Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, Odds & Stats (8 Nov)

Match Preview

Updated 01 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

51%

29%

TolucaDraw 20%Monterrey

Bookmaker implied

56%

22%

TolucaDraw 22%Monterrey

2.3 – 1.7

Expected score

77%

Over 2.5 goals

74%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

58%

21%

TolucaDraw 21%Monterrey

First Half Result

47%

18%

TolucaDraw 35%Monterrey

Team to Score First

65%

31%

TolucaNo goal 4%Monterrey

Probability

Both Teams to Score

61%

Over 1.5 Goals

82%

Over 2.5 Goals

62%

Over 3.5 Goals

41%

Toluca Over 3.5 Goals

15%

Toluca Over 1.5 Goals

60%

Monterrey Over 0.5 Goals

58%

Toluca Over 0.5 Goals

85%

Match Result

Toluca

44%–

model 2.25–

Last 1035%7/20

Draw

25%–

model 3.99–

Last 1040%8/20

Monterrey

30%–

model 3.28–

Last 1025%5/20

Draw no bet

Toluca

59%–

model 1.69–

Last 1058%7/12

Monterrey

41%–

model 2.46–

Last 1042%5/12

Double chance

Toluca or draw

70%–

model 1.44–

Last 1075%15/20

Toluca or Monterrey

75%–

model 1.33–

Last 1060%12/20

Draw or Monterrey

56%–

model 1.80–

Last 1065%13/20

Expected goals 1.8–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	96%	4%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	83%	17%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 2.5	62%	38%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	40%	60%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 4.5	22%	78%	–	30%6/20	–

Both teams to score

64%

Last 1070%14/20

Toluca clean sheet

20%

model chance

Monterrey clean sheet

20%

model chance

Toluca goals

O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%

Monterrey goals

O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%

Corners

Expected 10.7 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	83%	17%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 8.5	74%	26%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 9.5	62%	38%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	50%	50%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 11.5	38%	62%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 12.5	28%	72%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 13.5	19%	81%	–	15%3/20	–

Toluca corners

O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%

Monterrey corners

O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 31%O7.5 18%

Cards

Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	84%	16%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5	67%	33%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	48%	52%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 5.5	31%	69%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 6.5	18%	82%	–	20%4/20	–

Toluca cards

O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%

Monterrey cards

O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%

Form Guide

Updated 01 Nov 2026

TolucaMonterrey

7
League position: 8; DDDDL
Last 5: DLWWD; 0.80
Points per game (L5): 1.60; 8
Goals scored (L5): 10; 9
Goals conceded (L5): 7; 6.10
xG for (L5): 5.97; 5.40
xG against (L5): 3.14; 0
Clean sheets (L5): 0

Head to Head

6

Toluca wins

3

Draws

5

Monterrey wins

Last 14 meetings

3.0

Goals per game

64%

Both teams scored

57%

Over 2.5 goals

11 Jan 2026

Last meeting

Toluca in the last 5 meetings

WWLWW

Injuries & Suspensions

Toluca

Marcel RuizCruciate Ligament Tear
Oswaldo VirgenKnee Injury

Monterrey

No reported absences

Key Players

Liga MX, this season

Toluca

Top scorer

Federico Viñas

6 goals

Most assists

Helinho

6 assists

Best rated

Helinho

7.45

Toluca squad statistics in the Liga MX this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Federico PereiraDefender	12 (12)	1036	0	0	0.11	7.21
Franco RomeroMidfielder	11 (10)	860	0	0	–	6.68	×4
Jesús GallardoDefender	10 (8)	788	1	1	0.31	6.87
HelinhoMidfielder	12 (8)	744	4	6	0.48	7.45	×3
Alexis VegaMidfielder	11 (10)	736	3	2	0.13	7.40	×2
Everardo del VillarDefender	9 (9)	734	1	1	0.05	6.84
Bruno MéndezDefender	9 (8)	718	0	0	–	6.86
Luis GarcíaGoalkeeper	8 (8)	705	0	0	–	7.17	–
Nicolás CastroMidfielder	11 (6)	689	0	2	0.12	7.01	×2
Federico ViñasAttacker	10 (6)	627	6	0	1.49	7.08	–
Jorge DíazMidfielder	13 (6)	622	1	1	0.37	6.76	–
PaulinhoAttacker	7 (6)	546	2	0	0.41	6.77	–
Jesús AnguloMidfielder	12 (7)	536	0	0	0.15	6.89	–
Érick Gabriel Gutiérrez GalavizMidfielder	8 (6)	476	1	0	–	6.86	–
Hugo GonzálezGoalkeeper	6 (5)	465	0	0	–	7.00	–

Monterrey

Top scorer

Lucas Ocampos

7 goals

Most assists

Óliver Torres

5 assists

Best rated

Lucas Ocampos

7.61

Monterrey squad statistics in the Liga MX this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Ricardo ChávezDefender	13 (12)	1001	0	2	0.35	6.84	×4
Hugo CuypersAttacker	13 (11)	983	6	1	1.93	7.17	–
Óliver TorresMidfielder	14 (10)	980	0	5	–	7.18	×3
Gerardo ArteagaDefender	12 (11)	977	0	0	0.03	6.72
Lucas OcamposMidfielder	12 (11)	950	7	4	1.49	7.61
Diego RossiMidfielder	13 (11)	934	6	3	1.11	7.03	×2
Víctor GuzmánDefender	10 (10)	903	0	0	0.24	7.07	–
Orbelín PinedaMidfielder	11 (9)	814	1	2	–	7.02
Jesús CoronaMidfielder	13 (11)	792	2	2	0.05	7.00
Carlos SalcedoDefender	9 (9)	721	0	0	–	6.65	×3
Esteban AndradaGoalkeeper	8 (8)	720	0	0	–	6.96	–
Luca OrellanoMidfielder	13 (7)	697	1	0	0.07	6.87
César GarzaMidfielder	7 (7)	564	1	0	–	6.83	×2
Luis CárdenasGoalkeeper	6 (6)	540	0	0	–	6.64
Daniel Alonso Aceves PatiñoDefender	8 (5)	430	0	0	0.04	6.48	×2

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	Home	Away
Dafabet	1.82	1.92
Marathonbet	2.09	1.67
MelBet	2.56	1.40
Pinnacle	1.89	1.96

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
Betano.dk	14.50	1.02

Toluca vs Monterrey – Match preview

Match Preview

Predictions

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Toluca goals

Monterrey goals

Corners

Toluca corners

Monterrey corners

Cards

Toluca cards

Monterrey cards

Form Guide

Head to Head

Injuries & Suspensions

Toluca

Monterrey

Key Players

Toluca

Monterrey

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

More on Toluca vs Monterrey