Estoril vs Moreirense – Match preview
Estoril-:-
MoreirenseEstádio António Coimbra da MotaRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
31%
29%
EstorilDraw 40%Moreirense
Bookmaker implied
49%
25%
EstorilDraw 26%Moreirense
0.7 – 0.7
Expected score
15%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Estoril
47%1.95
fair 2.15-9%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
27%3.56
fair 3.64-2%
Last 1025%5/20
Moreirense
26%3.85
fair 3.850%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Estoril
64%1.40
fair 1.56-10%
Last 1040%6/15
Moreirense
36%2.77
fair 2.79-1%
Last 1060%9/15
Double chance
Estoril or draw
74%1.26
fair 1.35-7%
Last 1055%11/20
Estoril or Moreirense
73%1.29
fair 1.38-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Moreirense
53%1.85
fair 1.87-1%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | 1.28 / 3.66 | 60%12/20 | Under +1% |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | 1.93 / 1.90 | 35%7/20 | Under 0% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | 3.23 / 1.34 | 25%5/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | 6.11 / 1.13 | 15%3/20 | none |
Both teams to score
51%Yes 1.80
Last 1055%11/20
Estoril clean sheet
29%
model chance
Moreirense clean sheet
29%
model chance
Estoril goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Moreirense goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Estoril corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Moreirense corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 18%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cards · Referee Carlos André Fernandes Macedo (3.4 cards a match, ×0.87)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Estoril cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
Moreirense cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026EstorilMoreirense
- 18
- League position
- 12
- LLLDL
- Last 5
- LDWLL
- 0.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
Estoril wins
3
Draws
4
Moreirense wins
Last 8 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Over 2.5 goals
20 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Estoril in the last 5 meetings
LDDDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Estoril
- Israel SalazarCruciate Ligament Tear
Moreirense
No reported absences
Confirmed Line-ups
Estoril
3-4-2-1- 1Joel RoblesGoalkeeper
- 35Sam AmissahDefender
- 6Xavi SintesDefender
- 5A. TsounguiDefender
- 2Ricard SánchezDefender
- 44Milan RobinMidfielder
- 10Jordan HolsgroveMidfielder
- 21Roko JurisicDefender
- 99Rafik GuitaneMidfielder
- 12João CarvalhoMidfielder
- 7André LacximicantAttacker
Moreirense
4-2-3-1- 13André FerreiraGoalkeeper
- 76Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges PintoDefender
- 66Gilberto Dambi BatistaDefender
- 26Jóbson de Brito GonzagaDefender
- 27Francisco Miguel Teixeira DominguesDefender
- 23Nile JohnMidfielder
- 65Guilherme Liberato Tomas de AquinoMidfielder
- 10Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares BondosoMidfielder
- 7Manuel MendonçaMidfielder
- 19Tiago AndradeAttacker
- 79Leonardo VonićAttacker
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonEstoril
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui
2 goals
Most assists
João Carvalho
1 assists
Best rated
Jordan Holsgrove
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel RoblesGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| João CarvalhoMidfielder | 8 (8) | 710 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Ismael SierraDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Yanis BegraouiAttacker | 7 (7) | 630 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Ricard SánchezDefender | 8 (8) | 602 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| FerroDefender | 6 (6) | 513 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Antef TsounguiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 504 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| André LacximicantAttacker | 8 (6) | 482 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Fernando MedranoDefender | 5 (5) | 406 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | |
| Jordan HolsgroveMidfielder | 5 (4) | 386 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.41 | |
| Rafik GuitaneMidfielder | 7 (4) | 368 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Roko JurisicDefender | 3 (3) | 254 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Milan RobinMidfielder | 3 (3) | 196 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Fabrício GarciaAttacker | 6 (2) | 175 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Nail OmerovicMidfielder | 3 (2) | 170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
Moreirense
Top scorer
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
1 goals
Most assists
João Veloso
2 assists
Best rated
Tiago Andrade
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilberto Dambi BatistaDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×3 |
| André FerreiraGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Francisco Miguel Teixeira DominguesDefender | 8 (8) | 680 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Jóbson de Brito GonzagaDefender | 7 (7) | 610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Nile JohnMidfielder | 8 (8) | 587 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges PintoDefender | 7 (6) | 560 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Guilherme Liberato Tomas de AquinoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Manuel MendonçaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 460 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Alexandre ParsemainAttacker | 6 (5) | 434 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.45 | |
| Rodrigo Alonso MartínMidfielder | 8 (3) | 346 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| LandersonAttacker | 7 (4) | 339 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | |
| Tiago AndradeMidfielder | 6 (3) | 320 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares BondosoAttacker | 7 (3) | 314 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Mateja StjepanovićMidfielder | 6 (2) | 248 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| João VelosoMidfielder | 5 (2) | 248 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.97 |
Referee
Carlos André Fernandes Macedo
Referee · Portugal
- Cards per game
- 3.36
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.07
- Red cards per game
- 0.29
- Fouls per game
- 25.8
- Penalties per game
- 0.43
- Home wins
- 77%
Averages across 14 completed matches officiated by Carlos André Fernandes Macedo in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.37 | 3.04 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.87 | 1.97 |
| Betfair | 1.01 | 13.00 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 2.07 | 1.65 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 1.99 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.83 | 1.95 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.86 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 6.00 | — | — |
| MelBet | 3.11 | 1.37 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 1.83 | — | — |
| Sbo | 2.05 | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Betano.dk | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| Betinia | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| Betsonic | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 3.40 |
| Campobet | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 3.66 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Away | Away/Home | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Draw/Draw | Away/Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 6.40 | 26.00 | 8.70 | 36.00 | 15.00 | 2.82 | 4.85 | 5.45 | 15.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.40 | 26.00 | 8.70 | 36.00 | 15.25 | 2.82 | 4.85 | 5.45 | 15.50 |