Querétaro vs Puebla – Match preview
Querétaro-:-
PueblaEstadio La CorregidoraRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 02 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
36%
36%
QuerétaroDraw 28%Puebla
Bookmaker implied
52%
23%
QuerétaroDraw 25%Puebla
1.2 – 1.2
Expected score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
45%
30%
QuerétaroDraw 25%Puebla
First Half Result
29%
25%
QuerétaroDraw 46%Puebla
Team to Score First
51%
44%
QuerétaroNo goal 5%Puebla
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Querétaro Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Querétaro Over 1.5 Goals
47%
Puebla Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Querétaro Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Match Result
Querétaro
50%1.81
model 2.00-9%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
25%3.87
model 3.98-3%
Last 1020%4/20
Puebla
25%4.18
model 4.04+4%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Querétaro
67%1.34
model 1.49-10%
Last 1063%10/16
Puebla
33%3.10
model 3.02+3%
Last 1038%6/16
Double chance
Querétaro or draw
75%1.23
model 1.33-7%
Last 1070%14/20
Querétaro or Puebla
75%1.26
model 1.34-6%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Puebla
50%2.01
model 2.000%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | 1.22 / 4.31 | 75%15/20 | -4% / -7% |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | 1.71 / 2.17 | 45%9/20 | -4% / -5% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | 2.69 / 1.47 | 30%6/20 | -7% / -4% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | 4.87 / 1.18 | 15%3/20 | -10% / -4% |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.66
Last 1055%11/20
Querétaro clean sheet
24%
model chance
Puebla clean sheet
23%
model chance
Querétaro goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Puebla goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 10.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Querétaro corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 82%O4.5 67%O5.5 50%O6.5 34%O7.5 21%
Puebla corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Querétaro cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Puebla cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Facundo Almada Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Santiago Homenchenko Querétaro | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Juan Pablo Vargas Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Santiago Homenchenko Querétaro | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Lucas Abascia Querétaro | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Eduardo Armenta Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Mathías Tomás Puebla | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Kevin Velasco Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kevin Velasco Puebla | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Mateo Coronel Querétaro | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Mathías Tomás Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Santiago Homenchenko Querétaro | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Daniel Parra Querétaro | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Fernando Monárrez Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Alejandro Organista Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Omar Moreno Puebla | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Alí Ávila Querétaro | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Alonso Ramírez Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Omar Moreno Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Santiago Homenchenko Querétaro | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60 | 3.60 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Eduardo Armenta Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ignacio Maestro Puch Puebla | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mateo Coronel Querétaro | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Bayron Duarte Querétaro | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 02 Nov 2026QuerétaroPuebla
- 11
- League position
- 14
- LLLLW
- Last 5
- LLLDD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 3.88
- xG for (L5)
- 3.97
- 3.27
- xG against (L5)
- 5.54
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Querétaro wins
3
Draws
3
Puebla wins
Last 10 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Querétaro in the last 5 meetings
WWWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Querétaro
- Santiago HomenchenkoBroken Toe
Puebla
No reported absences
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonQuerétaro
Top scorer
Alí Ávila
6 goals
Most assists
Iker Benito
3 assists
Best rated
Santiago Homenchenko
7.49
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo AllisonGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Daniel ParraDefender | 14 (14) | 1254 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Alí ÁvilaAttacker | 14 (14) | 1244 | 6 | 0 | 1.01 | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Lucas AbasciaDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.72 | ×6 |
| Carlo Adriano García PradesMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1168 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Diego ReyesDefender | 13 (13) | 1147 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Enzo GiménezMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1070 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.71 | |
| Mateo CoronelMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1041 | 4 | 2 | 1.42 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Santiago HomenchenkoMidfielder | 11 (11) | 990 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.49 | ×4 |
| Bayron DuarteDefender | 13 (11) | 850 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.64 | ×6 |
| Paulo VictorMidfielder | 13 (8) | 533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×4 |
| Iker BenitoMidfielder | 10 (5) | 519 | 1 | 3 | 0.24 | 6.80 | |
| Carlos VillanuevaDefender | 9 (2) | 345 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| B. ParraMidfielder | 10 (3) | 301 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.60 | |
| Denilson MunozMidfielder | 6 (3) | 252 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.83 | – |
Puebla
Top scorer
Eduardo Mustre Torres
3 goals
Most assists
Juan Pablo Vargas
3 assists
Best rated
Kevin Velasco
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel GutiérrezGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Facundo AlmadaDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 2 | 0 | 0.85 | 6.91 | – |
| Juan Pablo VargasDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 6.85 | |
| Alejandro OrganistaMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1265 | 0 | 2 | 0.51 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Fernando MonárrezDefender | 15 (15) | 1244 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Iker MorenoDefender | 14 (11) | 961 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.51 | |
| Brayan GarnicaMidfielder | 13 (12) | 940 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.71 | – |
| Sergio SanabriaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 691 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Kevin VelascoMidfielder | 9 (7) | 637 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.04 | – |
| Carlos BaltazarMidfielder | 10 (7) | 583 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.89 | |
| Alonso RamírezMidfielder | 9 (7) | 543 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.61 | ×3 |
| Mathías TomásMidfielder | 11 (6) | 531 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.90 | |
| Omar MorenoAttacker | 11 (5) | 486 | 2 | 0 | 0.33 | 6.71 | – |
| Eduardo Mustre TorresAttacker | 8 (5) | 463 | 3 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.93 | |
| Ignacio Maestro PuchAttacker | 9 (4) | 456 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.71 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 7.60 | 1.03 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.05 | 1.31 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 1.78 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.04 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 7.60 | 1.03 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.32 | 2.87 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 3.11 | 1.37 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 21.00 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Betano.dk | 13.50 | 1.03 |
| BetVictor | 10.00 | 1.03 |
| Marathonbet | 8.90 | 1.01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 1.57 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 15.00 | 36.00 | 9.30 | 6.00 | 2.57 | 4.80 | 23.00 | 15.00 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 15.00 | 36.00 | 9.30 | 6.00 | 2.57 | 4.80 | 23.00 | 15.25 | 6.60 |
More on Querétaro vs Puebla
- Querétaro stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Puebla stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture