Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente

Match Preview

Updated 21 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

35%

36%

Defensa y JusticiaDraw 29%Independiente

Bookmaker implied

42%

28%

Defensa y JusticiaDraw 30%Independiente

1.1 – 1.1

Expected score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Both teams to score

Match Result

Defensa y Justicia

41%2.25

fair 2.43-7%

Last 1035%7/20

Draw

30%3.00

fair 3.32-10%

Last 1020%4/20

Independiente

29%3.40

fair 3.47-2%

Last 1045%9/20

Draw no bet

Defensa y Justicia

59%1.50

fair 1.70-12%

Last 1044%7/16

Independiente

41%2.27

fair 2.43-6%

Last 1056%9/16

Double chance

Defensa y Justicia or draw

71%1.29

fair 1.40-8%

Last 1055%11/20

Defensa y Justicia or Independiente

70%1.35

fair 1.43-6%

Last 1080%16/20

Draw or Independiente

59%1.59

fair 1.70-6%

Last 1065%13/20

Expected goals 1.5–1.3 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	94%	6%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	76%	24%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 2.5main	52%	48%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 3.5	30%	70%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 4.5	15%	85%	–	5%1/20	–

Both teams to score

54%Yes 1.80

Last 1060%12/20

Defensa y Justicia clean sheet

24%

model chance

Independiente clean sheet

27%

model chance

Defensa y Justicia goals

O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%

Independiente goals

O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%

Corners

Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	70%	30%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 8.5	58%	42%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	44%	56%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 10.5	32%	68%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 11.5	22%	78%	–	5%1/20	–
Over/under 12.5	14%	86%	–	0%0/20	–
Over/under 13.5	9%	91%	–	0%0/20	–

Defensa y Justicia corners

O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%

Independiente corners

O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%

Cards

Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	83%	17%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 3.5	67%	33%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	48%	52%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 5.5	31%	69%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 6.5	18%	82%	–	25%5/20	–

Defensa y Justicia cards

O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%

Independiente cards

O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Tiziano Perrota Defensa y Justicia	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	47%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-32%
Maximiliano Meza Independiente	Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50	5.50	26%	40%2/5	40%4/10	+43%
Maximiliano Meza Independiente	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40	3.40	33%	40%2/5	40%4/10	+13%
Maximiliano Meza Independiente	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.80	1.80	49%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-12%
Matías Abaldo Independiente	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	40%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-35%
Facundo Zabala Independiente	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	31%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-37%
Luciano Cabral Independiente	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25	2.25	26%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-41%
David Barbona Defensa y Justicia	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	40%	60%3/5	40%4/10	-43%
Aarón Molinas Defensa y Justicia	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20	2.20	21%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-54%
Ayrton Portillo Defensa y Justicia	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00	2.00	22%	60%3/5	40%4/10	-55%
Aarón Molinas Defensa y Justicia	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36	1.36	29%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-61%
Agustín Hausch Defensa y Justicia	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53	1.53	17%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-75%

Player prop screener

Form Guide

Updated 21 Oct 2026

Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente

13
League position: 14; LWWDW
Last 5: DDLWD; 2.00
Points per game (L5): 1.20; 9
Goals scored (L5): 5; 3
Goals conceded (L5): 7; —
xG for (L5): —; —
xG against (L5): —; 3
Clean sheets (L5): 1

Head to Head

1

Defensa y Justicia wins

3

Draws

3

Independiente wins

Last 7 meetings

1.1

Goals per game

14%

Both teams scored

14%

Over 2.5 goals

19 Apr 2026

Last meeting

Defensa y Justicia in the last 5 meetings

LDWDL

Key Players

Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this season