Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain – Match preview
Le Havre-:-
Paris Saint GermainStade OcéaneRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
5%
79%
Le HavreDraw 16%Paris Saint Germain
Bookmaker implied
10%
76%
Le HavreDraw 14%Paris Saint Germain
0.4 – 2.1
Expected score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Le Havre
16%9.87
fair 6.28disputed
Last 1010%2/20
Draw
17%6.94
fair 5.80disputed
Last 1025%5/20
Paris Saint Germain
67%1.22
fair 1.50-18%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw no bet
Le Havre
19%8.45
fair 5.19disputed
Last 1013%2/15
Paris Saint Germain
81%1.04
fair 1.24-16%
Last 1087%13/15
Double chance
Le Havre or draw
33%4.07
fair 3.01disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Le Havre or Paris Saint Germain
83%1.09
fair 1.21-10%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Paris Saint Germain
84%1.04
fair 1.19-13%
Last 1090%18/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.7 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.70
Last 1070%14/20
Le Havre clean sheet
16%
model chance
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet
29%
model chance
Le Havre goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Paris Saint Germain goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Le Havre corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Paris Saint Germain corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Le Havre cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Paris Saint Germain cards
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%O3.5 7%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Achraf Hakimi Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 37% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -36% |
Achraf Hakimi Paris Saint Germain | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 34% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -49% |
Lucas Digne Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 31% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -52% |
Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.25 | 3.25 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -22% |
Fabián Ruiz Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 44% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -25% |
Désiré Doué Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | 39% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -41% |
Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.33 | 1.33 | 44% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -41% |
Rayan Fofana Le Havre | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -42% |
Ferran Torres Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.50 | 1.50 | 38% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -43% |
Désiré Doué Paris Saint Germain | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -57% |
Kaito Mizuta Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%3/6 | – |
Sota Nakamura Le Havre | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | 40% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -16% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Le HavreParis Saint Germain
- 18
- League position
- 2
- LLLDL
- Last 5
- WWWWL
- 0.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Le Havre wins
1
Draws
6
Paris Saint Germain wins
Last 7 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
28 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Le Havre in the last 5 meetings
LLLLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Le Havre
- Elias JelertDead Leg
- Felix MambimbiAchilles tendon rupture
- Lionel Mpasi-NzauAchilles tendon rupture
- Timothée PembéléAdductor Pain
Paris Saint Germain
- Khvicha KvaratskheliaCruciate Ligament Tear
- MarquinhosHamstring Injury
- Nuno MendesDead Leg
- Ousmane DembéléHamstring Injury
- Senny MayuluDead Leg
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonLe Havre
Top scorer
Ally Samatta
2 goals
Most assists
Sota Nakamura
1 assists
Best rated
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon EbonogMidfielder | 7 (7) | 614 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Amir RichardsonMidfielder | 7 (7) | 614 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Ally SamattaAttacker | 7 (7) | 610 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Ahmed ToubaDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | |
| Ayumu SekoDefender | 6 (6) | 511 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Rassoul NdiayeMidfielder | 6 (5) | 409 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Josh MajaAttacker | 7 (5) | 400 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Gauthier GallonGoalkeeper | 5 (4) | 361 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Junior MwangaDefender | 6 (4) | 356 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Sota NakamuraAttacker | 7 (3) | 293 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | |
| Elias JelertDefender | 4 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Lionel Mpasi-NzauGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.50 | |
| Timothée PembéléMidfielder | 3 (3) | 208 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Rayan FofanaAttacker | 5 (1) | 173 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Vincent SassoDefender | 3 (2) | 168 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 |
Paris Saint Germain
Top scorer
Ferran Torres
4 goals
Most assists
Fabián Ruiz
2 assists
Best rated
Vitinha
7.74
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey SafonovGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Warren Zaïre-EmeryDefender | 7 (6) | 503 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | – |
| VitinhaMidfielder | 7 (5) | 496 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.74 | |
| João NevesMidfielder | 6 (6) | 451 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| MarquinhosDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.19 | |
| Willian PachoDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Ferran TorresAttacker | 7 (4) | 431 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Achraf HakimiDefender | 6 (5) | 408 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Maghnes AklioucheMidfielder | 7 (4) | 406 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Khvicha KvaratskheliaAttacker | 7 (5) | 377 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Désiré DouéAttacker | 7 (4) | 356 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.35 | – |
| Fabián RuizMidfielder | 6 (3) | 326 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.24 | |
| Lucas HernándezDefender | 4 (3) | 296 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Ousmane DembéléAttacker | 5 (3) | 239 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Nuno MendesDefender | 3 (2) | 217 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.43 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.79 | 2.06 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.80 | 2.08 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.09 | 1.76 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.68 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.03 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 3.40 | 1.33 |
| Betano.dk | 3.20 | 1.35 |