Arouca vs Nacional – Match preview
Arouca-:-
NacionalEstádio Municipal de AroucaRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
87%
3%
AroucaDraw 10%Nacional
3.0 – 0.5
Expected score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Arouca
51%–
fair 1.96–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.86–
Last 1010%2/20
Nacional
23%–
fair 4.33–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Arouca
69%–
fair 1.45–
Last 1067%12/18
Nacional
31%–
fair 3.21–
Last 1033%6/18
Double chance
Arouca or draw
77%–
fair 1.30–
Last 1070%14/20
Arouca or Nacional
74%–
fair 1.35–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Nacional
49%–
fair 2.04–
Last 1040%8/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%
Last 1045%9/20
Arouca clean sheet
29%
model chance
Nacional clean sheet
21%
model chance
Arouca goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Nacional goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Arouca corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Nacional corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 5.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Arouca cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 76%O2.5 52%O3.5 30%
Nacional cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AroucaNacional
- 5
- League position
- 16
- WDLDW
- Last 5
- LLLLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.00
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 15
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Arouca wins
0
Draws
0
Nacional wins
Last 4 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Arouca in the last 4 meetings
WWWW
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonArouca
Top scorer
Iván Barbero
5 goals
Most assists
Naïs Djouahra
5 assists
Best rated
José Fontán
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José FontánDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.31 | ×2 |
| Ignacio de ArruabarrenaGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.21 | |
| Tiago EsgaioDefender | 8 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Taichi FukuiMidfielder | 8 (8) | 698 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| Naïs DjouahraMidfielder | 8 (8) | 670 | 0 | 5 | – | 7.07 | |
| Orest LebedenkoDefender | 8 (7) | 646 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Alfonso TrezzaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 619 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Javi SánchezDefender | 7 (7) | 609 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | ×3 |
| Iván BarberoAttacker | 8 (8) | 572 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Espen van EeMidfielder | 8 (8) | 563 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Pablo GozálbezMidfielder | 7 (4) | 300 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Mateo FloresMidfielder | 7 (2) | 216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Hyun-ju LeeMidfielder | 4 (3) | 215 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | |
| Pedro SantosMidfielder | 8 (0) | 191 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Dylan NandínAttacker | 7 (0) | 148 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×2 |
Nacional
Top scorer
Abdel Kader Njoya
2 goals
Most assists
Daniel Jr
1 assists
Best rated
Léo Santos
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato MarinGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Ze VitorDefender | 8 (8) | 676 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Miguel BaezaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 566 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Matheus DiasDefender | 7 (7) | 547 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Pablo RuanAttacker | 7 (6) | 506 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Wesley GasolinaMidfielder | 7 (6) | 496 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Daniel JrMidfielder | 7 (6) | 444 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | |
| William KokoloDefender | 6 (4) | 426 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.42 | ×2 |
| Léo SantosDefender | 5 (5) | 406 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Markus JensenMidfielder | 6 (5) | 370 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Francisco GonçalvesDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| LizieroMidfielder | 4 (4) | 338 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Stavros GavrielMidfielder | 8 (2) | 280 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Matchoi DjalóMidfielder | 6 (2) | 260 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Filipe SoaresMidfielder | 4 (3) | 249 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |