León vs Guadalajara – Match preview
León-:-
GuadalajaraEstadio LeónRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 02 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
22%
51%
LeónDraw 27%Guadalajara
Bookmaker implied
32%
41%
LeónDraw 27%Guadalajara
0.8 – 1.4
Expected score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
28%
48%
LeónDraw 24%Guadalajara
First Half Result
19%
38%
LeónDraw 43%Guadalajara
Team to Score First
36%
58%
LeónNo goal 6%Guadalajara
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
León Over 3.5 Goals
4%
León Over 1.5 Goals
33%
Guadalajara Over 0.5 Goals
79%
León Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Match Result
León
32%3.22
model 3.12+3%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
27%3.63
model 3.76-3%
Last 1040%8/20
Guadalajara
41%2.17
model 2.42-10%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
León
44%2.33
model 2.29+2%
Last 1033%4/12
Guadalajara
56%1.57
model 1.77-11%
Last 1067%8/12
Double chance
León or draw
59%1.71
model 1.700%
Last 1060%12/20
León or Guadalajara
73%1.30
model 1.36-5%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Guadalajara
68%1.36
model 1.47-8%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.61
Last 1065%13/20
León clean sheet
21%
model chance
Guadalajara clean sheet
27%
model chance
León goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Guadalajara goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
León corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Guadalajara corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 72%O5.5 56%O6.5 40%O7.5 26%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
León cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Guadalajara cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roberto Alvarado Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Bryan Alonso González Oliván Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Jordi Cortizo León | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Salvador Reyes León | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Brian Gutiérrez Guadalajara | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Ismael Díaz León | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Santiago Sandoval Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ricardo Marín Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Díber Cambindo León | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Edgar Guerra León | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Ismael Díaz León | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Salvador Reyes León | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jhohan Romaña León | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Efraín Álvarez Guadalajara | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Juan Guevara León | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Bryan Alonso González Oliván Guadalajara | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Ismael Díaz León | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Luis Romo Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Ángel Sepúlveda Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Díber Cambindo León | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Díber Cambindo León | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Bryan Alonso González Oliván Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Roberto Alvarado Guadalajara | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Efraín Álvarez Guadalajara | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 02 Nov 2026LeónGuadalajara
- 6
- League position
- 2
- LDWLD
- Last 5
- WWWDD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 4.22
- xG for (L5)
- 2.45
- 3.34
- xG against (L5)
- 3.41
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
12
León wins
6
Draws
15
Guadalajara wins
Last 33 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
42%
Over 2.5 goals
19 Mar 2026
Last meeting
León in the last 5 meetings
LWWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
León
- Valentín GauthierAnkle Surgery
Guadalajara
No reported absences
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonLeón
Top scorer
Alfonso Alvarado
6 goals
Most assists
Fernando Beltrán
3 assists
Best rated
Óscar García
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan GuevaraDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 6.88 | ×5 |
| Jhohan RomañaDefender | 13 (13) | 1146 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Iván MorenoDefender | 15 (13) | 1098 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Daniel ArcilaMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1006 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.04 | ×3 |
| Óscar GarcíaGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| José Iván Rodríguez RebollarMidfielder | 13 (11) | 945 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Rodrigo EcheverríaMidfielder | 13 (11) | 942 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Díber CambindoAttacker | 14 (9) | 832 | 4 | 2 | 0.48 | 7.02 | |
| Jordi CortizoMidfielder | 12 (8) | 705 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.92 | |
| Ismael DíazMidfielder | 12 (9) | 700 | 3 | 1 | 0.71 | 6.84 | – |
| Sebastián Ignacio Vegas OrellanaDefender | 9 (9) | 698 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.79 | ×4 |
| Fernando BeltránMidfielder | 15 (9) | 650 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 6.87 | |
| Alfonso AlvaradoAttacker | 13 (6) | 583 | 6 | 1 | 1.74 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Edgar GuerraMidfielder | 11 (6) | 565 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.75 | |
| Salvador ReyesMidfielder | 9 (5) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
Guadalajara
Top scorer
Roberto Alvarado
5 goals
Most assists
Efraín Álvarez
3 assists
Best rated
Roberto Alvarado
7.55
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto AlvaradoAttacker | 14 (14) | 1260 | 5 | 1 | 0.35 | 7.55 | |
| Raúl RangelGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1220 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Fernando Rubén González PinedaMidfielder | 15 (14) | 1169 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Diego CampilloDefender | 14 (13) | 1108 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.95 | |
| Daniel Aguirre DomínguezDefender | 12 (12) | 1005 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Luis RomoDefender | 12 (12) | 964 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 7.23 | |
| Ricardo MarínAttacker | 15 (10) | 897 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.00 | |
| Omar Nicolás Govea GarcíaMidfielder | 12 (11) | 815 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | |
| Santiago SandovalAttacker | 12 (9) | 782 | 5 | 1 | 0.54 | 7.29 | ×2 |
| Richard LedezmaMidfielder | 14 (9) | 774 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Brian GutiérrezMidfielder | 12 (6) | 623 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Bryan Alonso González OlivánMidfielder | 9 (6) | 603 | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 7.03 | – |
| Efraín ÁlvarezAttacker | 14 (5) | 580 | 1 | 3 | 0.27 | 7.10 | |
| Luis Gabriel ReyDefender | 11 (5) | 545 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Hugo CamberosMidfielder | 9 (6) | 474 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.27 | 1.57 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.27 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.96 | 1.88 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 13.50 | 1.03 |
More on León vs Guadalajara
- León stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Guadalajara stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture