Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra – Match preview
Independiente-:-
Deportivo RiestraEstadio Libertadores de AméricaRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 03 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
54%
9%
IndependienteDraw 37%Deportivo Riestra
Bookmaker implied
51%
20%
IndependienteDraw 29%Deportivo Riestra
1.0 – 0.3
Expected score
13%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
49%
22%
IndependienteDraw 29%Deportivo Riestra
First Half Result
34%
15%
IndependienteDraw 51%Deportivo Riestra
Team to Score First
58%
30%
IndependienteNo goal 12%Deportivo Riestra
Probability
Both Teams to Score
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
Independiente Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Independiente Over 1.5 Goals
38%
Deportivo Riestra Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Independiente Over 0.5 Goals
73%
Match Result
Independiente
44%–
model 2.29–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
31%–
model 3.27–
Last 1055%11/20
Deportivo Riestra
26%–
model 3.88–
Last 1015%3/20
Draw no bet
Independiente
63%–
model 1.59–
Last 1067%6/9
Deportivo Riestra
37%–
model 2.69–
Last 1033%3/9
Double chance
Independiente or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1085%17/20
Independiente or Deportivo Riestra
69%–
model 1.44–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw or Deportivo Riestra
56%–
model 1.78–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.0 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 89% | 11% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
45%
Last 1045%9/20
Independiente clean sheet
35%
model chance
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet
30%
model chance
Independiente goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Deportivo Riestra goals
O0.5 65%O1.5 28%O2.5 9%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Independiente corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Deportivo Riestra corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Independiente cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Deportivo Riestra cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 03 Nov 2026IndependienteDeportivo Riestra
- 14
- League position
- 28
- DLDDL
- Last 5
- LLDLD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 3.14
- xG for (L5)
- 1.19
- 2.55
- xG against (L5)
- 2.36
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Independiente wins
1
Draws
2
Deportivo Riestra wins
Last 5 meetings
1.6
Goals per game
20%
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Independiente in the last 5 meetings
LWDWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Independiente
- Joel MedinaCruciate Ligament Tear
Deportivo Riestra
No reported absences
Confirmed Line-ups
Independiente
4-3-3- 77Santiago MeleGoalkeeper
- 4Santiago AriasDefender
- 36Sebastián ValdezDefender
- 35Juan Miguel ArrayagoDefender
- 22Facundo ZabalaDefender
- 16Mateo Pérez CurciMidfielder
- 23Iván MarconeMidfielder
- 8Maximiliano MezaMidfielder
- 7Santiago MontielMidfielder
- 6Chimy ÁvilaAttacker
- 24Josias PalaisMidfielder
Deportivo Riestra
3-4-1-2- 23Marino ArzamendiaGoalkeeper
- 24Facundo MiñoDefender
- 2Carlos QuintanaDefender
- 22Cristian PazDefender
- 5Pedro RamírezDefender
- 16Nicolás WatsonMidfielder
- 8Milton CélizMidfielder
- 36Mariano BracamonteDefender
- 10Braian SánchezMidfielder
- 7Antony AlonsoMidfielder
- 11Alexander DíazAttacker
Key Players
Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this seasonIndependiente
Top scorer
Gabriel Ávalos
11 goals
Most assists
Gabriel Ávalos
5 assists
Best rated
Gabriel Ávalos
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo ReyGoalkeeper | 30 (30) | 2700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Iván MarconeMidfielder | 29 (28) | 2464 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×9 |
| Gabriel ÁvalosAttacker | 23 (23) | 2049 | 11 | 5 | – | 7.34 | ×3 |
| Matías AbaldoMidfielder | 30 (24) | 2033 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Facundo ZabalaDefender | 27 (23) | 2009 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | ×6 |
| Santiago MontielMidfielder | 27 (23) | 1943 | 4 | 5 | 0.38 | 7.00 | ×6 |
| Kevin LomónacoDefender | 24 (21) | 1846 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×5 |
| Sebastián ValdezDefender | 20 (19) | 1688 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.83 | ×4 |
| Santiago AriasDefender | 24 (16) | 1614 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 6.74 | ×4 |
| Juan FedorcoDefender | 19 (13) | 1257 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Leonardo GodoyDefender | 20 (16) | 1250 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×6 |
| Ignacio MalcorraMidfielder | 15 (14) | 1211 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Lautaro MillánMidfielder | 26 (12) | 1111 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Maximiliano GutiérrezAttacker | 15 (10) | 881 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.75 | |
| Maximiliano MezaMidfielder | 14 (7) | 671 | 4 | 0 | 1.42 | 6.90 |
Deportivo Riestra
Top scorer
Antony Alonso
4 goals
Most assists
Mariano Bracamonte
2 assists
Best rated
Ignacio Arce
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian PazDefender | 30 (30) | 2683 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
| Ignacio ArceGoalkeeper | 29 (29) | 2610 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | ×4 |
| Nicolás SansotreDefender | 26 (26) | 2287 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | ×3 |
| Antony AlonsoMidfielder | 30 (25) | 2026 | 4 | 1 | 0.32 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Facundo MiñoDefender | 26 (21) | 1872 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×10 |
| Pablo MonjeMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1624 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Mariano BracamonteDefender | 20 (18) | 1581 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.82 | ×6 |
| Pedro RamírezDefender | 22 (17) | 1537 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×3 |
| Alexander DíazAttacker | 24 (18) | 1416 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Milton CélizMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1350 | 2 | 0 | 0.41 | 6.96 | ×5 |
| Yonatan GoitíaMidfielder | 27 (15) | 1327 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.60 | ×7 |
| Nicolás WatsonMidfielder | 24 (12) | 1231 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.61 | ×6 |
| Juan RandazzoDefender | 16 (13) | 1205 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.64 | ×3 |
| Jonathan HerreraAttacker | 16 (12) | 982 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×4 |
| Nicolás BenegasAttacker | 22 (10) | 969 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.68 | ×7 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 1.06 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 1.79 |
| MelBet | 3.55 | 1.29 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 29.00 | 1.01 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 1.02 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 17.50 | 55.00 | 9.10 | 4.10 | 2.90 | 4.40 | 38.00 | 18.00 | 7.70 |
More on Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
- Independiente stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Deportivo Riestra stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Profesional de Fútbol (Argentina) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture