Aldosivi vs River Plate – Match preview
Aldosivi-:-
River PlateEstadio José María MinellaRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 03 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
15%
52%
AldosiviDraw 33%River Plate
Bookmaker implied
14%
64%
AldosiviDraw 22%River Plate
0.4 – 1.1
Expected score
20%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
19%
55%
AldosiviDraw 26%River Plate
First Half Result
18%
34%
AldosiviDraw 48%River Plate
Team to Score First
32%
59%
AldosiviNo goal 9%River Plate
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Aldosivi Over 3.5 Goals
1%
Aldosivi Over 1.5 Goals
19%
River Plate Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Aldosivi Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Match Result
Aldosivi
20%6.38
model 4.89disputed
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
24%4.20
model 4.10+2%
Last 1010%2/20
River Plate
55%1.51
model 1.81-17%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw no bet
Aldosivi
27%4.86
model 3.69disputed
Last 1028%5/18
River Plate
73%1.15
model 1.37-16%
Last 1072%13/18
Double chance
Aldosivi or draw
45%2.53
model 2.23disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Aldosivi or River Plate
76%1.22
model 1.32-8%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or River Plate
80%1.11
model 1.26-12%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
49%Yes 2.10
Last 1065%13/20
Aldosivi clean sheet
23%
model chance
River Plate clean sheet
32%
model chance
Aldosivi goals
O0.5 68%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
River Plate goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Aldosivi corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
River Plate corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Aldosivi cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 26%
River Plate cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrés Vombergar Aldosivi | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 60% | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | -19% |
Marcos Acuña River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 59% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -20% |
Nicolás Otamendi River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 56% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -20% |
Andrés Vombergar Aldosivi | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 55% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -5% |
Lautaro Rivero River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 51% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -19% |
Tomás Galván River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 47% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -36% |
Braian Cufré Aldosivi | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 44% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | -20% |
Ángel Correa River Plate | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 42% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -46% |
Ángel Correa River Plate | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 40% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -39% |
Néstor Breitenbruch Aldosivi | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 39% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -19% |
Lucas Castro Aldosivi | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 36% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -25% |
Nicolás Gaitán Aldosivi | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.62 | 2.62 | 34% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -10% |
Giovanni González River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 34% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -48% |
Lucas Beltrán River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 34% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -53% |
Lucas Castro Aldosivi | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.75 | 2.75 | 31% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -15% |
Nicolás Gaitán Aldosivi | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.00 | 3.00 | 31% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -8% |
Tobías Andrada River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -64% |
Santiago Moya Aldosivi | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.25 | 2.25 | 25% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -43% |
Lautaro Rivero River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.50 | 3.50 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -26% |
Tomás Galván River Plate | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 20% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -74% |
Marcos Acuña River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.75 | 2.75 | 19% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -47% |
Lucas Beltrán River Plate | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 19% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -69% |
Nicolás Otamendi River Plate | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.75 | 2.75 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -51% |
Thiago Almada River Plate | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 16% | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | -76% |
Player Probabilities
Updated 03 Nov 2026Based on each starter's last 20–40 games across all competitions, adjusted for the opponent, home or away, and the referee for fouls and cards. Starters only; hover a figure for the expected count.
Aldosivi
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucas Acosta GK | – | – | 2% | 12% | – | 6% |
Braian Cufré DEF | 44% | 15% | 64% | 35% | 47% | 12% |
Néstor Breitenbruch DEF | 39% | 12% | 63% | 26% | 62% | 17% |
Joaquín Pombo DEF | 18% | 6% | 63% | 25% | 42% | 19% |
Santiago Moya DEF | 25% | 12% | 50% | 50% | 38% | 17% |
Lucas Castro MID | 70% | 31% | 73% | 65% | 51% | 16% |
Nicolás Gaitán MID | 69% | 31% | 44% | 66% | 43% | 9% |
Martín García MID | 81% | 34% | 89% | 73% | 70% | 23% |
Felipe Anso MID | 64% | 26% | 68% | 32% | 33% | 14% |
Andrés Vombergar FWD | 85% 2+ 60% | 55% | 71% | 45% | 19% | 12% |
Agustín Palavecino FWD | 73% 2+ 40% | 39% | 67% | 81% | 53% | 16% |
River Plate
