Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora – Match preview
-:-
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida FreitasRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
26%
56%
MoreirenseDraw 18%Estrela Amadora
1.9 – 2.8
Expected score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Moreirense
37%–
fair 2.68–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
30%–
fair 3.37–
Last 1025%5/20
Estrela Amadora
33%–
fair 3.03–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Moreirense
53%–
fair 1.88–
Last 1053%8/15
Estrela Amadora
47%–
fair 2.13–
Last 1047%7/15
Double chance
Moreirense or draw
67%–
fair 1.49–
Last 1065%13/20
Moreirense or Estrela Amadora
70%–
fair 1.42–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Estrela Amadora
63%–
fair 1.60–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
50%
Last 1040%8/20
Moreirense clean sheet
27%
model chance
Estrela Amadora clean sheet
31%
model chance
Moreirense goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Estrela Amadora goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Moreirense corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Estrela Amadora corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Moreirense cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Estrela Amadora cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026MoreirenseEstrela Amadora
- 12
- League position
- 10
- LDWLL
- Last 5
- LLDWD
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Moreirense wins
3
Draws
1
Estrela Amadora wins
Last 6 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
02 May 2026
Last meeting
Moreirense in the last 5 meetings
WDDLD
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonMoreirense
Top scorer
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
1 goals
Most assists
João Veloso
2 assists
Best rated
Tiago Andrade
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André FerreiraGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Gilberto Dambi BatistaDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Francisco Miguel Teixeira DominguesDefender | 8 (8) | 680 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Jóbson de Brito GonzagaDefender | 7 (7) | 610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Nile JohnMidfielder | 8 (8) | 587 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges PintoDefender | 7 (6) | 560 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Guilherme Liberato Tomas de AquinoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Manuel MendonçaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 460 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Alexandre ParsemainAttacker | 6 (5) | 434 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.45 | |
| Rodrigo Alonso MartínMidfielder | 8 (3) | 346 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| LandersonAttacker | 7 (4) | 339 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | |
| Tiago AndradeMidfielder | 6 (3) | 320 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares BondosoAttacker | 7 (3) | 314 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| João VelosoMidfielder | 5 (2) | 248 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.97 | |
| Mateja StjepanovićMidfielder | 6 (2) | 248 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 |
Estrela Amadora
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti
4 goals
Most assists
Rafa Soares
2 assists
Best rated
Abraham Marcus
7.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa SoaresDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Léo LinckGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Leandro AntonettiAttacker | 8 (8) | 714 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.10 | |
| Abraham MarcusMidfielder | 8 (8) | 702 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.23 | |
| Lovro ZvonarekMidfielder | 8 (8) | 694 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Luan PatrickDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Stefan LekovićDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×3 |
| Max ScholzeDefender | 8 (7) | 584 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Ianis StoicaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 555 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Santiago Ferreira SerraMidfielder | 5 (5) | 384 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| RobinhoMidfielder | 5 (2) | 219 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| B. SouzaMidfielder | 8 (0) | 190 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Bernardo SchappoDefender | 3 (2) | 175 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Jefferson EncadaDefender | 5 (1) | 135 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Joan JordánMidfielder | 5 (0) | 110 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 |