury
- Carl StarfeltHamstring Injury
- Jones El-AbdellaouiKnee Injury
- Miguel RománKnee Injury
- Pablo DuránCalf Problems
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonRayo Vallecano
Top scorer
Sergio Camello
7 goals
Most assists
Unai López
3 assists
Best rated
Sergio Camello
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathé CissMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×4 |
| Florian LejeuneDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Unai LópezMidfielder | 8 (8) | 636 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.18 | ×2 |
| Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 610 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.81 | |
| Sergio CamelloAttacker | 8 (7) | 560 | 7 | 1 | – | 7.32 | ×3 |
| Andrei RațiuDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Adrià PedrosaDefender | 6 (5) | 489 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.84 | |
| Jorge de FrutosAttacker | 6 (6) | 463 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.75 | |
| Óscar ValentínMidfielder | 8 (4) | 403 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Emil AuderoGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Pedro DíazMidfielder | 7 (3) | 353 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Iván BalliuDefender | 7 (3) | 267 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Mujaid SadickDefender | 4 (3) | 256 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Giorgi TsitaishviliAttacker | 5 (2) | 226 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Dani CárdenasGoalkeeper | 3 (2) | 210 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
Celta de Vigo
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà
2 goals
Most assists
Miguel Román
2 assists
Best rated
Miguel Román
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț RaduGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.21 | |
| Yoel LagoDefender | 9 (8) | 764 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×4 |
| Ilaix MoribaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 629 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Miguel RománMidfielder | 7 (6) | 578 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Sergio CarreiraMidfielder | 9 (5) | 564 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Ferran JutglàAttacker | 9 (7) | 549 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Marcos AlonsoDefender | 7 (6) | 514 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Javi RuedaMidfielder | 9 (5) | 509 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Hugo ÁlvarezMidfielder | 7 (5) | 440 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Williot SwedbergAttacker | 8 (5) | 375 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Álvaro NúñezDefender | 4 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Javi RodríguezDefender | 5 (4) | 322 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Pablo DuránAttacker | 6 (3) | 305 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Javi GalánDefender | 7 (4) | 302 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Aleix FebasMidfielder | 4 (3) | 294 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.99 | 1.86 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.63 | 2.31 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.62 | 2.29 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.01 | 1.84 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.98 | 1.92 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |