Monterrey vs Guadalajara – Match preview
Monterrey-:-
GuadalajaraEstadio BBVA BancomerRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
33%
40%
MonterreyDraw 27%Guadalajara
Bookmaker implied
37%
36%
MonterreyDraw 27%Guadalajara
1.2 – 1.3
Expected score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Monterrey
35%–
fair 2.82–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.60–
Last 1030%6/20
Guadalajara
37%–
fair 2.72–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Monterrey
49%–
fair 2.04–
Last 1043%6/14
Guadalajara
51%–
fair 1.97–
Last 1057%8/14
Double chance
Monterrey or draw
63%–
fair 1.58–
Last 1060%12/20
Monterrey or Guadalajara
72%–
fair 1.38–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Guadalajara
65%–
fair 1.55–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%
Last 1055%11/20
Monterrey clean sheet
21%
model chance
Guadalajara clean sheet
29%
model chance
Monterrey goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Guadalajara goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Monterrey corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Guadalajara corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 44%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 5.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Monterrey cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 26%
Guadalajara cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026MonterreyGuadalajara
- 8
- League position
- 2
- WDLWD
- Last 5
- WDDLD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
16
Monterrey wins
9
Draws
21
Guadalajara wins
Last 46 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
22 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Monterrey in the last 5 meetings
LLWDL
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonMonterrey
Top scorer
Lucas Ocampos
5 goals
Most assists
Lucas Ocampos
3 assists
Best rated
Lucas Ocampos
7.69
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óliver TorresMidfielder | 11 (8) | 766 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.16 | ×2 |
| Hugo CuypersAttacker | 10 (8) | 746 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Ricardo ChávezDefender | 10 (9) | 735 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Gerardo ArteagaDefender | 9 (8) | 707 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Lucas OcamposMidfielder | 9 (8) | 698 | 5 | 3 | – | 7.69 | |
| Diego RossiMidfielder | 10 (8) | 696 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.12 | |
| Orbelín PinedaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 667 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Luca OrellanoMidfielder | 10 (7) | 642 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Jesús CoronaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 638 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.12 | |
| Víctor GuzmánDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Carlos SalcedoDefender | 7 (7) | 586 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Luis CárdenasGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Esteban AndradaGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Jorge RodríguezMidfielder | 8 (4) | 385 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Daniel Alonso Aceves PatiñoDefender | 7 (5) | 385 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
Guadalajara
Top scorer
Roberto Alvarado
4 goals
Most assists
Ricardo Marín
2 assists
Best rated
Roberto Alvarado
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto AlvaradoAttacker | 12 (12) | 1080 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.54 | |
| Raúl RangelGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1040 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Fernando Rubén González PinedaMidfielder | 13 (12) | 989 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Diego CampilloDefender | 12 (11) | 928 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.97 | |
| Luis RomoDefender | 11 (11) | 900 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.19 | |
| Daniel Aguirre DomínguezDefender | 10 (10) | 836 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Ricardo MarínAttacker | 13 (9) | 805 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.08 | |
| Omar Nicolás Govea GarcíaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 679 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Richard LedezmaMidfielder | 12 (7) | 628 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Santiago SandovalMidfielder | 10 (7) | 628 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Brian GutiérrezMidfielder | 11 (6) | 603 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Efraín ÁlvarezAttacker | 12 (4) | 480 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.97 | |
| Hugo CamberosMidfielder | 9 (6) | 474 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Bryan Alonso González OlivánMidfielder | 7 (4) | 434 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Luis Gabriel ReyDefender | 9 (4) | 429 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |