Lens vs Olympique Marseille – Match preview

Sunday, 08 November 2026 · 20:45

Lens

-:-

Olympique Marseille

Stade Bollaert-DelelisRound 10

Match Preview

Updated 01 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

40%

37%

LensDraw 23%Olympique Marseille

Bookmaker implied

46%

30%

LensDraw 24%Olympique Marseille

1.7 – 1.6

Expected score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

43%

35%

LensDraw 22%Olympique Marseille

First Half Result

33%

28%

LensDraw 39%Olympique Marseille

Team to Score First

53%

43%

LensNo goal 4%Olympique Marseille

Probability

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 1.5 Goals

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

66%

Over 3.5 Goals

44%

Lens Over 3.5 Goals

11%

Lens Over 1.5 Goals

50%

Olympique Marseille Over 0.5 Goals

71%

Lens Over 0.5 Goals

77%

Match Result

Lens

45%2.06

model 2.21-7%

Last 1055%11/20

Draw

24%3.96

model 4.09-3%

Last 105%1/20

Olympique Marseille

30%3.20

model 3.31-3%

Last 1040%8/20

Draw no bet

Lens

60%1.54

model 1.67-8%

Last 1058%11/19

Olympique Marseille

40%2.39

model 2.50-4%

Last 1042%8/19

Double chance

Lens or draw

70%1.36

model 1.43-5%

Last 1060%12/20

Lens or Olympique Marseille

76%1.25

model 1.32-6%

Last 1095%19/20

Draw or Olympique Marseille

55%1.77

model 1.83-3%

Last 1045%9/20

Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	96%	4%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	82%	18%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 2.5	61%	39%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	39%	61%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 4.5	21%	79%	–	25%5/20	–

Both teams to score

64%Yes 1.44

Last 1055%11/20

Lens clean sheet

20%

model chance

Olympique Marseille clean sheet

21%

model chance

Lens goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%

Olympique Marseille goals

O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%

Corners

Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	75%	25%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 8.5	63%	37%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	50%	50%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 10.5	38%	62%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 11.5	27%	73%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 12.5	18%	82%	–	5%1/20	–
Over/under 13.5	11%	89%	–	5%1/20	–

Lens corners

O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%

Olympique Marseille corners

O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%

Cards

Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	77%	23%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 3.5	57%	43%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	38%	62%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 5.5	22%	78%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 6.5	11%	89%	–	10%2/20	–

Lens cards

O0.5 88%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%

Olympique Marseille cards

O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Florian Thauvin Lens	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.30	1.30	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Florian Thauvin Lens	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66	1.66	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Matthieu Udol Lens	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30	1.30	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Amine Harit Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83	1.83	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Keyliane Abdallah Olympique Marseille	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50	1.50	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Florian Thauvin Lens	Over 0.5 Assists · 3.50	3.50	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Derek Cornelius Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66	1.66	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Andrija Bulatovic Lens	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Nouhoum Kamissoko Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	40%2/5	43%3/7	–
Timothy Weah Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25	2.25	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Himad Abdelli Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50	2.50	–	60%3/5	40%4/10	–
Thorgan Hazard Lens	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36	1.36	–	80%4/5	40%4/10	–
Matthieu Udol Lens	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62	2.62	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Nayef Aguerd Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Florian Thauvin Lens	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	–	20%1/5	40%4/10	–
Amine Gouiri Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10	2.10	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Andrija Bulatovic Lens	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83	1.83	–	40%2/5	40%4/10	–
Amine Harit Olympique Marseille	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	–	20%1/5	40%4/10	–
Ruben Aguilar Lens	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10	3.10	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Florian Sotoca Lens	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.30	1.30	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–
Jonathan Gradit Lens	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50	1.50	–	60%3/5	30%3/10	–
Angel Gomes Olympique Marseille	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50	1.50	–	0%0/5	30%3/10	–
Himad Abdelli Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.75	3.75	–	60%3/5	30%3/10	–
Himad Abdelli Olympique Marseille	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50	1.50	–	60%3/5	30%3/10	–

Player prop screener

Key Players

Ligue 1, this season

Lens

Top scorer

Florian Thauvin

4 goals

Most assists

Florian Thauvin

8 assists

Best rated

Florian Thauvin

7.93

Lens squad statistics in the Ligue 1 this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Robin RisserGoalkeeper	9 (9)	810	0	0	–	6.95	–
Florian ThauvinAttacker	9 (9)	787	4	8	0.18	7.93	×3
Matthieu UdolMidfielder	8 (8)	648	2	0	–	7.02
Ruben AguilarMidfielder	8 (7)	620	1	1	–	7.01
Michaël CuisanceMidfielder	8 (7)	550	0	0	0.01	6.56
Kyllian AntonioDefender	7 (5)	507	0	0	–	6.69	–
Ismaëlo GaniouDefender	5 (5)	439	1	0	–	7.13	–
Amadou HaidaraMidfielder	8 (4)	406	0	0	–	6.70
Yassine TitraouiMidfielder	7 (5)	401	0	0	–	6.65
Abdallah SimaAttacker	5 (5)	384	1	1	–	7.09	–
Michal SkorasAttacker	7 (4)	377	0	1	–	6.69	×2
Florian SotocaAttacker	6 (4)	327	1	0	0.23	6.83	–
Franjo IvanovićAttacker	7 (3)	305	2	0	0.10	6.79
Andrija BulatovicMidfielder	8 (2)	274	0	0	0.03	6.84
Jean-Clair TodiboDefender	5 (4)	264	0	0	–	6.61	–

Olympique Marseille

Top scorer

Amine Gouiri

5 goals

Most assists

Emerson

3 assists

Best rated

Amine Gouiri

7.34

Olympique Marseille squad statistics in the Ligue 1 this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Jeffrey de LangeGoalkeeper	8 (8)	720	0	0	–	7.00	–
EmersonDefender	8 (8)	714	0	3	0.03	7.00	–
CJ Egan-RileyDefender	8 (8)	705	1	0	0.11	6.91	–
Amine GouiriAttacker	8 (8)	679	5	2	–	7.34	–
Amine HaritMidfielder	8 (8)	647	2	1	–	7.04
Himad AbdelliMidfielder	8 (8)	635	3	0	0.22	7.06
Timothy WeahDefender	7 (7)	617	1	2	0.22	7.05	×2
Igor PaixãoMidfielder	7 (7)	546	2	1	0.32	7.06
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergMidfielder	6 (6)	534	1	0	0.21	7.25	–
Nayef AguerdDefender	8 (5)	508	0	0	0.02	6.75
Angel GomesMidfielder	8 (5)	489	1	1	–	6.78	×2
Tochukwu NnadiMidfielder	5 (2)	231	0	1	–	6.67
Geoffrey KondogbiaDefender	4 (3)	204	0	0	–	6.56	–
Nouhoum KamissokoMidfielder	3 (2)	171	1	0	–	6.78	–
Keyliane AbdallahAttacker	8 (0)	169	1	0	–	6.64

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	1	2	Home	Away
bet365	1.82	2.02	—	—
Dafabet	—	—	1.83	2.02
MansionBet	—	—	1.84	2.04
Marathonbet	—	—	1.57	2.44
MelBet	—	—	1.56	2.42
Pinnacle	—	—	1.81	2.04
Sbo	—	—	1.86	2.04

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
bet365	1.44	2.75
Betano.dk	15.00	1.02

Lens vs Olympique Marseille – Match preview

Match Preview

Predictions

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Lens goals

Olympique Marseille goals

Corners

Lens corners

Olympique Marseille corners

Cards

Lens cards

Olympique Marseille cards

Player Props

Form Guide

Head to Head

Key Players

Lens

Olympique Marseille

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

More on Lens vs Olympique Marseille