Necaxa vs Tijuana – Match preview
-:-
Estadio Victoria de AguascalientesRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
30%
47%
NecaxaDraw 23%Tijuana
1.4 – 1.8
Expected score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
41%
21%
NecaxaDraw 38%Tijuana
Double Chance
49%
27%
NecaxaDraw 24%Tijuana
Half Time Result
60%
34%
NecaxaDraw 6%Tijuana
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
47%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
63%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
79%
Match Result
Necaxa
34%–
fair 2.97–
Last 1015%3/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.72–
Last 1045%9/20
Tijuana
39%–
fair 2.53–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Necaxa
46%–
fair 2.17–
Last 1027%3/11
Tijuana
54%–
fair 1.85–
Last 1073%8/11
Double chance
Necaxa or draw
61%–
fair 1.65–
Last 1060%12/20
Necaxa or Tijuana
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or Tijuana
66%–
fair 1.51–
Last 1085%17/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1070%14/20
Necaxa clean sheet
19%
model chance
Tijuana clean sheet
28%
model chance
Necaxa goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Tijuana goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 11.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 54% | 46% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Necaxa corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 72%O5.5 56%O6.5 40%O7.5 26%
Tijuana corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Necaxa cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 46%O3.5 25%
Tijuana cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026NecaxaTijuana
- 17
- League position
- 6
- DLLDL
- Last 5
- DWDDD
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 3.31
- xG for (L5)
- 4.26
- 1.77
- xG against (L5)
- 5.06
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
8
Necaxa wins
5
Draws
7
Tijuana wins
Last 20 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Necaxa in the last 5 meetings
WLWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Necaxa
No reported absences
Tijuana
- Gilberto MoraAnkle Injury
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonNecaxa
Top scorer
Julián Carranza
7 goals
Most assists
Julián Carranza
2 assists
Best rated
Julián Carranza
7.05
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julián CarranzaAttacker | 13 (12) | 1014 | 7 | 2 | 1.04 | 7.05 | |
| Agustín OliverosDefender | 12 (12) | 1004 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Danny LeyvaMidfielder | 14 (10) | 957 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Luis JiménezGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Lorenzo FaravelliMidfielder | 12 (11) | 860 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Javier RuizMidfielder | 13 (10) | 839 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Raúl Alejandro Martínez RuizDefender | 12 (8) | 820 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.40 | ×4 |
| Kaiky Marques NavesDefender | 9 (9) | 740 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Miguel Emilio Rodríguez MacíasMidfielder | 14 (5) | 684 | 1 | 1 | 1.06 | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Matías EspíndolaMidfielder | 11 (9) | 622 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Carlos VargasDefender | 10 (10) | 606 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.74 | – |
| Pedro Pedraza ReynaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 600 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.44 | ×3 |
| Owen GonzálezMidfielder | 9 (8) | 559 | 3 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.86 | |
| Alexis PeñaDefender | 7 (6) | 549 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Mauro Aldair Zaleta OropezaMidfielder | 11 (3) | 486 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 6.80 |
Tijuana
Top scorer
Gilberto Mora
5 goals
Most assists
Adonis Preciado
3 assists
Best rated
Gilberto Mora
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio RodríguezGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Alejandro GómezDefender | 14 (13) | 1179 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.10 | |
| Jackson PorozoDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Adonis PreciadoMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1130 | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | 7.25 | ×3 |
| Iván TonaMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1071 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | ×4 |
| Rafael FernándezDefender | 11 (11) | 941 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Ramiro ÁrcigaMidfielder | 14 (12) | 929 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Alan VegaDefender | 13 (7) | 734 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 6.80 | – |
| Mourad El GhezouaniAttacker | 12 (8) | 724 | 4 | 0 | 0.77 | 6.90 | – |
| Yael PadillaAttacker | 13 (7) | 649 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Ignacio RiveroMidfielder | 11 (7) | 625 | 4 | 0 | 0.55 | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Pablo OrtizDefender | 10 (7) | 552 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.55 | ×2 |
| Gilberto MoraMidfielder | 8 (6) | 531 | 5 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.41 | – |
| Francisco GonzálezAttacker | 9 (5) | 444 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.89 | |
| Ángel ZapataMidfielder | 10 (4) | 392 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.60 | ×2 |
More on Necaxa vs Tijuana
- Necaxa stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Tijuana stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture