Tigre vs Sarmiento – Match preview
Tigre-:-
SarmientoEstadio José DellagiovannaRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 03 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
53%
21%
TigreDraw 26%SARM
Bookmaker implied
54%
19%
TigreDraw 27%SARM
1.5 – 0.9
Expected score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
50%
24%
TigreDraw 26%SARM
First Half Result
34%
17%
TigreDraw 49%SARM
Team to Score First
58%
33%
TigreNo goal 9%SARM
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Tigre Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Tigre Over 1.5 Goals
42%
SARM Over 0.5 Goals
57%
Tigre Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Match Result
Tigre
53%1.65
model 1.90-13%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
26%3.68
model 3.79-3%
Last 1025%5/20
Sarmiento
21%5.67
model 4.77disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Tigre
72%1.20
model 1.40-14%
Last 1040%6/15
Sarmiento
28%4.13
model 3.51disputed
Last 1060%9/15
Double chance
Tigre or draw
79%1.14
model 1.27-10%
Last 1055%11/20
Tigre or Sarmiento
74%1.28
model 1.36-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Sarmiento
47%2.23
model 2.11disputed
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
48%Yes 2.25
Last 1065%13/20
Tigre clean sheet
25%
model chance
Sarmiento clean sheet
26%
model chance
Tigre goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Sarmiento goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Tigre corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 82%O4.5 67%O5.5 51%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Sarmiento corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 61%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Cards
Expected 5.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 74% | 27% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Tigre cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Sarmiento cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 76%O2.5 52%O3.5 30%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mauricio Martínez Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Thiago Santamaría Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Junior Marabel Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Julián Mavilla Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Federico Álvarez Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Junior Marabel Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Julián Contrera Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Julián Mavilla Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Alan Barrionuevo Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Cristian Zabala Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jerónimo Dómina Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Jerónimo Dómina Tigre | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Juan Villalba Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jerónimo Dómina Tigre | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Santiago Salle Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Valentín Moreno Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Gastón Alberto Arturia Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Junior Marabel Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mauro Méndez Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ulises Giménez Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jonathan Herrera Sarmiento | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jonathan Herrera Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Alan Barrionuevo Tigre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jerónimo Dómina Tigre | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 03 Nov 2026TigreSARM
- 23
- League position
- 18
- WLDLL
- Last 5
- LLDDW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 2.08
- xG for (L5)
- 2.02
- 1.98
- xG against (L5)
- 3.80
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
Tigre wins
1
Draws
3
SARM wins
Last 5 meetings
1.0
Goals per game
0%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Tigre in the last 5 meetings
LLDLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Tigre
- Ramón AriasKnee Surgery
- Simón RiveroCruciate Ligament Tear
SARM
- Agustín SeyralCruciate Ligament Tear
Confirmed Line-ups
Tigre
4-2-3-1- 12Felipe ZenobioGoalkeeper
- 4Valentín MorenoDefender
- 23Gonzalo RequenaDefender
- 20Alan BarrionuevoDefender
- 24Federico ÁlvarezDefender
- 27Santiago GonzálezMidfielder
- 5Bruno LeyesMidfielder
- 8Martín GarayMidfielder
- 28Gonzalo MartínezMidfielder
- 22Santiago LópezMidfielder
- 30Jerónimo DóminaAttacker
SARM
4-3-3- 12Thyago AyalaGoalkeeper
- 29Thiago SantamaríaDefender
- 20Ulises GiménezDefender
- 2Juan Manuel InsaurraldeDefender
- 3Lucas SuárezDefender
- 15Cristian ZabalaMidfielder
- 5Manuel GarcíaMidfielder
- 23Elián GiménezMidfielder
- 19Julián ContreraMidfielder
- 27Junior MarabelAttacker
- 21Julián MavillaMidfielder
Key Players
Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this seasonTigre
Top scorer
Ignacio Russo
8 goals
Most assists
Jabes Saralegui
5 assists
Best rated
Gonzalo Martínez
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan BarrionuevoDefender | 30 (30) | 2656 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Felipe ZenobioGoalkeeper | 29 (29) | 2610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Ignacio RussoAttacker | 31 (28) | 2520 | 8 | 4 | 0.33 | 7.00 | ×4 |
| Santiago LópezMidfielder | 29 (22) | 1924 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | 6.77 | ×7 |
| Federico ÁlvarezDefender | 25 (20) | 1886 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Joaquín LasoDefender | 22 (22) | 1859 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×5 |
| Bruno LeyesMidfielder | 25 (20) | 1706 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.79 | ×5 |
| Valentín MorenoDefender | 21 (20) | 1650 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | ×6 |
| Jabes SaraleguiMidfielder | 23 (20) | 1580 | 0 | 5 | – | 6.77 | |
| Jalil ElíasMidfielder | 19 (17) | 1513 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | |
| Martín GarayMidfielder | 24 (14) | 1490 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 6.83 | |
| Tiago SerragoMidfielder | 21 (10) | 997 | 2 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.55 | ×2 |
| Santiago GonzálezMidfielder | 15 (11) | 939 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Nahuel BanegasDefender | 13 (11) | 904 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| David RomeroAttacker | 12 (10) | 798 | 7 | 2 | – | 6.97 |
SARM
Top scorer
Junior Marabel
14 goals
Most assists
Junior Marabel
5 assists
Best rated
Javier Burrai
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian ZabalaMidfielder | 30 (29) | 2580 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 6.91 | ×6 |
| Juan Manuel InsaurraldeDefender | 28 (28) | 2456 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×10 |
| Junior MarabelAttacker | 31 (29) | 2443 | 14 | 5 | 0.10 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Santiago SalleMidfielder | 30 (23) | 2005 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.52 | ×10 |
| Mauricio MartínezMidfielder | 25 (18) | 1782 | 2 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.89 | ×6 |
| Lucas Matías Suárez ScalareaDefender | 24 (21) | 1773 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.66 | ×5 |
| Renzo OrihuelaDefender | 21 (19) | 1769 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.56 | |
| Julián ContreraMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1514 | 1 | 3 | 0.09 | 6.60 | ×10 |
| Javier BurraiGoalkeeper | 16 (16) | 1440 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Thyago AyalaGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1127 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Manuel GarcíaMidfielder | 18 (11) | 1096 | 1 | 0 | 0.87 | 6.51 | ×4 |
| Thiago SantamaríaDefender | 17 (14) | 1070 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.60 | ×4 |
| Julián MavillaMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1009 | 4 | 2 | 0.47 | 7.15 | ×3 |
| Diego ChurínAttacker | 22 (8) | 849 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Jonathan HerreraAttacker | 15 (9) | 719 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.62 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 8.60 | 1.01 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.77 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 1.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 1.91 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.22 | 1.70 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.29 | 3.55 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 1.98 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 1.02 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 1.57 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 18.00 | 60.00 | 11.00 | 4.65 | 2.48 | 4.10 | 33.00 | 18.50 | 9.60 |
| Marathonbet | 18.25 | 64.00 | 11.00 | 4.65 | 2.48 | 4.10 | 33.00 | 18.75 | 9.60 |
More on Tigre vs Sarmiento
- Tigre stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Sarmiento stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga Profesional de Fútbol (Argentina) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture