Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano – Match preview

Sunday, 08 November 2026 · 16:15

Real Sociedad

-:-

Rayo Vallecano

Anoeta StadiumRound 12

Match Preview

Updated 01 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

56%

23%

Real SociedadDraw 21%Rayo Vallecano

Bookmaker implied

53%

23%

Real SociedadDraw 24%Rayo Vallecano

2.1 – 1.3

Expected score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

50%

26%

Real SociedadDraw 24%Rayo Vallecano

First Half Result

37%

22%

Real SociedadDraw 41%Rayo Vallecano

Team to Score First

57%

37%

Real SociedadNo goal 6%Rayo Vallecano

Probability

Both Teams to Score

56%

Over 1.5 Goals

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

Over 3.5 Goals

32%

Real Sociedad Over 3.5 Goals

Real Sociedad Over 1.5 Goals

49%

Rayo Vallecano Over 0.5 Goals

62%

Real Sociedad Over 0.5 Goals

80%

Match Result

Real Sociedad

55%1.68

model 1.83-8%

Last 1045%9/20

Draw

23%4.10

model 4.31-5%

Last 1025%5/20

Rayo Vallecano

22%4.65

model 4.54+3%

Last 1030%6/20

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad

71%1.27

model 1.40-9%

Last 1060%9/15

Rayo Vallecano

29%3.52

model 3.48+1%

Last 1040%6/15

Double chance

Real Sociedad or draw

78%1.19

model 1.28-7%

Last 1070%14/20

Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano

77%1.23

model 1.30-5%

Last 1075%15/20

Draw or Rayo Vallecano

45%2.18

model 2.21-1%

Last 1055%11/20

Expected goals 2.0–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	97%	3%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	85%	15%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 2.5	66%	34%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	44%	56%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 4.5	26%	74%	–	45%9/20	–

Both teams to score

61%Yes 1.66

Last 1075%15/20

Real Sociedad clean sheet

21%

model chance

Rayo Vallecano clean sheet

16%

model chance

Real Sociedad goals

O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%

Rayo Vallecano goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%

Corners

Expected 10.1 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	79%	21%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 8.5	68%	32%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 9.5	56%	44%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	43%	57%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 11.5	32%	68%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 12.5	22%	78%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 13.5	15%	85%	–	40%8/20	–

Real Sociedad corners

O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 15%

Rayo Vallecano corners

O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%

Cards

Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	85%	15%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 3.5	69%	31%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	51%	49%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 5.5	34%	66%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 6.5	20%	80%	–	25%5/20	–

Real Sociedad cards

O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%

Rayo Vallecano cards

O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75	2.75	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Orri Óskarsson Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66	1.66	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60	3.60	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Orri Óskarsson Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.10	2.10	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Gonçalo Guedes Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.80	1.80	–	80%4/5	40%4/10	–
Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62	2.62	–	60%3/5	40%4/10	–
Beñat Turrientes Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87	2.87	–	60%3/5	30%3/10	–
Luka Sucic Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20	2.20	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61	1.61	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Luka Sucic Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.40	3.40	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Andrei Rațiu Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.75	4.75	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Gonçalo Guedes Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Assists · 3.75	3.75	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.10	2.10	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Orri Óskarsson Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Assists · 5.00	5.00	–	0%0/5	20%2/10	–
Adrià Pedrosa Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50	5.50	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Beñat Turrientes Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Goals · 4.33	4.33	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Randy Nteka Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.75	3.75	–	0%0/5	20%2/10	–
Andrei Rațiu Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50	6.50	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50	7.50	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Gonçalo Guedes Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75	2.75	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60	3.60	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Randy Nteka Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75	2.75	–	0%0/5	20%2/10	–
Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano	Over 0.5 Assists · 8.00	8.00	–	20%1/5	20%2/10	–
Arsen Zakharyan Real Sociedad	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.37	2.37	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–

Player prop screener

Key Players

La Liga, this season

Real Sociedad

Top scorer

Luka Sucic

3 goals

Most assists

Carlos Soler

3 assists

Best rated

Unai Marrero

8.55

Real Sociedad squad statistics in the La Liga this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Álex RemiroGoalkeeper	9 (9)	810	0	0	–	7.04	–
Sergio GómezDefender	10 (9)	790	0	0	–	6.88
Jon MartínDefender	9 (8)	726	1	1	–	6.80	×2
Luka SucicMidfielder	9 (8)	703	3	0	0.08	7.08	×2
Mikel OyarzabalAttacker	10 (8)	693	2	2	0.02	6.98
Jon AramburuDefender	8 (7)	625	0	0	0.05	6.82	×3
Carlos SolerMidfielder	9 (7)	623	1	3	–	7.14	–
Yangel HerreraMidfielder	9 (6)	512	1	0	–	6.79	×4
Ander BarrenetxeaMidfielder	9 (6)	494	2	1	–	6.77	–
Orri ÓskarssonAttacker	8 (5)	476	3	0	1.02	6.53
Gonçalo GuedesMidfielder	9 (5)	437	2	1	0.73	6.85	–
Igor ZubeldiaDefender	7 (4)	430	0	0	–	6.53	×2
Mamadou SarrDefender	5 (5)	418	0	0	–	6.78
Beñat TurrientesMidfielder	5 (4)	329	1	0	0.03	7.10
Jon GorrotxategiMidfielder	7 (3)	311	0	0	–	6.74	–

Rayo Vallecano

Top scorer

Sergio Camello

7 goals

Most assists

Unai López

3 assists

Best rated

Unai López

7.28

Rayo Vallecano squad statistics in the La Liga this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Florian LejeuneDefender	10 (10)	900	0	0	0.07	6.76
Pathé CissMidfielder	9 (9)	810	0	0	0.79	6.75	×5
Unai LópezMidfielder	10 (10)	805	1	3	0.14	7.28	×3
Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder	10 (9)	746	3	2	0.02	6.80	×2
Sergio CamelloAttacker	10 (9)	666	7	2	0.25	7.25	×3
Andrei RațiuDefender	7 (7)	630	1	1	0.06	6.67	–
Adrià PedrosaDefender	8 (7)	610	1	1	0.01	6.78	×2
Jorge de FrutosAttacker	8 (8)	598	2	2	0.29	6.94
Emil AuderoGoalkeeper	6 (6)	540	0	0	–	6.89	–
Pedro DíazMidfielder	9 (5)	503	0	1	0.26	6.98	–
Óscar ValentínMidfielder	9 (5)	467	0	0	–	6.79
Mujaid SadickDefender	6 (5)	436	0	0	0.01	6.63	–
Iván BalliuDefender	8 (4)	343	0	0	–	6.39
Giorgi TsitaishviliAttacker	7 (2)	315	0	0	0.08	6.53
GnangoroMidfielder	7 (2)	229	0	1	0.06	6.76	×2

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	1	2	Home	Away
bet365	1.87	1.97	—	—
Dafabet	—	—	1.89	1.96
MansionBet	—	—	1.68	2.25
Marathonbet	—	—	2.34	1.62
MelBet	—	—	3.22	1.34
Pinnacle	—	—	1.87	1.98
Sbo	—	—	1.73	2.20

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
bet365	1.66	2.20
Betano.dk	13.50	1.03

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano – Match preview

Match Preview

Predictions

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Real Sociedad goals

Rayo Vallecano goals

Corners

Real Sociedad corners

Rayo Vallecano corners

Cards

Real Sociedad cards

Rayo Vallecano cards

Player Props

Form Guide

Head to Head

Injuries & Suspensions

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano

Key Players

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

More on Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano