Le Havre vs Lorient – Match preview
-:-
Stade OcéaneRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
8%
49%
Le HavreDraw 43%Lorient
Bookmaker implied
34%
38%
Le HavreDraw 28%Lorient
0.2 – 0.8
Expected score
8%
Over 2.5 goals
9%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
35%
35%
Le HavreDraw 30%Lorient
First Half Result
27%
30%
Le HavreDraw 43%Lorient
Team to Score First
42%
48%
Le HavreNo goal 10%Lorient
Probability
Both Teams to Score
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
Le Havre Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Le Havre Over 1.5 Goals
32%
Lorient Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Le Havre Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Match Result
Le Havre
34%2.85
model 2.98-4%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
28%3.37
model 3.56-5%
Last 1025%5/20
Lorient
38%2.49
model 2.61-5%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Le Havre
47%2.00
model 2.14-7%
Last 1027%4/15
Lorient
53%1.75
model 1.88-7%
Last 1073%11/15
Double chance
Le Havre or draw
62%1.54
model 1.62-5%
Last 1045%9/20
Le Havre or Lorient
72%1.33
model 1.39-4%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Lorient
66%1.43
model 1.51-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.75
Last 1045%9/20
Le Havre clean sheet
20%
model chance
Lorient clean sheet
30%
model chance
Le Havre goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Lorient goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Le Havre corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Lorient corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Le Havre cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Lorient cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amir Richardson Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 100%5/5 | 90%9/10 | – |
Noah Doriann Cadiou Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Ally Samatta Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Simon Ebonog Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Ally Samatta Le Havre | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Josh Maja Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Montassar Talbi Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ayumu Seko Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Josh Maja Le Havre | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Srdjan Kuzmic Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Rayan Fofana Le Havre | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Sota Nakamura Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kaito Mizuta Le Havre | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 43%3/7 | – |
Panos Katseris Lorient | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00 | 6.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Panos Katseris Lorient | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Rayan Fofana Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Montassar Talbi Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Srdjan Kuzmic Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.40 | 3.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jean-Victor Makengo Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Vincent Sasso Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Arthur Avom Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Josh Maja Le Havre | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Jean-Victor Makengo Lorient | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Vincent Sasso Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.75 | 2.75 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Le HavreLorient
- 18
- League position
- 10
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- DWWLD
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 16
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 4.07
- xG for (L5)
- 0.77
- 3.26
- xG against (L5)
- 0.38
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
2
Le Havre wins
2
Draws
1
Lorient wins
Last 5 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
17 May 2026
Last meeting
Le Havre in the last 5 meetings
WDDWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Le Havre
- Elias JelertDead Leg
- Felix MambimbiAchilles tendon rupture
- Lionel Mpasi-NzauAchilles tendon rupture
- Stephan ZagadouCruciate Ligament Tear
- Timothée PembéléAdductor Pain
Lorient
- Bandiougou FadigaHamstring Injury
- Noah MbambaHamstring Injury
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonLe Havre
Top scorer
Josh Maja
4 goals
Most assists
Sota Nakamura
1 assists
Best rated
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon EbonogMidfielder | 9 (9) | 787 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.79 | |
| Amir RichardsonMidfielder | 9 (9) | 756 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.73 | |
| Ahmed ToubaDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.65 | |
| Ally SamattaAttacker | 9 (8) | 696 | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.13 | – |
| Ayumu SekoDefender | 8 (8) | 691 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Junior MwangaDefender | 8 (6) | 536 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Josh MajaAttacker | 9 (6) | 519 | 4 | 0 | 1.87 | 7.00 | – |
| Rassoul NdiayeMidfielder | 8 (6) | 495 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.91 | |
| Gauthier GallonGoalkeeper | 6 (5) | 451 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Sota NakamuraAttacker | 9 (4) | 387 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.78 | |
| Rayan FofanaAttacker | 7 (3) | 336 | 2 | 1 | 0.47 | 6.85 | – |
| Elias JelertDefender | 4 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Lionel Mpasi-NzauGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.50 | |
| Enzo Koffi VinetteAttacker | 8 (1) | 253 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.71 | – |
| Mouhamed Lamine NdiayeDefender | 4 (3) | 230 | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.88 | ×2 |
Lorient
Top scorer
Noah Doriann Cadiou
1 goals
Most assists
Panos Katseris
3 assists
Best rated
Isaak Touré
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsène KouassiMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Yvon MvogoGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Montassar TalbiDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 7.08 | |
| Noah Doriann CadiouMidfielder | 8 (8) | 714 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Nathaniel AdjeiDefender | 8 (8) | 705 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Dembo SyllaDefender | 8 (8) | 700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Jean-Victor MakengoAttacker | 8 (8) | 686 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.09 | |
| Arthur AvomMidfielder | 8 (5) | 506 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.14 | |
| Gabin BernardeauAttacker | 8 (6) | 467 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Ibrahima BaldéAttacker | 6 (4) | 311 | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.67 | – |
| Théo Le BrisMidfielder | 5 (2) | 273 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Isaak TouréDefender | 3 (3) | 267 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 7.37 | – |
| Panos KatserisDefender | 5 (3) | 177 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.96 | |
| Isak JensenAttacker | 6 (1) | 157 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Noah MbambaMidfielder | 3 (2) | 142 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.04 | 1.81 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.06 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.86 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.07 | 1.80 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.06 | 1.84 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on Le Havre vs Lorient
- Le Havre stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Lorient stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture