Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul – Match preview
-:-
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo LeónRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
34%
43%
Tigres UANLDraw 23%Cruz Azul
1.5 – 1.8
Expected score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
42%
31%
Tigres UANLDraw 27%Cruz Azul
First Half Result
33%
26%
Tigres UANLDraw 41%Cruz Azul
Team to Score First
54%
38%
Tigres UANLNo goal 8%Cruz Azul
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Tigres UANL Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Tigres UANL Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Cruz Azul Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Tigres UANL Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Match Result
Tigres UANL
35%–
model 2.87–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.81–
Last 1035%7/20
Cruz Azul
39%–
model 2.57–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL
47%–
model 2.12–
Last 1038%5/13
Cruz Azul
53%–
model 1.89–
Last 1062%8/13
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw
61%–
model 1.64–
Last 1060%12/20
Tigres UANL or Cruz Azul
74%–
model 1.36–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Cruz Azul
65%–
model 1.53–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.6 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%
Last 1050%10/20
Tigres UANL clean sheet
18%
model chance
Cruz Azul clean sheet
26%
model chance
Tigres UANL goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Cruz Azul goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%
Corners
Expected 10.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Tigres UANL corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 33%O7.5 20%
Cruz Azul corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Tigres UANL cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Cruz Azul cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026Tigres UANLCruz Azul
- 15
- League position
- 3
- DLDWW
- Last 5
- WWWDD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 1.14
- xG for (L5)
- 4.21
- 2.31
- xG against (L5)
- 2.60
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
Tigres UANL wins
6
Draws
5
Cruz Azul wins
Last 16 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
31%
Over 2.5 goals
15 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Tigres UANL in the last 5 meetings
LDDDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Tigres UANL
No reported absences
Cruz Azul
- Amaury MoralesCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonTigres UANL
Top scorer
Juan Brunetta
8 goals
Most assists
Juan Brunetta
4 assists
Best rated
Juan Brunetta
7.83
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel GuzmánGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Fernando GorriaránMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1153 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.99 | ×4 |
| Juan BrunettaMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1119 | 8 | 4 | 0.45 | 7.83 | |
| Jesús GarzaDefender | 13 (11) | 1026 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Diego LainezMidfielder | 13 (12) | 996 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Joaquim Henrique Pereira SilvaDefender | 12 (11) | 979 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.89 | |
| Alan FrancoDefender | 12 (11) | 966 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Rodrigo AguirreAttacker | 12 (10) | 852 | 3 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.59 | |
| Diego SánchezMidfielder | 13 (8) | 739 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Rômulo Zanre ZwargMidfielder | 8 (8) | 700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| César Nahuel Araújo VilchesMidfielder | 11 (7) | 698 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Mauro LaínezDefender | 10 (7) | 697 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.77 | |
| Rafael GuerreroDefender | 9 (6) | 544 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Ozziel HerreraAttacker | 10 (5) | 461 | 1 | 0 | 0.62 | 6.82 | – |
| Vladimir LoroñaDefender | 10 (5) | 385 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×3 |
Cruz Azul
Top scorer
Nicolás Ibáñez
5 goals
Most assists
Carlos Rodríguez
5 assists
Best rated
José Paradela
7.48
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar CamposDefender | 14 (13) | 1088 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.69 | – |
| Carlos RodríguezMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1042 | 1 | 5 | – | 7.11 | ×3 |
| Agustín PalavecinoMidfielder | 13 (12) | 956 | 3 | 1 | 0.23 | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Jesús Orozco ChiqueteDefender | 12 (11) | 954 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Nicolás IbáñezAttacker | 13 (11) | 895 | 5 | 2 | 0.46 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Jeremy MárquezDefender | 12 (11) | 885 | 3 | 1 | 0.19 | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Érik LiraMidfielder | 11 (9) | 837 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.85 | |
| Willer DittaDefender | 10 (9) | 834 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Kevin MierGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| José ParadelaMidfielder | 10 (8) | 745 | 2 | 5 | – | 7.48 | ×2 |
| Gonzalo PioviDefender | 9 (8) | 665 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Gabriel FernándezAttacker | 13 (5) | 598 | 5 | 1 | 0.80 | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Amaury GarcíaMidfielder | 10 (6) | 566 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Luka RomeroAttacker | 13 (4) | 500 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Andrés GudiñoGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
More on Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
- Tigres UANL stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Cruz Azul stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture