Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais – Match preview
Brest-:-
Olympique LyonnaisStade Francis-Le BleRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
45%
25%
BrestDraw 30%Olympique Lyonnais
Bookmaker implied
33%
41%
BrestDraw 26%Olympique Lyonnais
1.2 – 0.8
Expected score
33%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
43%
31%
BrestDraw 26%Olympique Lyonnais
First Half Result
37%
24%
BrestDraw 39%Olympique Lyonnais
Team to Score First
55%
38%
BrestNo goal 7%Olympique Lyonnais
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Brest Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Brest Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Olympique Lyonnais Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Brest Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Match Result
Brest
35%2.90
model 2.88+1%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
26%3.65
model 3.82-4%
Last 1025%5/20
Olympique Lyonnais
39%2.32
model 2.56-9%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Brest
47%2.11
model 2.12-1%
Last 1033%5/15
Olympique Lyonnais
53%1.68
model 1.89-11%
Last 1067%10/15
Double chance
Brest or draw
61%1.62
model 1.64-1%
Last 1050%10/20
Brest or Olympique Lyonnais
74%1.29
model 1.36-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais
65%1.42
model 1.53-7%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 35% | 65% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%Yes 1.61
Last 1070%14/20
Brest clean sheet
20%
model chance
Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet
24%
model chance
Brest goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Olympique Lyonnais goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Brest corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Olympique Lyonnais corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Brest cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Olympique Lyonnais cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hugo Magnetti Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Pathé Mboup Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Mama Baldé Brest | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ludovic Ajorque Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Tyler Morton Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Corentin Tolisso Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kamory Doumbia Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Mama Baldé Brest | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Mama Baldé Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Pavel Sulc Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Pathé Mboup Brest | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Mama Baldé Brest | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Hugo Magnetti Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Giovani Versini Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Joseph Nonge Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mads Bidstrup Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Felix Bacher Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ruben Kluivert Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Gautier Lloris Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Keito Nakamura Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Kenny Lala Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Pavel Sulc Olympique Lyonnais | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Lucas Tousart Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Joris Chotard Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026BrestOlympique Lyonnais
- 13
- League position
- 5
- LDWLL
- Last 5
- LWLWD
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 1.77
- xG for (L5)
- 0.88
- 0.72
- xG against (L5)
- 1.38
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Brest wins
4
Draws
5
Olympique Lyonnais wins
Last 12 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Brest in the last 5 meetings
LDLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Brest
- Brendan ChardonnetCalf Injury
- R. Le GuenBroken Fibula
Olympique Lyonnais
- Loïs OpendaBroken Fibula
- Mohamed OuédraogoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Nicolás TagliaficoMuscle Injury
- Pavel SulcMeniscus Injury
- Tyler MortonPubalgia
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonBrest
Top scorer
Kamory Doumbia
4 goals
Most assists
Joris Chotard
2 assists
Best rated
Ludovic Ajorque
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil SelvikGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Bradley LockoDefender | 8 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Ludovic AjorqueAttacker | 8 (8) | 712 | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.37 | ×3 |
| Joris ChotardMidfielder | 8 (8) | 683 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Kenny LalaDefender | 8 (8) | 652 | 1 | 0 | 0.81 | 6.75 | |
| Kamory DoumbiaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 648 | 4 | 1 | 0.29 | 7.10 | ×4 |
| Pathé MboupMidfielder | 8 (8) | 629 | 2 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.85 | |
| Gautier LlorisDefender | 7 (7) | 611 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.78 | – |
| Hugo MagnettiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 537 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 7.15 | – |
| R. Le GuenDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Lucas TousartDefender | 8 (4) | 406 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.73 | – |
| Mama BaldéMidfielder | 7 (4) | 308 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Joseph NongeMidfielder | 8 (1) | 214 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Giovani VersiniMidfielder | 3 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Romain Del CastilloMidfielder | 2 (2) | 138 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
Olympique Lyonnais
Top scorer
Ernest Nuamah
3 goals
Most assists
Zachary Athekame
3 assists
Best rated
Ernest Nuamah
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary AthekameDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 2 | 3 | 0.02 | 7.23 | |
| Felix BacherDefender | 8 (7) | 641 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | |
| Corentin TolissoMidfielder | 8 (6) | 576 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.10 | – |
| AbnerDefender | 7 (6) | 541 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Moussa NiakhatéDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 7.00 | |
| Dominik GreifGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.36 | – |
| Mads BidstrupMidfielder | 7 (7) | 534 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Tyler MortonMidfielder | 7 (6) | 532 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Ernest NuamahAttacker | 6 (6) | 468 | 3 | 1 | 0.04 | 7.40 | |
| Pavel SulcMidfielder | 7 (5) | 417 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.84 | |
| Loïs OpendaAttacker | 5 (5) | 394 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.89 | |
| Kaïl BoudacheAttacker | 8 (3) | 297 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Tanner TessmannMidfielder | 7 (2) | 231 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Noah NarteyMidfielder | 7 (2) | 217 | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Julien DuranvilleAttacker | 3 (3) | 205 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 6.83 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.82 | 2.03 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.84 | 2.04 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.16 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.85 | 2.05 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 14.00 | 1.02 |
More on Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais
- Brest stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Olympique Lyonnais stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture