Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano – Match preview
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Estadio Juan Carmelo ZerilloRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 03 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
30%
40%
Gimnasia La PlataDraw 30%Belgrano
Bookmaker implied
38%
33%
Gimnasia La PlataDraw 29%Belgrano
0.9 – 1.1
Expected score
33%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
42%
30%
Gimnasia La PlataDraw 28%Belgrano
First Half Result
29%
22%
Gimnasia La PlataDraw 49%Belgrano
Team to Score First
51%
39%
Gimnasia La PlataNo goal 10%Belgrano
Probability
Both Teams to Score
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
Gimnasia La Plata Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Gimnasia La Plata Over 1.5 Goals
36%
Belgrano Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Gimnasia La Plata Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Match Result
Gimnasia La Plata
42%2.34
model 2.38-2%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
28%3.37
model 3.54-5%
Last 1040%8/20
Belgrano
30%3.11
model 3.36-7%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Gimnasia La Plata
58%1.65
model 1.71-4%
Last 1067%8/12
Belgrano
42%2.19
model 2.41-9%
Last 1033%4/12
Double chance
Gimnasia La Plata or draw
70%1.38
model 1.42-3%
Last 1080%16/20
Gimnasia La Plata or Belgrano
72%1.34
model 1.39-4%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Belgrano
58%1.62
model 1.72-6%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.80
Last 1070%14/20
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet
28%
model chance
Belgrano clean sheet
25%
model chance
Gimnasia La Plata goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Belgrano goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Gimnasia La Plata corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Belgrano corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Gimnasia La Plata cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Belgrano cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mateo Seoane Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 48% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -34% |
Renzo Giampaoli Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 47% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -25% |
Alcides Benítez Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 42% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -32% |
Leonardo Morales Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 42% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -24% |
Federico Ricca Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 39% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -41% |
Santiago Longo Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 39% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -34% |
Ignacio Miramón Gimnasia La Plata | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 35% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -36% |
Emiliano Rigoni Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 33% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -50% |
Ignacio Miramón Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | 31% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -23% |
Agustín Auzmendi Gimnasia La Plata | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 27% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -50% |
Marcelo Torres Gimnasia La Plata | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 25% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -66% |
Agustín Auzmendi Gimnasia La Plata | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 24% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -62% |
Marcelo Torres Gimnasia La Plata | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | 23% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -47% |
Alcides Benítez Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.40 | 3.40 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -39% |
Emiliano Rigoni Belgrano | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 18% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -69% |
Mateo Seoane Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62 | 2.62 | 17% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -55% |
Santiago Longo Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75 | 3.75 | 15% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -45% |
Federico Ricca Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.00 | 3.00 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -69% |
Leonardo Morales Belgrano | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 5.00 | 5.00 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -51% |
Renzo Giampaoli Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.50 | 3.50 | 9% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -67% |
Agustín Auzmendi Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Ramiro Hernandes Belgrano · not in XI | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Adrián Spörle Belgrano · not in XI | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Agustín Auzmendi Gimnasia La Plata | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.30 | 2.30 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Player Probabilities
Updated 03 Nov 2026Based on each starter's last 20–40 games across all competitions, adjusted for the opponent, home or away, and the referee for fouls and cards. Starters only; hover a figure for the expected count.
Gimnasia La Plata
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harlen Castillo GK | – | – | 9% | 6% | – | 10% |
Germán Conti DEF | 51% | 30% | 48% | 25% | 31% | 15% |
Pedro Silva Torrejón DEF | 51% | 21% | 49% | 62% | 53% | 10% |
Enzo Martínez DEF | 54% | 22% | 62% | 47% | 56% | 17% |
Renzo Giampaoli DEF | 47% | 9% | 43% | 31% | 42% | 17% |
Nacho Fernández MID | 82% | 55% | 73% | 91% | 67% | 21% |
Ignacio Miramón MID | 69% | 31% | 74% | 78% | 71% | 26% |
Mateo Seoane MID | 48% | 17% | 58% | 17% | 55% | 17% |
Lucas Janson FWD | 83% 2+ 56% | 51% | 63% | 78% | 34% | 8% |
Agustín Auzmendi FWD | 89% 2+ 66% | 62% | 59% | 79% | 17% | 12% |
Marcelo Torres FWD | 79% 2+ 49% | 58% | 60% | 31% | 7% | 9% |
Belgrano
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thiago Cardozo GK | – | – | 5% | 20% | – | 6% |
Lisandro López DEF | 45% | 14% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 18% |
Federico Ricca DEF | 39% | 10% | 60% | 50% | 34% | 18% |
Leonardo Morales DEF | 42% | 10% | 47% | 38% | 39% | 17% |
Alcides Benítez DEF | 42% | 18% | 67% | 71% | 65% | 25% |
Franco Vázquez MID | 80% | 39% | 72% | 85% | 47% | 19% |
Lucas Zelarayán MID | 88% | 50% | 63% | 78% | 31% | 11% |
Emiliano Rigoni MID | 73% | 33% | 68% | 36% | 22% | 15% |
Adrián Sánchez MID | 45% | 16% | 74% | 66% | 68% | 19% |
Santiago Longo MID | 39% | 15% | 66% | 37% | 59% | 20% |
Lucas Passerini FWD | 89% 2+ 66% | 57% | 85% | 78% | 11% | 23% |
Form Guide
Updated 03 Nov 2026Gimnasia La PlataBelgrano
- 6
- League position
- 5
- WWWDD
- Last 5
- DLLWW
- 2.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 2.32
- xG for (L5)
- 2.77
- 2.14
- xG against (L5)
- 2.73
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Gimnasia La Plata wins
0
Draws
1
Belgrano wins
Last 3 meetings
1.3
Goals per game
0%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Gimnasia La Plata in the last 3 meetings
WWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Gimnasia La Plata
- Facundo Di BiasiCruciate Ligament Tear
- Jeremías MerloMuscle Injury
- Juan CortazzoMuscle Injury
Belgrano
No reported absences
Confirmed Line-ups
Gimnasia La Plata
4-4-2- 15Harlen CastilloGoalkeeper
- 4Renzo GiampaoliDefender
- 13Germán ContiDefender
- 21Enzo MartínezDefender
- 24Pedro Silva TorrejónDefender
- 8Nacho FernándezMidfielder
- 5Ignacio MiramónMidfielder
- 18Mateo SeoaneMidfielder
- 17Lucas JansonAttacker
- 29Agustín AuzmendiAttacker
- 32Marcelo TorresAttacker
Belgrano
4-2-3-1- 25Thiago CardozoGoalkeeper
- 26Alcides BenítezDefender
- 14Leonardo MoralesDefender
- 17Lisandro LópezDefender
- 16Federico RiccaDefender
- 5Santiago LongoMidfielder
- 21Adrián SánchezMidfielder
- 24Emiliano RigoniMidfielder
- 20Franco VázquezMidfielder
- 10Lucas ZelarayánMidfielder
- 9Lucas PasseriniAttacker
Key Players
Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this seasonGimnasia La Plata
Top scorer
Marcelo Torres
10 goals
Most assists
Nacho Fernández
6 assists
Best rated
Nacho Fernández
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Silva TorrejónDefender | 32 (32) | 2746 | 1 | 4 | 0.07 | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Enzo MartínezDefender | 30 (30) | 2657 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×5 |
| Nacho FernándezMidfielder | 31 (31) | 2590 | 5 | 6 | 0.65 | 7.30 | ×12 |
| Nelson InsfránGoalkeeper | 28 (28) | 2447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Alexis SteimbachDefender | 30 (24) | 2183 | 1 | 6 | 0.07 | 6.85 | ×11 |
| Ignacio MiramónMidfielder | 27 (25) | 2146 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.93 | ×11 |
| Agustín AuzmendiAttacker | 33 (21) | 1966 | 7 | 4 | 0.19 | 6.93 | ×3 |
| Marcelo TorresAttacker | 27 (22) | 1751 | 10 | 2 | 0.57 | 6.82 | |
| Renzo GiampaoliDefender | 24 (17) | 1627 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Augusto MaxMidfielder | 22 (18) | 1532 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×8 |
| Nicolas Barros SchelottoMidfielder | 23 (21) | 1478 | 4 | 4 | – | 7.14 | ×7 |
| Mateo SeoaneMidfielder | 18 (15) | 1255 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×3 |
| Germán ContiDefender | 14 (13) | 1144 | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Bautista Barros SchelottoDefender | 15 (11) | 960 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Manuel PanaroAttacker | 22 (10) | 912 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×3 |
Belgrano
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández
6 goals
Most assists
Lucas Passerini
8 assists
Best rated
Manuel Vicentini
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago CardozoGoalkeeper | 32 (32) | 2889 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | |
| Leonardo MoralesDefender | 33 (33) | 2761 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.83 | ×5 |
| Adrián SánchezMidfielder | 31 (31) | 2674 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 7.01 | ×7 |
| Emiliano RigoniMidfielder | 32 (32) | 2586 | 2 | 4 | 0.09 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Lisandro LópezDefender | 30 (30) | 2565 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.22 | ×6 |
| Lucas ZelarayánMidfielder | 30 (29) | 2560 | 5 | 6 | 0.27 | 7.27 | ×3 |
| Franco VázquezMidfielder | 32 (26) | 2247 | 3 | 4 | 0.20 | 6.95 | ×7 |
| Adrián SpörleDefender | 29 (24) | 2139 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×6 |
| Alexis MaldonadoDefender | 26 (24) | 2050 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Lucas PasseriniAttacker | 29 (15) | 1570 | 5 | 8 | 0.88 | 6.74 | ×5 |
| Alcides BenítezDefender | 26 (18) | 1542 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.76 | ×7 |
| Nicolás FernándezAttacker | 29 (20) | 1540 | 6 | 5 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Ramiro HernandesMidfielder | 33 (10) | 1325 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.71 | ×5 |
| Francisco González MetilliMidfielder | 25 (12) | 1096 | 4 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.91 | – |
| Santiago LongoMidfielder | 23 (12) | 1070 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×4 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.01 | 8.40 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 1.02 | 12.00 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 1.78 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.03 | 1.85 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.67 | 2.19 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 1.84 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 29.00 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.73 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.50 | 35.00 | 6.85 | 4.65 | 3.68 | 5.45 | 30.00 | 14.70 | 5.10 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 35.00 | 6.85 | 4.65 | 3.68 | 5.45 | 30.00 | 14.75 | 5.10 |
More on Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano
- Gimnasia La Plata stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Belgrano stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Profesional de Fútbol (Argentina) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture