Vitória Guimarães vs Porto – Match preview
-:-
Estádio Dom Afonso HenriquesRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
21%
35%
Vitória GuimarãesDraw 44%Porto
0.4 – 0.7
Expected score
10%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
30%
42%
Vitória GuimarãesDraw 28%Porto
First Half Result
25%
26%
Vitória GuimarãesDraw 49%Porto
Team to Score First
44%
48%
Vitória GuimarãesNo goal 8%Porto
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Vitória Guimarães Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Vitória Guimarães Over 1.5 Goals
30%
Porto Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Vitória Guimarães Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Match Result
Vitória Guimarães
34%–
model 2.93–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%–
model 3.53–
Last 1010%2/20
Porto
38%–
model 2.66–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Vitória Guimarães
48%–
model 2.10–
Last 1033%6/18
Porto
52%–
model 1.91–
Last 1067%12/18
Double chance
Vitória Guimarães or draw
62%–
model 1.60–
Last 1040%8/20
Vitória Guimarães or Porto
72%–
model 1.40–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Porto
66%–
model 1.52–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%
Last 1040%8/20
Vitória Guimarães clean sheet
22%
model chance
Porto clean sheet
31%
model chance
Vitória Guimarães goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Porto goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Vitória Guimarães corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Porto corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Vitória Guimarães cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 46%O3.5 24%
Porto cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Vitória GuimarãesPorto
- 13
- League position
- 1
- WLDLD
- Last 5
- WWWWW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 14
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 1.98
- xG for (L5)
- 4.41
- 0.62
- xG against (L5)
- 1.44
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Vitória Guimarães wins
1
Draws
10
Porto wins
Last 12 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
58%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Vitória Guimarães in the last 5 meetings
LLDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Guimarães
No reported absences
Porto
- William GomesAnkle Sprain
Key Players
Liga Portugal, this seasonVitória Guimarães
Top scorer
Arnel Jakupovic
2 goals
Most assists
Miguel Nogueira
3 assists
Best rated
Lucas Furtado
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João MendesDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.84 | – |
| SamuMidfielder | 9 (8) | 730 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Thiago BalieiroDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Oliwier ZychGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Tony StrataDefender | 9 (7) | 686 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Gustavo SilvaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 592 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.07 | ×4 |
| Oumar CamaraMidfielder | 9 (6) | 541 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 6.75 | |
| Gonçalo NogueiraMidfielder | 9 (7) | 530 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×3 |
| Beni MukendiMidfielder | 9 (5) | 489 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Lohann DoucetMidfielder | 9 (6) | 478 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| A. NdoyeAttacker | 7 (5) | 423 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Miguel NogueiraMidfielder | 8 (4) | 408 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Óscar RivasDefender | 5 (4) | 379 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Arnel JakupovicAttacker | 5 (4) | 345 | 2 | 0 | 1.04 | 7.18 | |
| Toni BorevkovićDefender | 4 (3) | 276 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.84 | ×3 |
Porto
Top scorer
Gabri Veiga
5 goals
Most assists
Pepê
5 assists
Best rated
Gabri Veiga
7.64
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo CostaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Jakub KiwiorDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 7.19 | |
| PepêAttacker | 10 (10) | 841 | 0 | 5 | 0.01 | 7.05 | |
| Jan BednarekDefender | 10 (10) | 838 | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 7.45 | |
| Victor FroholdtMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 3 | 0 | 0.53 | 6.84 | – |
| Pablo RosarioMidfielder | 10 (8) | 778 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 6.86 | |
| Alberto CostaDefender | 9 (8) | 721 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 6.91 | – |
| Gabri VeigaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 648 | 5 | 4 | 0.43 | 7.64 | |
| André SilvaAttacker | 10 (8) | 635 | 4 | 2 | 0.58 | 7.01 | – |
| William GomesAttacker | 8 (8) | 521 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Zaidu SanusiDefender | 6 (6) | 423 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.87 | – |
| Borja SainzAttacker | 10 (2) | 361 | 5 | 1 | 1.04 | 7.10 | – |
| In-beom HwangMidfielder | 8 (2) | 315 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Francisco MouraDefender | 4 (3) | 265 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Martim FernandesDefender | 5 (2) | 251 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
More on Vitória Guimarães vs Porto
- Vitória Guimarães stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Porto stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Portugal table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture