Alverca vs Casa Pia – Match preview
Alverca-:-
Casa PiaComplexo Desportivo FC AlvercaRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
30%
30%
AlvercaDraw 40%Casa Pia
0.6 – 0.7
Expected score
14%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
37%
35%
AlvercaDraw 28%Casa Pia
First Half Result
25%
25%
AlvercaDraw 50%Casa Pia
Team to Score First
48%
42%
AlvercaNo goal 10%Casa Pia
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
Alverca Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Alverca Over 1.5 Goals
32%
Casa Pia Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Alverca Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Match Result
Alverca
46%–
model 2.17–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%–
model 3.53–
Last 1015%3/20
Casa Pia
26%–
model 3.90–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Alverca
64%–
model 1.56–
Last 1053%9/17
Casa Pia
36%–
model 2.79–
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Alverca or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1060%12/20
Alverca or Casa Pia
72%–
model 1.40–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Casa Pia
54%–
model 1.85–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1040%8/20
Alverca clean sheet
31%
model chance
Casa Pia clean sheet
26%
model chance
Alverca goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Casa Pia goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 11%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Alverca corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Casa Pia corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Alverca cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%
Casa Pia cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 42%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026AlvercaCasa Pia
- 8
- League position
- 17
- LWWWL
- Last 5
- LWLWL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 0.40
- xG for (L5)
- 1.53
- 1.14
- xG against (L5)
- 3.61
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Alverca wins
0
Draws
0
Casa Pia wins
Last 2 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
12 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Alverca in the last 2 meetings
WW
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonAlverca
Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo
3 goals
Most assists
Diogo Spencer
3 assists
Best rated
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Mendes Werneck de OliveiraGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Isaac JamesDefender | 9 (9) | 774 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.81 | – |
| FigueiredoAttacker | 9 (9) | 703 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Steven BaseyaDefender | 8 (8) | 636 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Yaya BojangDefender | 8 (6) | 597 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×3 |
| Davy Jean Carl Kamon GuiMidfielder | 8 (7) | 571 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Francisco Jorge Tavares OliveiraAttacker | 7 (7) | 557 | 2 | 2 | 0.10 | 7.32 | |
| Diogo SpencerDefender | 6 (4) | 519 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 7.18 | ×2 |
| Ian LuccasMidfielder | 7 (6) | 501 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.56 | |
| Rayan LucasMidfielder | 8 (6) | 460 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Francisco Edgar Chissumba RodriguesMidfielder | 8 (6) | 459 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Sergi Gómez SolàDefender | 6 (5) | 458 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.62 | – |
| Vivaldo SemedoAttacker | 8 (5) | 382 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Nabil TouaiziMidfielder | 5 (4) | 306 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Dawda CamaraAttacker | 5 (4) | 305 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.92 |
Casa Pia
Top scorer
Lawrence Ofori
1 goals
Most assists
Lawrence Ofori
1 assists
Best rated
Patrick Sequeira
8.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André GeraldesDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | ×2 |
| David SousaDefender | 10 (10) | 857 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Lawrence OforiMidfielder | 10 (10) | 856 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.76 | – |
| Pedro RosasDefender | 10 (7) | 663 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.79 | ×2 |
| João RegoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 601 | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 7.08 | – |
| Henrique AraújoAttacker | 10 (7) | 561 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 6.48 | |
| Selvi CluaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 559 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.95 | – |
| KalyDefender | 8 (6) | 542 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.59 | ×3 |
| Seba PérezMidfielder | 7 (5) | 411 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Benjamin PauwelsMidfielder | 7 (5) | 398 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.61 | – |
| André Nogueira GomesGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 389 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | – |
| João GoulartDefender | 6 (4) | 388 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Mohamed Salah El BoukammiriMidfielder | 6 (5) | 357 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.66 | – |
| Ivan MandićGoalkeeper | 4 (3) | 331 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Alassana JattaAttacker | 7 (3) | 301 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
More on Alverca vs Casa Pia
- Alverca stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Casa Pia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Portugal table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture