Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul – Match preview
Tigres UANL-:-
Cruz AzulEstadio Universitario de Nuevo LeónRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 06 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
33%
44%
Tigres UANLDraw 23%Cruz Azul
Bookmaker implied
33%
41%
Tigres UANLDraw 26%Cruz Azul
1.5 – 1.8
Expected score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
41%
33%
Tigres UANLDraw 26%Cruz Azul
First Half Result
33%
25%
Tigres UANLDraw 42%Cruz Azul
Team to Score First
53%
40%
Tigres UANLNo goal 7%Cruz Azul
Probability
Both Teams to Score
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Tigres UANL Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Tigres UANL Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Cruz Azul Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Tigres UANL Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Match Result
Tigres UANL
32%3.01
model 3.11-3%
Last 1015%3/20
Draw
26%3.60
model 3.78-5%
Last 1035%7/20
Cruz Azul
41%2.29
model 2.41-5%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL
44%2.17
model 2.29-5%
Last 1023%3/13
Cruz Azul
56%1.65
model 1.77-7%
Last 1077%10/13
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw
59%1.64
model 1.71-4%
Last 1050%10/20
Tigres UANL or Cruz Azul
74%1.30
model 1.36-4%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Cruz Azul
68%1.40
model 1.47-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 1.20 / 4.49 | 75%15/20 | -4% / -10% |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | 1.68 / 2.22 | 50%10/20 | -2% / -7% |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | 2.62 / 1.49 | 35%7/20 | -4% / -5% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | 4.63 / 1.19 | 25%5/20 | -7% / -5% |
Both teams to score
60%Yes 1.57
Last 1055%11/20
Tigres UANL clean sheet
17%
model chance
Cruz Azul clean sheet
27%
model chance
Tigres UANL goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Cruz Azul goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Tigres UANL corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Cruz Azul corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | 1.80 / 1.90 | 55%11/20 | -13% / -2% |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Tigres UANL cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Cruz Azul cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 19%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzalo Piovi Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 61% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -13% |
Andrés Montaño Cruz Azul | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 61% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -9% |
Gabriel Fernández Cruz Azul | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 59% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -18% |
Andrés Montaño Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 59% | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | -3% |
Emiliano Gómez Tigres UANL | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 56% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -11% |
Rogelio González Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 56% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -24% |
Agustín Palavecino Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -11% |
Juan Brunetta Tigres UANL | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | 51% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | +14% |
Jesús Orozco Chiquete Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | +6% |
Omar Campos Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -10% |
Juan Brunetta Tigres UANL | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 47% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -25% |
Rafael Guerrero Tigres UANL | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.90 | 1.90 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -13% |
Agustín Palavecino Cruz Azul | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 44% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -19% |
Érik Lira Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots · 3.25 | 3.25 | 41% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | +34% |
Fernando Gorriarán Tigres UANL | Over 1.5 Shots · 3.00 | 3.00 | 40% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | +19% |
Diego Lainez Tigres UANL | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 37% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -42% |
Emiliano Gómez Tigres UANL | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 35% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -35% |
Gabriel Fernández Cruz Azul | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.62 | 2.62 | 35% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -9% |
Amaury García Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 34% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -41% |
Fernando Gorriarán Tigres UANL | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.00 | 3.00 | 29% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -14% |
Rafael Guerrero Tigres UANL | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 4.33 | 4.33 | 25% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | +10% |
Amaury García Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.00 | 6.00 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | +52% |
Omar Campos Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75 | 3.75 | 23% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -12% |
Gonzalo Piovi Cruz Azul | Over 0.5 Booked · 2.62 | 2.62 | 23% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -39% |
Player Probabilities
Updated 06 Nov 2026Based on each starter's last 20–40 games across all competitions, adjusted for the opponent, home or away, and the referee for fouls and cards. Starters only; hover a figure for the expected count.
Tigres UANL
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nahuel Guzmán GK | – | – | 1% | 16% | – | 8% |
Jesús Garza DEF | 41% | 8% | 72% | 58% | 59% | 18% |
Rafael Guerrero DEF | 46% | 25% | 66% | 50% | 30% | 22% |
Israel Aceves Flores DEFlimited data | 41% | 15% | 55% | 44% | 34% | 15% |
Diego Lainez MID | 76% | 37% | 68% | 83% | 45% | 16% |
Mauro Laínez MID | 40% | 14% | 55% | 67% | 62% | 16% |
Fernando Gorriarán MID | 73% | 29% | 75% | 79% | 53% | 22% |
Juan Brunetta MID | 95% | 80% | 56% | 76% | 25% | 13% |
Emiliano Gómez MID | 85% | 56% | 45% | 70% | 15% | 7% |
Guillermo Martínez Ayala FWD | 90% 2+ 70% | 67% | 77% | 61% | 8% | 18% |
Diego Sánchez FWD | 73% 2+ 40% | 41% | 49% | 65% | 35% | 9% |
Cruz Azul
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Mier GK | – | – | 4% | 17% | – | 3% |
Gonzalo Piovi DEF | 61% | 17% | 72% | 28% | 62% | 23% |
Amaury García DEF | 34% | 8% | 80% | 53% | 50% | 25% |
Jesús Orozco Chiquete DEF | 50% | 15% | 65% | 38% | 50% | 21% |
Omar Campos DEF | 50% | 23% | 48% | 51% | 44% | 11% |
Carlos Rodríguez MID | 61% | 28% | 60% | 60% | 35% | 17% |
Agustín Palavecino MID | 89% | 53% | 70% | 62% | 58% | 19% |
Érik Lira MID | 41% | 17% | 69% | 58% | 51% | 17% |
Andrés Montaño MID | 86% | 59% | 56% | 53% | 31% | 15% |
Rogelio González MID | 56% | 22% | 56% | 60% | 43% | 12% |
Gabriel Fernández FWD | 94% 2+ 79% | 69% | 75% | 82% | 12% | 15% |
Form Guide
Updated 06 Nov 2026Tigres UANLCruz Azul
- 15
- League position
- 3
- LDLDW
- Last 5
- WWWWD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 15
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 1.69
- xG for (L5)
- 6.09
- 5.78
- xG against (L5)
- 5.14
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
Tigres UANL wins
6
Draws
5
Cruz Azul wins
Last 16 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
31%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Tigres UANL in the last 5 meetings
LDDDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Tigres UANL
- Marcelo FloresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Marco FarfanMuscle Injury
Cruz Azul
- Amaury MoralesCruciate Ligament Tear
- Cristian JiménezCruciate Ligament Tear
- Mateo LevyMeniscus Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1- 1Nahuel GuzmánGoalkeeper
- 14Jesús GarzaDefender
- 33Rafael GuerreroDefender
- 184Israel Aceves FloresDefender
- 19Mauro LaínezMidfielder
- 8Fernando GorriaránMidfielder
- 9Emiliano GómezMidfielder
- 16Diego LainezMidfielder
- 11Juan BrunettaMidfielder
- 30Diego SánchezAttacker
- 22Guillermo MartínezAttacker
Cruz Azul
5-3-2- 23Kevin MierGoalkeeper
- 55Rogelio GonzálezMidfielder
- 33Gonzalo PioviDefender
- 17Amaury GarcíaDefender
- 5Jesús Orozco ChiqueteDefender
- 3Omar CamposDefender
- 8Agustín PalavecinoMidfielder
- 6Érik LiraMidfielder
- 19Carlos RodríguezMidfielder
- 10Andrés MontañoMidfielder
- 21Gabriel FernándezAttacker
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonTigres UANL
Top scorer
Juan Brunetta
8 goals
Most assists
Juan Brunetta
4 assists
Best rated
Juan Brunetta
7.78
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel GuzmánGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Fernando GorriaránMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1243 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×4 |
| Juan BrunettaMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1212 | 8 | 4 | 0.59 | 7.78 | |
| Jesús GarzaDefender | 14 (12) | 1098 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | ×2 |
| Diego LainezMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1053 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.91 | |
| Alan FrancoDefender | 13 (12) | 1046 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Joaquim Henrique Pereira SilvaDefender | 12 (11) | 979 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.89 | |
| Rodrigo AguirreAttacker | 13 (10) | 886 | 3 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.59 | |
| Mauro LaínezDefender | 11 (8) | 787 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.77 | |
| Diego SánchezMidfielder | 14 (9) | 784 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| César Nahuel Araújo VilchesMidfielder | 12 (7) | 716 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Rômulo Zanre ZwargMidfielder | 8 (8) | 700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Rafael GuerreroDefender | 10 (7) | 616 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Ozziel HerreraAttacker | 11 (5) | 506 | 1 | 0 | 0.62 | 6.80 | – |
| Vladimir LoroñaDefender | 11 (5) | 403 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | ×3 |
Cruz Azul
Top scorer
Nicolás Ibáñez
5 goals
Most assists
Carlos Rodríguez
5 assists
Best rated
José Paradela
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar CamposDefender | 15 (14) | 1158 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.69 | – |
| Carlos RodríguezMidfielder | 15 (13) | 1132 | 1 | 5 | – | 7.14 | ×3 |
| Jesús Orozco ChiqueteDefender | 13 (12) | 1044 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Agustín PalavecinoMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1026 | 3 | 1 | 0.24 | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Érik LiraMidfielder | 12 (10) | 927 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.85 | |
| Nicolás IbáñezAttacker | 14 (11) | 923 | 5 | 3 | 0.71 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Kevin MierGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.81 | – |
| Jeremy MárquezMidfielder | 13 (11) | 894 | 3 | 1 | 0.19 | 7.13 | ×3 |
| Willer DittaDefender | 10 (9) | 834 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| José ParadelaMidfielder | 11 (8) | 774 | 3 | 5 | 0.26 | 7.45 | ×3 |
| Gonzalo PioviDefender | 10 (9) | 755 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Gabriel FernándezAttacker | 14 (6) | 660 | 5 | 1 | 0.94 | 7.16 | ×3 |
| Amaury GarcíaMidfielder | 11 (7) | 656 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Luka RomeroAttacker | 14 (4) | 520 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Andrés GudiñoGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.01 | 8.50 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 9.50 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 3.45 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.81 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.86 | 2.03 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.01 | 8.50 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.07 | 1.68 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 3.84 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.83 | 2.05 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 21.00 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Betano.dk | 13.50 | 1.03 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 1.06 |
| Betinia | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| Betsonic | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 1.03 |
| Campobet | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 1.60 |
| Sbo | 2.09 | 1.73 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.00 | 26.00 | 5.80 | 5.70 | 4.45 | 6.90 | 28.00 | 13.70 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 19.00 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 21.00 | 12.00 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 14.00 | 26.00 | 5.80 | 5.70 | 4.45 | 6.90 | 28.00 | 13.75 | 3.45 |
| Sbo | 13.00 | 19.24 | 5.80 | 5.99 | — | 6.85 | 22.12 | 12.52 | 3.41 |
More on Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
- Tigres UANL stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Cruz Azul stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture