Lorient vs Brest – Match preview
Lorient-:-
BrestStade Yves Allainmat - Le MoustoirRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
38%
33%
LorientDraw 29%Brest
Bookmaker implied
36%
36%
LorientDraw 28%Brest
1.1 – 1.1
Expected score
38%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Lorient
39%2.60
fair 2.55+2%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
27%3.51
fair 3.69-5%
Last 1035%7/20
Brest
34%2.63
fair 2.97-11%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Lorient
54%1.86
fair 1.860%
Last 1062%8/13
Brest
46%1.88
fair 2.16-13%
Last 1038%5/13
Double chance
Lorient or draw
66%1.49
fair 1.51-1%
Last 1075%15/20
Lorient or Brest
73%1.31
fair 1.37-4%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Brest
61%1.50
fair 1.65-9%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%Yes 1.70
Last 1060%12/20
Lorient clean sheet
26%
model chance
Brest clean sheet
23%
model chance
Lorient goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Brest goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Lorient corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Brest corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Lorient cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Brest cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Doriann Cadiou Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 57% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -24% |
Noah Mbamba Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 44% | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | -31% |
Hugo Magnetti Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -35% |
Kamory Doumbia Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61 | 1.61 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -39% |
Pathé Mboup Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 57% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -12% |
Pathé Mboup Brest | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 54% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -28% |
Ludovic Ajorque Brest | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -37% |
Noah Mbamba Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.25 | 3.25 | 24% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -20% |
Jean-Victor Makengo Lorient | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 40% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -27% |
Joris Chotard Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Panos Katseris Lorient | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00 | 6.00 | 11% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -33% |
Gautier Lloris Brest | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 39% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -37% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026LorientBrest
- 7
- League position
- 10
- WWLDW
- Last 5
- DWLLW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Lorient wins
2
Draws
6
Brest wins
Last 12 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
58%
Over 2.5 goals
07 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Lorient in the last 5 meetings
LDDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Lorient
No reported absences
Brest
- R. Le GuenBroken Fibula
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonLorient
Top scorer
Noah Doriann Cadiou
1 goals
Most assists
Panos Katseris
3 assists
Best rated
Isaak Touré
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montassar TalbiDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| Arsène KouassiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Yvon MvogoGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Noah Doriann CadiouMidfielder | 7 (7) | 624 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Nathaniel AdjeiDefender | 7 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | |
| Dembo SyllaDefender | 7 (7) | 612 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Jean-Victor MakengoAttacker | 7 (7) | 598 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.12 | |
| Gabin BernardeauAttacker | 7 (6) | 436 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Arthur AvomMidfielder | 7 (4) | 416 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Théo Le BrisMidfielder | 5 (2) | 273 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Ibrahima BaldéAttacker | 5 (3) | 252 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Isaak TouréDefender | 2 (2) | 177 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.27 | – |
| Panos KatserisDefender | 5 (3) | 177 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.96 | |
| Isak JensenAttacker | 5 (1) | 152 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Noah MbambaMidfielder | 3 (2) | 142 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
Brest
Top scorer
Kamory Doumbia
4 goals
Most assists
Joris Chotard
2 assists
Best rated
Ludovic Ajorque
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil SelvikGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Bradley LockoDefender | 7 (7) | 628 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Ludovic AjorqueAttacker | 7 (7) | 622 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.34 | ×2 |
| Joris ChotardMidfielder | 7 (7) | 603 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Kamory DoumbiaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 568 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.26 | ×3 |
| Kenny LalaDefender | 7 (7) | 562 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Pathé MboupMidfielder | 7 (7) | 559 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Gautier LlorisDefender | 6 (6) | 521 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Hugo MagnettiMidfielder | 6 (5) | 450 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.16 | – |
| R. Le GuenDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Lucas TousartMidfielder | 7 (3) | 316 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Mama BaldéMidfielder | 6 (3) | 238 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Joseph NongeMidfielder | 7 (1) | 194 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Giovani VersiniMidfielder | 3 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Romain Del CastilloMidfielder | 2 (2) | 138 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.92 | 1.93 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.92 | 1.90 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.91 | 1.89 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.91 | 1.93 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 9.25 |