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Santiago Beltrán GK | – | – | 2% | 14% | – | 4% |
Nicolás Otamendi DEF | 56% | 18% | 56% | 66% | 39% | 17% |
Marcos Acuña DEF | 59% | 19% | 54% | 54% | 48% | 23% |
Giovanni González DEF | 34% | 8% | 47% | 55% | 30% | 18% |
Lautaro Rivero DEF | 51% | 21% | 49% | 62% | 46% | 23% |
Ángel Correa MID | 94% | 73% | 64% | 77% | 30% | 14% |
Thiago Almada MID | 86% | 49% | 51% | 65% | 37% | 13% |
Tomás Galván MID | 75% | 47% | 48% | 83% | 45% | 8% |
Tobías Andrada MID | 54% | 25% | 68% | 69% | 56% | 18% |
Lucas Silva MID | 58% | 28% | 60% | 53% | 43% | 19% |
Lucas Beltrán FWD | 74% 2+ 42% | 34% | 59% | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Form Guide
Updated 03 Nov 2026AldosiviRiver Plate
- 29
- League position
- 4
- LWLLL
- Last 5
- LWWDW
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- 3.35
- xG for (L5)
- 1.72
- 3.59
- xG against (L5)
- 2.40
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
0
Aldosivi wins
0
Draws
3
River Plate wins
Last 3 meetings
3.7
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Aldosivi in the last 3 meetings
LLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Aldosivi
- Alan SosaMetatarsal Fracture
- Sebastián MoyanoArthroscopy
River Plate
- Agustín RubertoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Aníbal MorenoCalf Problems
Confirmed Line-ups
Aldosivi
4-2-3-1- 42Lucas AcostaGoalkeeper
- 28Santiago MoyaDefender
- 25Néstor BreitenbruchDefender
- 32Joaquín PomboDefender
- 13Braian CufréDefender
- 8Martín GarcíaMidfielder
- 19Lucas CastroMidfielder
- 11Agustín PalavecinoAttacker
- 10Nico GaitánMidfielder
- 24Felipe AnsoMidfielder
- 29Andrés VombergarAttacker
River Plate
4-3-1-2- 41Santiago BeltránGoalkeeper
- 20Giovanni GonzálezDefender
- 30Nicolás OtamendiDefender
- 13Lautaro RiveroDefender
- 21Marcos AcuñaDefender
- 50Tobías AndradaMidfielder
- 44Lucas SilvaMidfielder
- 26Tomás GalvánMidfielder
- 23Thiago AlmadaMidfielder
- 10Ángel CorreaMidfielder
- 18Lucas BeltránAttacker
Key Players
Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this seasonAldosivi
Top scorer
Andrés Vombergar
7 goals
Most assists
Martín García
3 assists
Best rated
Andrés Vombergar
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás ZalazarDefender | 22 (20) | 1808 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Rodrigo GonzálezDefender | 22 (18) | 1470 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×6 |
| Nicolás CorderoAttacker | 25 (17) | 1448 | 2 | 2 | 0.44 | 6.88 | |
| Agustín PalavecinoAttacker | 24 (15) | 1400 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×5 |
| Martín GarcíaMidfielder | 23 (15) | 1381 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 6.74 | ×8 |
| Axel WernerGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Joaquín PomboDefender | 14 (13) | 1199 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| Lucas CastroMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1166 | 2 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.78 | ×4 |
| Santiago MoyaDefender | 15 (12) | 1137 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Federico GinoMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1111 | 2 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.71 | ×6 |
| Néstor BreitenbruchDefender | 13 (13) | 1106 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Fernando RománDefender | 15 (11) | 1027 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Alan SosaAttacker | 18 (10) | 1012 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Tomás FernándezAttacker | 18 (8) | 975 | 3 | 3 | – | 6.76 | ×5 |
| Lucas AcostaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
River Plate
Top scorer
Gonzalo Montiel
7 goals
Most assists
Tomás Galván
4 assists
Best rated
Thiago Almada
7.44
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago BeltránGoalkeeper | 35 (34) | 3134 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Lucas Martínez QuartaDefender | 33 (33) | 2909 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.02 | ×9 |
| Gonzalo MontielDefender | 30 (30) | 2598 | 7 | 3 | 0.32 | 7.15 | ×5 |
| Tomás GalvánMidfielder | 34 (32) | 2517 | 7 | 4 | 0.07 | 7.09 | – |
| Aníbal MorenoMidfielder | 26 (26) | 2216 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.01 | ×5 |
| Fausto VeraMidfielder | 27 (24) | 2076 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×5 |
| Lautaro RiveroDefender | 23 (20) | 1888 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.99 | ×7 |
| Marcos AcuñaDefender | 24 (21) | 1785 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.05 | ×9 |
| Sebastián DriussiAttacker | 24 (21) | 1555 | 7 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Nicolás OtamendiDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Facundo ColidioAttacker | 19 (16) | 1295 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Ángel CorreaMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1153 | 4 | 4 | 0.36 | 7.43 | – |
| Tobías AndradaMidfielder | 12 (12) | 926 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Thiago AlmadaMidfielder | 11 (10) | 820 | 3 | 1 | 0.22 | 7.44 | |
| Ian SubiabreMidfielder | 17 (9) | 808 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.68 | ×3 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | 1.04 | 9.50 |
| Betinia | 1.55 | 2.20 | — | — |
| Betsonic | 1.55 | 2.20 | — | — |
| Campobet | 1.55 | 2.20 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.83 | 1.95 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.85 | 2.03 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.96 | 1.89 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 7.80 | 1.02 |
| bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 1.02 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Betinia | 1.78 | 1.88 |
| Betsonic | 1.78 | 1.88 |
| Campobet | 1.78 | 1.88 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 21.00 | 28.00 | 3.90 | 6.10 | 13.50 | 15.00 | 65.00 | 19.50 | 1.99 |
| Marathonbet | 21.00 | 28.00 | 3.90 | 6.10 | 13.50 | 15.25 | 67.00 | 19.75 | 1.99 |
More on Aldosivi vs River Plate
- Aldosivi stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- River Plate stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Profesional de Fútbol (Argentina) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture