Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia – Match preview
Boca Juniors-:-
Defensa y JusticiaEstadio Alberto José ArmandoRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 03 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
55%
19%
Boca JuniorsDraw 26%Defensa y Justicia
Bookmaker implied
68%
11%
Boca JuniorsDraw 21%Defensa y Justicia
1.5 – 0.8
Expected score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
57%
19%
Boca JuniorsDraw 24%Defensa y Justicia
First Half Result
39%
16%
Boca JuniorsDraw 45%Defensa y Justicia
Team to Score First
63%
30%
Boca JuniorsNo goal 7%Defensa y Justicia
Probability
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Boca Juniors Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Boca Juniors Over 1.5 Goals
49%
Defensa y Justicia Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Boca Juniors Over 0.5 Goals
81%
Match Result
Boca Juniors
62%1.36
model 1.61-16%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
23%4.50
model 4.33+4%
Last 1020%4/20
Defensa y Justicia
15%9.50
model 6.74disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors
81%1.06
model 1.24-14%
Last 1056%9/16
Defensa y Justicia
19%7.39
model 5.19disputed
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Boca Juniors or draw
85%1.04
model 1.17-11%
Last 1065%13/20
Boca Juniors or Defensa y Justicia
77%1.19
model 1.30-8%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Defensa y Justicia
38%3.05
model 2.64disputed
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Both teams to score
49%Yes 2.05
Last 1045%9/20
Boca Juniors clean sheet
30%
model chance
Defensa y Justicia clean sheet
26%
model chance
Boca Juniors goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Defensa y Justicia goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Boca Juniors corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 64%O5.5 46%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Defensa y Justicia corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 60%O4.5 40%O5.5 24%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Cards
Expected 4.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Boca Juniors cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 27%
Defensa y Justicia cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 19%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremías Lucco Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Lautaro Di Lollo Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
David Barbona Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Jeremías Lucco Defensa y Justicia | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ayrton Portillo Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
David Barbona Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
David Barbona Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50 | 7.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
David Barbona Defensa y Justicia | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ayrton Costa Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Lautaro Blanco Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Lautaro Blanco Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Maximiliano Porcel Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Lautaro Di Lollo Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 6.00 | 6.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Ayrton Portillo Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Lautaro Di Lollo Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Goals · 8.50 | 8.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Lautaro Di Lollo Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Sebastián Villa Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Sebastián Villa Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Assists · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Leandro Lozano Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Aarón Molinas Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Santiago Ascacíbar Boca Juniors | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Aarón Molinas Defensa y Justicia | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Santiago Ascacíbar Boca Juniors | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Enner Valencia Boca Juniors | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 03 Nov 2026Boca JuniorsDefensa y Justicia
- 3
- League position
- 11
- WWWDW
- Last 5
- DWLWW
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 3.22
- xG for (L5)
- 1.82
- 2.00
- xG against (L5)
- 2.28
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Boca Juniors wins
4
Draws
2
Defensa y Justicia wins
Last 9 meetings
2.1
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
56%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Boca Juniors in the last 5 meetings
WLWDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Boca Juniors
- Adam BareiroHerniated Disc
- Agustín MarchesínCruciate Ligament Tear
Defensa y Justicia
- Aarón MolinasKnee Injury
- Lucas SoutoLumbar Vertebra Problems
Confirmed Line-ups
Boca Juniors
4-3-3- 1Álvaro MonteroGoalkeeper
- 17Leandro LozanoDefender
- 2Lautaro Di LolloDefender
- 32Ayrton CostaDefender
- 3Lautaro BlancoDefender
- 25Santiago AscacíbarMidfielder
- 5Leandro ParedesMidfielder
- 18Milton DelgadoMidfielder
- 19Leonel FloresAttacker
- 16Miguel MerentielAttacker
- 22Sebastián VillaAttacker
Defensa y Justicia
4-2-3-1- 1Matías BorgognoGoalkeeper
- 28Valentín Pucheta LozaDefender
- 29Damián FernándezDefender
- 21David MartínezDefender
- 30Demián DomínguezDefender
- 15Santiago SosaMidfielder
- 8César PérezMidfielder
- 26Jeremías LuccoMidfielder
- 19David BarbonaMidfielder
- 24Juan GutiérrezAttacker
- 9Leandro FernándezAttacker
Key Players
Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this seasonBoca Juniors
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel
10 goals
Most assists
Lautaro Blanco
4 assists
Best rated
Leandro Paredes
7.46
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro BlancoDefender | 28 (26) | 2267 | 1 | 4 | – | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Lautaro Di LolloDefender | 26 (25) | 2180 | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.01 | ×6 |
| Santiago AscacíbarMidfielder | 27 (22) | 1953 | 6 | 2 | 0.84 | 6.94 | ×5 |
| Milton DelgadoMidfielder | 28 (23) | 1893 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 6.89 | ×7 |
| Leandro ParedesMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1696 | 2 | 4 | 0.24 | 7.46 | ×9 |
| Miguel MerentielAttacker | 27 (21) | 1661 | 10 | 2 | 1.16 | 6.86 | |
| Ayrton CostaDefender | 19 (17) | 1449 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×6 |
| Álvaro MonteroGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Agustín MarchesínGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1072 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Marco PellegrinoDefender | 12 (10) | 922 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Tomás BelmonteMidfielder | 16 (9) | 828 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Alan VelascoMidfielder | 18 (10) | 807 | 4 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.06 | ×2 |
| Marcelo WeigandtDefender | 11 (8) | 735 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Juan BarinagaDefender | 9 (9) | 713 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Adam BareiroAttacker | 10 (8) | 686 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.99 | ×4 |
Defensa y Justicia
Top scorer
Juan Gutiérrez
6 goals
Most assists
Juan Gutiérrez
8 assists
Best rated
Aarón Molinas
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan GutiérrezAttacker | 30 (29) | 2491 | 6 | 8 | 0.17 | 6.95 | ×3 |
| Santiago SosaMidfielder | 29 (29) | 2458 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.81 | ×4 |
| Damián FernándezDefender | 26 (24) | 2111 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×8 |
| David MartínezDefender | 25 (25) | 2104 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.04 | ×8 |
| Lucas SoutoDefender | 19 (18) | 1501 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Cristopher FiermarínGoalkeeper | 16 (16) | 1440 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| David BarbonaAttacker | 24 (17) | 1408 | 5 | 5 | 0.17 | 7.08 | |
| Aarón MolinasMidfielder | 18 (15) | 1406 | 3 | 4 | 0.03 | 7.26 | ×4 |
| Matías BorgognoGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| César PérezMidfielder | 17 (15) | 1312 | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | 7.01 | ×4 |
| Emiliano AmorDefender | 15 (15) | 1305 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Ayrton PortilloMidfielder | 18 (13) | 1153 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.79 | ×4 |
| Leandro FernándezAttacker | 15 (14) | 1127 | 5 | 1 | 0.59 | 7.09 | ×3 |
| Agustín HauschAttacker | 26 (13) | 1023 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Rubén BottaAttacker | 13 (13) | 861 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 4.30 | 1.14 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.02 | 1.77 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 1.06 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 1.94 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.92 | 1.96 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.12 | 1.72 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 23.00 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 1.02 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 19.50 | 55.00 | 16.50 | 6.00 | 1.98 | 3.84 | 26.00 | 21.00 | 15.50 |
| Marathonbet | 19.75 | 56.00 | 16.50 | 6.00 | 1.98 | 3.84 | 26.00 | 21.00 | 15.50 |
More on Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia
- Boca Juniors stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Defensa y Justicia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Profesional de Fútbol (Argentina) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture