Nacional vs Sporting Braga – Match preview
Nacional-:-
Sporting BragaEstádio da MadeiraRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
20%
60%
NacionalDraw 20%Sporting Braga
Bookmaker implied
16%
61%
NacionalDraw 23%Sporting Braga
1.2 – 2.2
Expected score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Nacional
24%5.75
fair 4.21disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
25%4.04
fair 4.040%
Last 1015%3/20
Sporting Braga
52%1.57
fair 1.94-19%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Nacional
32%4.33
fair 3.17disputed
Last 1053%9/17
Sporting Braga
68%1.18
fair 1.46-19%
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Nacional or draw
49%2.37
fair 2.06disputed
Last 1060%12/20
Nacional or Sporting Braga
75%1.23
fair 1.33-7%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Sporting Braga
76%1.13
fair 1.31-14%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 1.29 / 3.59 | 90%18/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | 1.91 / 1.93 | 50%10/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | 3.22 / 1.34 | 25%5/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | 6.28 / 1.12 | 5%1/20 | none |
Both teams to score
52%Yes 1.95
Last 1050%10/20
Nacional clean sheet
25%
model chance
Sporting Braga clean sheet
27%
model chance
Nacional goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Sporting Braga goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Nacional corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 43%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Sporting Braga corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 29%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 6.8 match cards · Referee José Armando Torres Bessa (8.1 cards a match, ×1.40)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Nacional cards
O0.5 97%O1.5 86%O2.5 67%O3.5 45%
Sporting Braga cards
O0.5 97%O1.5 85%O2.5 66%O3.5 44%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026NacionalSporting Braga
- 16
- League position
- 9
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- LLDWL
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 15
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Nacional wins
0
Draws
6
Sporting Braga wins
Last 7 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
71%
Over 2.5 goals
28 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Nacional in the last 5 meetings
LLWLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional
- Léo SantosTorn Lateral Knee Ligament
- Matheus DiasIndirect Card Suspension
- UlissesBroken Ankle
Sporting Braga
- Bright Arrey-MbiUnknown Injury
- Sikou NiakatéAchilles tendon rupture
Confirmed Line-ups
Nacional
4-2-3-1- 1Renato MarinGoalkeeper
- 88DeivisonMidfielder
- 33Francisco GonçalvesDefender
- 38Ze VitorDefender
- 21William KokoloDefender
- 15Chiheb LabidiMidfielder
- 31Danel DongmoMidfielder
- 10Daniel JrMidfielder
- 20Matchoi DjalóMidfielder
- 12Min-kyu SongMidfielder
- 29Abdel Kader NjoyaAttacker
Sporting Braga
3-4-2-1- 31BernardoGoalkeeper
- 22Sergio BarciaDefender
- 6Vítor CarvalhoDefender
- 44Adrian BajramiDefender
- 2Víctor GómezMidfielder
- 29GorbyMidfielder
- 8João MoutinhoMidfielder
- 11Gabriel SilvaAttacker
- 23Denis HuseinbasicMidfielder
- 21Ricardo HortaAttacker
- 10Pau VíctorAttacker
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonNacional
Top scorer
Abdel Kader Njoya
2 goals
Most assists
Daniel Jr
1 assists
Best rated
Léo Santos
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato MarinGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Ze VitorDefender | 8 (8) | 676 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Miguel BaezaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 566 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Matheus DiasDefender | 7 (7) | 547 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Pablo RuanAttacker | 7 (6) | 506 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Wesley GasolinaMidfielder | 7 (6) | 496 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Daniel JrMidfielder | 7 (6) | 444 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | |
| William KokoloDefender | 6 (4) | 426 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.42 | ×2 |
| Léo SantosDefender | 5 (5) | 406 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Markus JensenMidfielder | 6 (5) | 370 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Francisco GonçalvesDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| LizieroMidfielder | 4 (4) | 338 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Stavros GavrielMidfielder | 8 (2) | 280 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Matchoi DjalóMidfielder | 6 (2) | 260 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Filipe SoaresMidfielder | 4 (3) | 249 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
Sporting Braga
Top scorer
Pau Víctor
4 goals
Most assists
Demir Ege Tıknaz
2 assists
Best rated
Ricardo Horta
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BernardoGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Víctor GómezMidfielder | 8 (6) | 628 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Pau VíctorAttacker | 8 (7) | 608 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| João MoutinhoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 566 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | ×2 |
| Vítor CarvalhoDefender | 7 (6) | 559 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Gustaf LagerbielkeDefender | 6 (6) | 531 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Demir Ege TıknazMidfielder | 7 (5) | 434 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.07 | |
| Adrian BajramiDefender | 7 (4) | 406 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Gabriel SilvaAttacker | 7 (4) | 378 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| GorbyMidfielder | 5 (4) | 373 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Ricardo HortaAttacker | 5 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | |
| Sergio BarciaDefender | 5 (3) | 339 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| TravassosDefender | 5 (4) | 284 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Mario DorgelesMidfielder | 5 (4) | 278 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Gabri MartínezAttacker | 5 (3) | 273 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 |
Referee
José Armando Torres Bessa
Referee · Portugal
- Cards per game
- 8.07
- Yellow cards per game
- 7.29
- Red cards per game
- 0.79
- Fouls per game
- 29.1
- Penalties per game
- 0.43
- Home wins
- 31%
Averages across 14 completed matches officiated by José Armando Torres Bessa in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.00 | 11.60 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.82 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 1.02 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.77 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.82 | 2.01 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.81 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.84 | 2.04 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 4.70 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.51 | 2.56 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 4.45 | 1.21 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.85 | 2.03 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 5.92 | 1.95 |
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.90 |
| Betinia | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| Betsonic | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 2.10 |
| Campobet | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 6.28 | 1.51 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 50.00 | 17.50 | 2.20 | 26.00 | 18.00 | 4.15 | 5.80 | 10.50 | 12.70 |
| Marathonbet | 51.00 | 17.50 | 2.20 | 26.00 | 18.25 | 4.15 | 5.80 | 10.50 | 12.75 |