Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga – Match preview
-:-
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol ClubeRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
20%
59%
Rio AveDraw 21%Sporting Braga
1.1 – 2.1
Expected score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
19%
58%
Rio AveDraw 23%Sporting Braga
First Half Result
17%
44%
Rio AveDraw 39%Sporting Braga
Team to Score First
29%
64%
Rio AveNo goal 7%Sporting Braga
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Rio Ave Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Rio Ave Over 1.5 Goals
22%
Sporting Braga Over 0.5 Goals
82%
Rio Ave Over 0.5 Goals
54%
Match Result
Rio Ave
34%–
model 2.93–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
29%–
model 3.48–
Last 1010%2/20
Sporting Braga
37%–
model 2.69–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Rio Ave
48%–
model 2.09–
Last 1044%8/18
Sporting Braga
52%–
model 1.92–
Last 1056%10/18
Double chance
Rio Ave or draw
63%–
model 1.59–
Last 1050%10/20
Rio Ave or Sporting Braga
71%–
model 1.40–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Sporting Braga
66%–
model 1.52–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1035%7/20
Rio Ave clean sheet
23%
model chance
Sporting Braga clean sheet
31%
model chance
Rio Ave goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Sporting Braga goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Rio Ave corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 60%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Sporting Braga corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Rio Ave cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Sporting Braga cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Rio AveSporting Braga
- 16
- League position
- 10
- LWLDL
- Last 5
- LLLDW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 14
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 0.34
- xG for (L5)
- 1.72
- 1.51
- xG against (L5)
- 0.49
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Rio Ave wins
3
Draws
4
Sporting Braga wins
Last 8 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Rio Ave in the last 5 meetings
LDWLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Rio Ave
- Brandon AguileraCruciate Ligament Tear
Sporting Braga
No reported absences
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonRio Ave
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa
3 goals
Most assists
Diogo Bezerra
3 assists
Best rated
Jalen Blesa
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen BlesaAttacker | 9 (9) | 786 | 3 | 1 | 0.15 | 7.12 | |
| Francisco PetrassoDefender | 9 (8) | 733 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×3 |
| Diogo BezerraMidfielder | 9 (9) | 713 | 1 | 3 | 0.06 | 6.57 | – |
| Georgios LiavasDefender | 7 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.47 | |
| Andreas NtoiMidfielder | 8 (7) | 612 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Ennio Van Der GouwGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Tamás NikitscherMidfielder | 7 (6) | 521 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Gustavo ManchaDefender | 6 (5) | 459 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Tamble MonteiroAttacker | 9 (4) | 442 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Marios VrousaiAttacker | 9 (4) | 401 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Diogo NascimentoMidfielder | 5 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.65 | – |
| R. GalčíkAttacker | 9 (4) | 338 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Vitor HugoGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| João ToméDefender | 5 (4) | 269 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | |
| Nelson AbbeyDefender | 4 (3) | 258 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 |
Sporting Braga
Top scorer
Pau Víctor
4 goals
Most assists
Demir Ege Tıknaz
2 assists
Best rated
Ricardo Horta
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BernardoGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Víctor GómezMidfielder | 9 (7) | 718 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.75 | |
| Pau VíctorAttacker | 9 (8) | 698 | 4 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Gustaf LagerbielkeDefender | 7 (7) | 621 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 6.93 | ×2 |
| João MoutinhoMidfielder | 9 (7) | 611 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Vítor CarvalhoDefender | 7 (6) | 559 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Ricardo HortaAttacker | 6 (5) | 444 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 7.18 | |
| Demir Ege TıknazMidfielder | 7 (5) | 434 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.07 | |
| Sergio BarciaDefender | 6 (4) | 429 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Gabriel SilvaAttacker | 8 (5) | 423 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 6.77 | – |
| GorbyMidfielder | 6 (5) | 418 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Adrian BajramiDefender | 7 (4) | 406 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Mario DorgelesMidfielder | 6 (4) | 323 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.75 | – |
| Gabri MartínezAttacker | 6 (3) | 318 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.71 | |
| TravassosDefender | 5 (4) | 284 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 |
More on Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga
- Rio Ave stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Sporting Braga stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Portugal table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture