Real Betis vs Málaga – Match preview
-:-
Estadio La Cartuja de SevillaRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
84%
3%
Real BetisDraw 13%Málaga
Bookmaker implied
66%
15%
Real BetisDraw 19%Málaga
2.3 – 0.3
Expected score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
21%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Real Betis
63%1.39
fair 1.58-12%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw
20%5.24
fair 4.99+5%
Last 1025%5/20
Málaga
17%6.80
fair 6.03disputed
Last 1015%3/20
Draw no bet
Real Betis
79%1.12
fair 1.26-11%
Last 1080%12/15
Málaga
21%5.50
fair 4.82disputed
Last 1020%3/15
Double chance
Real Betis or draw
83%1.10
fair 1.20-8%
Last 1085%17/20
Real Betis or Málaga
80%1.15
fair 1.25-8%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Málaga
37%2.96
fair 2.73disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 58% | 42% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.70
Last 1065%13/20
Real Betis clean sheet
27%
model chance
Málaga clean sheet
19%
model chance
Real Betis goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Málaga goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 42% | 58% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 87% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Real Betis corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Málaga corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Real Betis cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 36%O3.5 16%
Málaga cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abde Ezzalzouli Real Betis | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.57 | 1.57 | 47% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -26% |
Cucho Hernández Real Betis | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -50% |
Abde Ezzalzouli Real Betis | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.10 | 2.10 | 39% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -19% |
Adrián Niño Málaga | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.50 | 3.50 | 21% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | -25% |
Adrián Niño Málaga | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 27% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | -26% |
Troy Parrott Real Betis | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.50 | 1.50 | 29% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -57% |
Cucho Hernández Real Betis | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.90 | 1.90 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -58% |
Carlos Dotor Málaga | Over 0.5 Goals · 8.50 | 8.50 | 11% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -2% |
Carlos Dotor Málaga | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.75 | 4.75 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -15% |
Marc Bartra Real Betis | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 15% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -17% |
Marc Bartra Real Betis | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.75 | 3.75 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -34% |
Cucho Hernández Real Betis | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.33 | 4.33 | 13% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -43% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Real BetisMálaga
- 4
- League position
- 20
- LWDWW
- Last 5
- LDLLD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Betis
- Cucho HernándezCalf Injury
- Junior FirpoMuscle Injury
Málaga
- Aarón OchoaMeniscus Tear
- Diego MurilloInner Knee Ligament Tear
- Julen LobeteCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonReal Betis
Top scorer
Abde Ezzalzouli
3 goals
Most assists
Cucho Hernández
2 assists
Best rated
Álvaro Valles
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro VallesGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.45 | – |
| Héctor BellerínDefender | 9 (7) | 673 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.53 | ×2 |
| Fran GarcíaDefender | 8 (7) | 661 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | |
| NatanDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.25 | ×2 |
| Pablo FornalsMidfielder | 8 (7) | 606 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Cucho HernándezAttacker | 9 (7) | 589 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.94 | |
| AntonyMidfielder | 8 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Marc RocaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 506 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Facundo BernalMidfielder | 8 (6) | 468 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | ×2 |
| Abde EzzalzouliMidfielder | 6 (5) | 424 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Rodrigo RiquelmeMidfielder | 9 (5) | 407 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| IscoMidfielder | 8 (5) | 401 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Nelson DeossaMidfielder | 9 (3) | 372 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Valentín GómezDefender | 4 (3) | 348 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.24 | |
| Marc BartraDefender | 5 (4) | 333 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.38 | – |
Málaga
Top scorer
Adrián Niño
3 goals
Most assists
Pablo Martínez
2 assists
Best rated
Pablo Martínez
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ángel RecioDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Alfonso HerreroGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| ChupeAttacker | 9 (8) | 743 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Rafita GarridoDefender | 9 (8) | 741 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| David LarrubiaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 732 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×3 |
| Carlos DotorMidfielder | 8 (7) | 559 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Dani LorenzoMidfielder | 8 (6) | 526 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Izan MerinoMidfielder | 8 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Pablo MartínezMidfielder | 7 (5) | 478 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.19 | |
| Joaquín MuñozMidfielder | 9 (6) | 473 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Einar GalileaDefender | 6 (6) | 470 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Carlos PugaDefender | 8 (5) | 413 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| José SalinasDefender | 7 (5) | 407 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Juan CruzMidfielder | 7 (3) | 243 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Rafa RodríguezMidfielder | 5 (3) | 222 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.90 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.11 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.88 | 1.97 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.90 | 2.00 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano.dk | 3.85 | 1.27 |